比特跃马

Today's key call: The US CPI (16:30 Beijing time) is the biggest variable today. BTC is waiting for direction in the $80,280–$82,479 range. Before the CPI, it's recommended to keep your position ≤30%; wait for the data to land and confirm before making a move.

Morning Update

$币安人生 has been falling without a bottom

Binance

Victory Securities has completely closed its mainland users this time.

🚨This Week's Macroeconomic Outlook: Non-farm Payrolls, CPI Strongly Coming, Cryptocurrency Market Volatility Will Amplify Again

Tuesday 00:00, U.S. January New York Federal Reserve 1-Year Inflation Expectations;

Tuesday 02:30, Federal Reserve Governor Waller Speaks on Digital Assets;

Tuesday 04:15, 2027 FOMC Voting Member and Atlanta Federal Reserve President Bostic Speaks on Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook;

Tuesday 21:30, U.S. December Retail Sales MoM, U.S. Q4 Labor Cost Index QoQ, U.S. December Import Price Index MoM;

Wednesday 21:30, U.S. January Unemployment Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Non-farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings YoY/MoM, U.S. 2025 Non-farm Employment Benchmark Revision Final Value (Not Seasonally Adjusted);

Friday 21:30, U.S. January Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI YoY, U.S. January Seasonally Adjusted CPI MoM, U.S. January Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI MoM, U.S. January Not Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI YoY;

Bitcoin's January return rate is -10.17%, the fifth worst record since 2013, far below the average January return rate of 2.81%; Ethereum's January return rate is -17.52%, the third worst record since 2017, far below the average January return rate of 16.81%.

Looking ahead to February, historically, Bitcoin's average return rate for February is 12.2%, with only 3 instances of negative return rates. Ethereum's average return for February is 10.37%, with only 2 instances of negative return rates.

Market news: The Trump administration is preparing to confirm Kevin Walsh as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve

Trump: To announce the Federal Reserve Chairman candidate tomorrow morning

From 'Asset Appreciation' to 'Cash Flow Tool': BlackRock's New Milestone for Bitcoin Strategy
• Core Dynamics: BlackRock has officially submitted an application to launch the iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF in January 2026.
• Strategy Analysis: This fund is not simply a straightforward holding of spot assets, but rather generates real premium income by implementing covered call strategies on IBIT, which has an active management scale exceeding 70 billion dollars, converting Bitcoin's high volatility into tangible option premiums.
• Market Significance: This marks the arrival of the Bitcoin ETF 2.0 era. Following IBIT's historic success, BlackRock is meeting institutional demands for 'stable returns + crypto exposure' through structured products.

Tom Lee: The surge in precious metals masks the strengthening fundamentals of cryptocurrencies; the rise of Ethereum and Bitcoin is just a matter of time 🤫🤫

Today, Tom Lee stated, "The parabolic and sustained rise of gold and silver is masking the ongoing strengthening of the intrinsic fundamentals of crypto assets (especially Ethereum and Bitcoin).

At the 2026 Davos Forum, financial institutions are preparing to build products on Ethereum and other smart blockchains. When the fundamentals continue to 'develop upward to the right,' a price increase is just a matter of time."

🚀 Crypto Market "Life and Death Whistle": Repairing the Road, or Is It Good News Landing?
Tomorrow at 15:00 Eastern Time, the Senate Agricultural Committee will officially vote on the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill." This is not only a struggle for regulatory power but also a game of market pricing power!
🔹 Pass: Compliance door opens, institutional funds enter, and the market is likely to begin a parabolic main rise.
🔹 Fail: Regulatory fog continues, sentiment is frustrated, and short-term correction pressure increases significantly.
Volatility is at its peak, fasten your seatbelt, tonight is destined to be a sleepless night for many. ⚖️📊
#Cryptocurrency #SEC #CFTC #Web3 #比特币

Federal Reserve Watch - Key Focus This Week

Core Focus Points on Wednesday:
・3 AM Beijing Time the next day: Announcement of interest rate decision
・Simultaneous release of Federal Open Market Committee policy statement
・3:30 AM Beijing Time the next day: Powell's speech

【Emergency Attention】The probability of the U.S. government shutdown next week is 78%! ⚠️

What will happen in the financial markets next week?

History never lies, cycles are rhyming

2017: Gold increased by 30% ➜ Bitcoin increased by 1900% ➜ Altcoins increased by 10-50 times
2021: Gold increased by 40% ➜ Bitcoin increased by 600% ➜ Altcoins outperformed Bitcoin

2024-2026:
Gold prices are still crazily breaking historical records.
The true bull market of cryptocurrencies hasn't even started yet.

We know what will happen next.

Latest news: 🇺🇸 President Trump stated that he hopes to sign the cryptocurrency bill as soon as possible.

World Economic Forum: Trump's special address is expected to officially begin at 21:30 Beijing time