sathish007

🚨 2026 IS IN 2 DAYS AND IT’S GOING TO BE WORSE THAN EXPECTED....

It looks like something has changed, and now the data lines up perfectly with what’s coming.

First, the bond market is not as calm as some people suggest.

The MOVE Index, the VIX of the bond market, may have dipped recently, but that’s not the end of volatility, it’s a pause.

The long end of the Treasury curve remains one of the biggest pressure points heading into the new year.

Second, foreign buyers are no longer absorbing U.S. Treasury supply the way they once did.

China continues to reduce exposure, and while Japan is still a large holder, flows are becoming far more sensitive to currency moves and policy signals.

When foreign buyers stepped back in the past, issuance still cleared. Today, there’s far less margin for error.

Third, Japan is no longer a background story. Yen weakness is forcing policy responses, and every adjustment there impacts global carry trades and sovereign bond flows.

Carry trade reversals never stay local. The pressure travels, and U.S. Treasuries are usually where it shows up next.

Put it together and the picture is simple:

– Real yields remain elevated.
– Term premium is not collapsing.
– Liquidity conditions are still tight.
– Risk is being priced at the sovereign level.

Stocks can grind higher, gold can make new highs, commodities can rally, but none of that contradicts what is happening underneath.

By the time GDP prints or recession headlines confirm it, the repricing will already be done.

2026 is not just another slowdown risk year.

It’s shaping up to be a sovereign funding stress event, the kind that forces central banks back into the market whether they want to or not.

The timeline still fits and the pressure is building where it always starts.

Watch bonds first, everything else follows.

On another note, I called the last two major market tops publicly, and when I exit the market completely, I’ll share it here for everyone to see.

If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.