a27s
Occasional Trader
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The Middle East and the chess game.
As we can see, Iran is giving a worthy response to the invasion of its country, and that is good. American democracy has already tired the whole world.
And now an important detail in all of this. There is an important chess game happening in the world right now, on several boards. And yes, we do not influence everything that is happening - not at all. Our task is to stay sane and try to extract our share of the benefit. I wrote above that if a third world war is launched in a limited part of the earth, that could even be good. Yes, people are dying, the economy is collapsing, markets are losing money. But this is part of the path to rebooting the financial environment.
And now an important detail in all of this. There is an important chess game happening in the world right now, on several boards. And yes, we do not influence everything that is happening - not at all. Our task is to stay sane and try to extract our share of the benefit. I wrote above that if a third world war is launched in a limited part of the earth, that could even be good. Yes, people are dying, the economy is collapsing, markets are losing money. But this is part of the path to rebooting the financial environment.
During these days, we have witnessed the possible beginning of World War III. Once again, possible.
And what about the market? Nothing. Even the stock market didn't fall. Why?
After all, the event is very large-scale; markets should collapse like a house of cards in such a situation. So why isn't it falling? Well, because someone doesn't need it right now.
Now the question is: How can one believe in that nonsense when they say that the market lives its own life, and no one influences it? How?
Because the market does not live and has never lived its own life; the entire economy of the world is subject to manipulations. Any industry is manipulation and artificially supported. Prices for real estate, land, cars, and more. Even dental services are an artificially supported pricing system. Behind which there is nothing, and it bears no market value.
And what about the market? Nothing. Even the stock market didn't fall. Why?
After all, the event is very large-scale; markets should collapse like a house of cards in such a situation. So why isn't it falling? Well, because someone doesn't need it right now.
Now the question is: How can one believe in that nonsense when they say that the market lives its own life, and no one influences it? How?
Because the market does not live and has never lived its own life; the entire economy of the world is subject to manipulations. Any industry is manipulation and artificially supported. Prices for real estate, land, cars, and more. Even dental services are an artificially supported pricing system. Behind which there is nothing, and it bears no market value.
Zeroing out the US national debt and burning the liquidity printed in 2021.
2021 year, the height of the pandemic, the closure of a bunch of companies, loss of jobs and a decrease in consumption. It triggered a total liquidity printing to save the situation in the global economy. This led to a decline in trust in the dollar and the dollar system as a whole. This situation was emergency, one could say test-like in its nature. Which led to a world full of unsecured liquidity, which in turn led to nothing good.
The fall of the stock market will also drag down the crypto market?
At the moment, the stock market is updating its ATH, and theoretically, it can do this for a long time until large institutional investors secure their share of profits. The question is: Where will this money go?
Money, especially large capital, never parks its profits in cash. It's always a spillover from one asset to another. Whether it's the real sector of the economy or the virtual one, it doesn't matter. Unfortunately, predicting where this spillover will go is impossible. We do not have insider information. But we can, based on probability theory, assume which sector of the economy this capital might flow into.
Money, especially large capital, never parks its profits in cash. It's always a spillover from one asset to another. Whether it's the real sector of the economy or the virtual one, it doesn't matter. Unfortunately, predicting where this spillover will go is impossible. We do not have insider information. But we can, based on probability theory, assume which sector of the economy this capital might flow into.
Is the stock market absorbing the crypto market?
Quietly, tokenized stocks are being brought into the crypto sector, while crypto projects are being destroyed. A strange trend. The mixing of the crypto market with U.S. stocks is absurd and promises nothing good. It turns out that the stock market is absorbing the crypto market, and everything is getting mixed up.
It's understandable, the perspective and the money, but against the backdrop of the stock market, the crypto market looks like a puddle compared to the ocean (funds).
It's understandable, the perspective and the money, but against the backdrop of the stock market, the crypto market looks like a puddle compared to the ocean (funds).
The Grand Plan, or the End of the Party?
So, right now we are in the most distressing situation in the history of the market.
Many experts like Crypto Quant are saying that there is no retail left in this market at all, which is probably more true than false. Indeed, retail activity is not just minimal; it simply doesn't exist. As I mentioned earlier: Why drive retail out of this market?
Many experts like Crypto Quant are saying that there is no retail left in this market at all, which is probably more true than false. Indeed, retail activity is not just minimal; it simply doesn't exist. As I mentioned earlier: Why drive retail out of this market?
Acceptance is being delayed, by how much?
I will go on air, on low frequencies as they say.
The other day I saw news that the laws on the structure of the crypto market may not fit into the deadline, supposedly by April. But this is not certain, the deadlines keep getting pushed back. As mentioned earlier, it makes sense to create a party without market regulation. And those survivors who stayed until the market recovers and subsequently grows - will be taxed.
The other day I saw news that the laws on the structure of the crypto market may not fit into the deadline, supposedly by April. But this is not certain, the deadlines keep getting pushed back. As mentioned earlier, it makes sense to create a party without market regulation. And those survivors who stayed until the market recovers and subsequently grows - will be taxed.
The Global Theater of the Absurd.
No matter how sadly it sounds, during Trump's year in power, the situation in the world and in the markets has turned into a circus with clowns.
My opinion about the market has turned 180ยฐ. Partially, this may be a show to distract attention, and they are succeeding at it. But the longer this "show" goes on, the less faith there is that it is a show. It seems more like a deliberate wobble of the global economy.
My opinion about the market has turned 180ยฐ. Partially, this may be a show to distract attention, and they are succeeding at it. But the longer this "show" goes on, the less faith there is that it is a show. It seems more like a deliberate wobble of the global economy.
Will this break happen or not?
I checked out a few bloggers who are again drawing some patterns and graphs.
Allegedly, the dominance of Ethereum over Bitcoin is starting to grow. It's something like the breaking of a long-standing trend. I haven't seen anything like that. We're just standing still, within the margin of error. It's an uninteresting phase.
Recently, I read that there will be an active push to promote the CLARITY ACT to the White House for Trump's signature.
Allegedly, the dominance of Ethereum over Bitcoin is starting to grow. It's something like the breaking of a long-standing trend. I haven't seen anything like that. We're just standing still, within the margin of error. It's an uninteresting phase.
Recently, I read that there will be an active push to promote the CLARITY ACT to the White House for Trump's signature.
Epstein's Party.
It's interesting how the market will turn out. Let there be zero.
Will someone say tasty prices? Maybe. But itโs not worth buying. At the moment, no market is behaving rationally at all. And no one is held accountable for it. This leads me to think that the scenarios considered earlier, based on historical patterns, are broken.
Such behavior in the markets, where no one bears any responsibility, may indicate either great goals concerning the market itself or, on the contrary, military objectives. When the elites have no regard for stock and crypto prices. Their objectives are military in nature and the vector may have shifted towards a military campaign to secure a place in the sun.
A kind of great reboot of the entire system through global shock. I cannot describe this madhouse in any other way. Thereโs no need to buy anything back. For this may not be the stage where blood is simply spilled in the streets. It is most likely just a rearrangement onto new tracks. And which projects will survive on these new tracks is unknown. We need to be realists. There is no point in fixing such huge losses when buying or selling.
Will someone say tasty prices? Maybe. But itโs not worth buying. At the moment, no market is behaving rationally at all. And no one is held accountable for it. This leads me to think that the scenarios considered earlier, based on historical patterns, are broken.
Such behavior in the markets, where no one bears any responsibility, may indicate either great goals concerning the market itself or, on the contrary, military objectives. When the elites have no regard for stock and crypto prices. Their objectives are military in nature and the vector may have shifted towards a military campaign to secure a place in the sun.
A kind of great reboot of the entire system through global shock. I cannot describe this madhouse in any other way. Thereโs no need to buy anything back. For this may not be the stage where blood is simply spilled in the streets. It is most likely just a rearrangement onto new tracks. And which projects will survive on these new tracks is unknown. We need to be realists. There is no point in fixing such huge losses when buying or selling.
Flow was hacked for 3.4 million and sold on the market. At one point, the price fell by 50%.
1inch was sold for 5 million. Or rather, it wasn't sold, but simply exchanged on several platforms.
Karl, that's a couple of million dollars, not billions. And the price has rolled back so much.
Now the question is: If such a small capital hits the asset so hard, what will happen if and when hundreds of billions are poured into the market?
Of course, risks should be taken into account. But just to think and break it down, a lot of money is not needed to shake up the market. The crypto market is completely squeezed from a liquidity standpoint. Therefore, it is logical to think that it would not be difficult to shake it back with small capitals, theoretically of course.
Moreover, if the U.S. plan is the expansion of the dollar through stablecoins. Then theoretically, if hundreds of billions, or even a couple of trillions, are poured into the market. One can only imagine what kind of growth there will be.
Naturally, I am writing this based on observations and theories.
1inch was sold for 5 million. Or rather, it wasn't sold, but simply exchanged on several platforms.
Karl, that's a couple of million dollars, not billions. And the price has rolled back so much.
Now the question is: If such a small capital hits the asset so hard, what will happen if and when hundreds of billions are poured into the market?
Of course, risks should be taken into account. But just to think and break it down, a lot of money is not needed to shake up the market. The crypto market is completely squeezed from a liquidity standpoint. Therefore, it is logical to think that it would not be difficult to shake it back with small capitals, theoretically of course.
Moreover, if the U.S. plan is the expansion of the dollar through stablecoins. Then theoretically, if hundreds of billions, or even a couple of trillions, are poured into the market. One can only imagine what kind of growth there will be.
Naturally, I am writing this based on observations and theories.
ยซAdvice of the Dayยป from CZ โ twitter
ยซAI will leave you without a job. Cryptocurrency will make it so that you won't need a job. Buy and hold now, retire in a few years โ if you haven't already retired thanks to crypto. (This is not financial advice)ยป.
โซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธ
We are not retiring, we are going straight to the afterlife.
ยซAI will leave you without a job. Cryptocurrency will make it so that you won't need a job. Buy and hold now, retire in a few years โ if you haven't already retired thanks to crypto. (This is not financial advice)ยป.
โซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธโซ๏ธ
We are not retiring, we are going straight to the afterlife.
Recession and crisis = growth of crypto?
I will start my narrative by saying that the emergence of the crypto market began after the massive real estate market crisis in 2008. That's by the way. Immediately in 2009, Bitcoin appeared as an alternative to the traditional financial system.
Now, during periods of such apathy in the crypto market. While on the stock market there is a celebration: Gold, silver, copper. Shares of top companies and others are growing like yeast. I can't help but wonder: What will happen when this entire party on the stock market comes to an end?
Now, during periods of such apathy in the crypto market. While on the stock market there is a celebration: Gold, silver, copper. Shares of top companies and others are growing like yeast. I can't help but wonder: What will happen when this entire party on the stock market comes to an end?
Just a few more words in addition.
Right now, it's hard to say encouraging words. To tell that everything will be great and the alt season is just around the corner. I do not deny my words and articles, I am not leaving the market - you know my position.
But against this backdrop, it is very difficult for me to observe this catastrophic situation and losses. I am a living person, just like you, and I lead this community out of personal enthusiasm. In a way, it's a channel for personal notes of the path I've traveled. As they say, everything in real time. My disappointment and joy, I convey here. And as I wrote above, if things are terrible, I talk about it.
All my mistakes, of which there are a huge number on the path of being in the market, I likewise convey here.
You are not alone in this situation. Right now in the market are all those who formed a portfolio since 2023. Absolutely everyone is in deep drawdown. Some have exited with losses, some are buying more. And some are doing absolutely nothing.
Right now, it's hard to say encouraging words. To tell that everything will be great and the alt season is just around the corner. I do not deny my words and articles, I am not leaving the market - you know my position.
But against this backdrop, it is very difficult for me to observe this catastrophic situation and losses. I am a living person, just like you, and I lead this community out of personal enthusiasm. In a way, it's a channel for personal notes of the path I've traveled. As they say, everything in real time. My disappointment and joy, I convey here. And as I wrote above, if things are terrible, I talk about it.
All my mistakes, of which there are a huge number on the path of being in the market, I likewise convey here.
You are not alone in this situation. Right now in the market are all those who formed a portfolio since 2023. Absolutely everyone is in deep drawdown. Some have exited with losses, some are buying more. And some are doing absolutely nothing.
Opinion and attitude towards investing, right now.
Just a little more and the market will recover, and a bunch of experts will flood the info field. Classic.
You know my position. I believe in growth, but I can't say for sure what timings to focus on. In the fall, when the market was recovering, I expected the turning point to come. But we were shown the red behind of a baboon on October 10. Therefore, I am adjusting my position.
You know my position. I believe in growth, but I can't say for sure what timings to focus on. In the fall, when the market was recovering, I expected the turning point to come. But we were shown the red behind of a baboon on October 10. Therefore, I am adjusting my position.
The name of the project, stretching over time.
Many have heard that it is necessary to buy new projects. The argument is that new projects are even better adapted to new laws and have greater value for manipulators. This is all true, but there is a nuance.
So, a new project is coming to the market. Without history, without a name. Trust in it is minimal, a name is earned over time. The project must be well-known, it should be talked about, and it should generate interest. A history of failures and successes, a path, a roadmap, and everything else. It can only be earned over time.
So, a new project is coming to the market. Without history, without a name. Trust in it is minimal, a name is earned over time. The project must be well-known, it should be talked about, and it should generate interest. A history of failures and successes, a path, a roadmap, and everything else. It can only be earned over time.
The first buyers of the new cycle feel like idiots.
There is no euphoria.
No support.
No approval.
There is a feeling that you are again going "the wrong way".
This is a normal sign that the market is not yet for everyone.
There is no euphoria.
No support.
No approval.
There is a feeling that you are again going "the wrong way".
This is a normal sign that the market is not yet for everyone.
Why growth always starts "too early"
It begins when the crowd has not yet psychologically returned.
Growth seems strange, unconvincing, "fake"
That is why it is ignored.
The manipulator does not need witnesses at the start.
It begins when the crowd has not yet psychologically returned.
Growth seems strange, unconvincing, "fake"
That is why it is ignored.
The manipulator does not need witnesses at the start.
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