Denis 1981
Open Trade
Frequent Trader
2.1 Years
5 Following
176 Followers
280 Liked
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Time to analyze Litecoin, I set very good targets for it, let's move on to the arguments.
Arguments:
Trend. The trend is upward, we are working to continue the trend. We cannot go below 110 and consolidate, as this would break the structure.
Formations. The triple bottom remains as it was, its target: 167. Confirmation has already occurred, we were given a very nice retest of the neckline level.
Important levels. There is an interesting block at 155, if we consolidate above this block, it will lead us to 207. The next level at 197 will take us to 280, in case we consolidate above it.
đ€Conclusion: I expect from this asset: 200, 270.
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BTC
Bitcoin is growing quite beautifully and simply after a rather complex and rarely seen running triangle pattern, which we reviewed in our article titled "Where Triangles Run".
At this point, based on the markup and additional indicators, we see a complete completion of wave (i), now medium-term longs can be sought when wave (ii) reaches the 0.5 correction level.
It is also important to note that considering the established length of (i), the optimal targets for the medium-term growth of Bitcoin have shifted higher and are now approximately equal to 128000. This is where wave 3 will end.
Bitcoin is growing quite beautifully and simply after a rather complex and rarely seen running triangle pattern, which we reviewed in our article titled "Where Triangles Run".
At this point, based on the markup and additional indicators, we see a complete completion of wave (i), now medium-term longs can be sought when wave (ii) reaches the 0.5 correction level.
It is also important to note that considering the established length of (i), the optimal targets for the medium-term growth of Bitcoin have shifted higher and are now approximately equal to 128000. This is where wave 3 will end.
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$BNB
Before investing in altcoins, it is important to study them carefully and understand the risks.
In classical investment strategy, two factors are always important: buying at a good price and selling at the right time. In the example with Notcoin, over 114 days, the token price returned to the support level of $0.007076 and showed only a slight increase. The same Bitcoin and many altcoins have already doubled since August 2024, so think about it.
Personally, I believe that buying altcoins like Notcoin may be impractical, as their growth is less significant than the growth of Bitcoin and many other altcoins, which, in my subjective opinion, makes such investments risky.
If you have tokens that you received from airdrops, it is important to sell them when the price reaches its peak (ideally even at the swing highs), because such tokens, after reaching price peaks (during overheating and excessive interest), are likely to drop sharply.
As for #NOT - I am waiting for a correction to the support level of $0.007076 and then a bounce to the resistance level of $0.017544, where I plan to withdraw the principal of my investments, and possibly even secure part of my main position.
Before investing in altcoins, it is important to study them carefully and understand the risks.
In classical investment strategy, two factors are always important: buying at a good price and selling at the right time. In the example with Notcoin, over 114 days, the token price returned to the support level of $0.007076 and showed only a slight increase. The same Bitcoin and many altcoins have already doubled since August 2024, so think about it.
Personally, I believe that buying altcoins like Notcoin may be impractical, as their growth is less significant than the growth of Bitcoin and many other altcoins, which, in my subjective opinion, makes such investments risky.
If you have tokens that you received from airdrops, it is important to sell them when the price reaches its peak (ideally even at the swing highs), because such tokens, after reaching price peaks (during overheating and excessive interest), are likely to drop sharply.
As for #NOT - I am waiting for a correction to the support level of $0.007076 and then a bounce to the resistance level of $0.017544, where I plan to withdraw the principal of my investments, and possibly even secure part of my main position.
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ONDO
Current Situation: The price of OND is at $1.9689, showing a downward movement after a local peak. The chart highlights liquidity levels and areas of interest for potential entries.
Important Levels
Support:
$1.9418 (23.6% Fibonacci) â key zone for the first reaction.
$1.8141 (38.2% Fibonacci) â strong support level with possible bounce.
$1.7725 â deep retracement zone marked for limit orders.
Resistance:
$2.0768 â nearest target for the retracement movement.
$2.1482 â upper limit for profit taking after a breakout.
Strategy: The main scenario is a retracement to the zones of $1.9418 or $1.8141 with possible volume accumulation. Limit buys around $1.7725 could provide the ideal entry point during a deep correction.
Current Situation: The price of OND is at $1.9689, showing a downward movement after a local peak. The chart highlights liquidity levels and areas of interest for potential entries.
Important Levels
Support:
$1.9418 (23.6% Fibonacci) â key zone for the first reaction.
$1.8141 (38.2% Fibonacci) â strong support level with possible bounce.
$1.7725 â deep retracement zone marked for limit orders.
Resistance:
$2.0768 â nearest target for the retracement movement.
$2.1482 â upper limit for profit taking after a breakout.
Strategy: The main scenario is a retracement to the zones of $1.9418 or $1.8141 with possible volume accumulation. Limit buys around $1.7725 could provide the ideal entry point during a deep correction.
See original
Current Situation:
The price of ATOM is trading at $8.893, forming accumulation in the range. Local support with FVG indicates a potential bounce upwards, but there remains a possibility of a deep test of lower levels.
Important Levels:
Support:
$8.305 â 50% correction zone and key FVG.
$8.056 â 61.8% correction, important for the bounce.
$7.512 â $7.250 â deep correction zones where a final reversal is possible.
Resistance:
$9.359 â local profit-taking level.
$9.560 â key zone for a bullish breakout.
Strategy:
Upward bounce from the zone $8.305 â $8.056, with targets at $9.359 and main resistance at $9.560.
Alternative Scenario: deepening correction into the area $7.512 â $7.250, where buyers may show activity, pushing the price upwards.
The price of ATOM is trading at $8.893, forming accumulation in the range. Local support with FVG indicates a potential bounce upwards, but there remains a possibility of a deep test of lower levels.
Important Levels:
Support:
$8.305 â 50% correction zone and key FVG.
$8.056 â 61.8% correction, important for the bounce.
$7.512 â $7.250 â deep correction zones where a final reversal is possible.
Resistance:
$9.359 â local profit-taking level.
$9.560 â key zone for a bullish breakout.
Strategy:
Upward bounce from the zone $8.305 â $8.056, with targets at $9.359 and main resistance at $9.560.
Alternative Scenario: deepening correction into the area $7.512 â $7.250, where buyers may show activity, pushing the price upwards.
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ADA
Currently, the asset is showing a corrective movement within an upward trend. I would like to take advantage of this correction to buy the asset for myself in the spot market and capture the upcoming movement towards 1.2. I also do not rule out that the asset may drop to the area of 0.9, where there are strong limit buy orders for this cryptocurrency, which would positively affect the price. In general, I think everything is perfectly clear, there is support, there is resistance, and the levels coincide with the abnormal orders of market manipulators, which means we confidently await the execution.
Entry point: 1
Take profit: 1.2
See original
Analysis of OP on the 4-hour timeframe
The asset showed a positive reaction after testing the support zone and is currently demonstrating an upward movement.
To continue growing:
Condition: impulse to resistance level 2.700$ and consolidation above.
Opportunity: open a long position with the aim of further price growth.
For opening a short position:
Condition: decline and break of the support level at $2.100.
Opportunity: enter short with the aim of capturing a deeper price decline.
The asset showed a positive reaction after testing the support zone and is currently demonstrating an upward movement.
To continue growing:
Condition: impulse to resistance level 2.700$ and consolidation above.
Opportunity: open a long position with the aim of further price growth.
For opening a short position:
Condition: decline and break of the support level at $2.100.
Opportunity: enter short with the aim of capturing a deeper price decline.
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Based on the provided chart (4-hour timeframe for the SOL/USDT pair): General Remarks:
1. Current price: $217.78.
2. Trend: the price shows sideways movement* with prevailing downward pressure in recent days, indicating uncertainty in the market.
3. Key levels: - Support: around 208â210 USDT (recent lows). - Resistance: around 225â230 USDT (recent local highs).
Potential trading scenarios:
1. Long (Buy): - Entry conditions: - Price holds above 210 USDT and forms a reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or bullish pin bar). - Break above resistance at 225 USDT with volume confirmation. - Target: move toward the 230â240 dollar level. - Stop-loss: below 208 USDT.
2. Short (Sell): - Entry conditions: - Price loses support at 210 USDT and settles below it. - Appearance of strong bearish candles. - Target: drop to 192â198 dollars. - Stop-loss: above 220 USDT. Recommendation: The market is currently in a consolidation phase. For decision-making, it is better to wait for: - Break of a key resistance or support level - Additional signals from indicators (volume, RSI, and MACD).
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The CEO of CryptoQuant stated that MicroStrategy faces bankruptcy only in the event of an asteroid falling to Earth, as Bitcoin has never traded below the average purchase price of long-term investors ($30,000)
With a debt of $7 billion, the company's BTC assets are valued at $46 billion. Liquidation is only possible if BTC falls to $16,500.
With a debt of $7 billion, the company's BTC assets are valued at $46 billion. Liquidation is only possible if BTC falls to $16,500.
See original
Trading Psychology
BTC
What distinguishes a trader from a gambler?
First and foremost - risk assessment and a systematic approach to each trade.
A trader must clearly define the acceptable risk before entering a trade, as well as the goal, so as not to ask oneself where to exit. Understanding technical aspects is not so important - any known strategy can yield results if one adheres to risk management per trade and the R/R ratio (Risk/Reward). Contrary to the misconception of inexperienced traders, in trading, the frequency of successful trades is not important; you can have 70% losing trades against 30% winning ones, but still make a profit due to a well-calibrated R/R. Thus, the R/R calculation should be based on a ratio of 1:2 to 1:10 and beyond, favoring the second coefficient (profit). That is, if you define the risk in a trade as 1% of the deposit, your fixation should start from 2% profit and above. Premature closing will lead to a violation of both the system and your mathematical expectation, which will not allow you to earn, even if you do not make mistakes often. For example, out of 20 successful trades, you may only have one that covers your efforts, and even being a successful analyst, you will incur a loss.
What distinguishes a trader from a gambler?
First and foremost - risk assessment and a systematic approach to each trade.
A trader must clearly define the acceptable risk before entering a trade, as well as the goal, so as not to ask oneself where to exit. Understanding technical aspects is not so important - any known strategy can yield results if one adheres to risk management per trade and the R/R ratio (Risk/Reward). Contrary to the misconception of inexperienced traders, in trading, the frequency of successful trades is not important; you can have 70% losing trades against 30% winning ones, but still make a profit due to a well-calibrated R/R. Thus, the R/R calculation should be based on a ratio of 1:2 to 1:10 and beyond, favoring the second coefficient (profit). That is, if you define the risk in a trade as 1% of the deposit, your fixation should start from 2% profit and above. Premature closing will lead to a violation of both the system and your mathematical expectation, which will not allow you to earn, even if you do not make mistakes often. For example, out of 20 successful trades, you may only have one that covers your efforts, and even being a successful analyst, you will incur a loss.
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TRX still has strong positions in the market, which means that the meme coins created on Tron also have strong positions in the market. Such as SUNDOG, for example.
The token #SUNDOG can very well reach a target of $0.5, which implies a market capitalization of 500 million$ (which many are already talking about).
#SUNDOG is a key meme in the TRON network ecosystem, making it popular among users. Memes often go viral and can attract a lot of attention, which can contribute to their value growth.
I believe that in 2025, memes in the cryptocurrency space will be very popular, which will contribute to the success of the token #SUNDOG and, likely, other meme tokens.
The token #SUNDOG can very well reach a target of $0.5, which implies a market capitalization of 500 million$ (which many are already talking about).
#SUNDOG is a key meme in the TRON network ecosystem, making it popular among users. Memes often go viral and can attract a lot of attention, which can contribute to their value growth.
I believe that in 2025, memes in the cryptocurrency space will be very popular, which will contribute to the success of the token #SUNDOG and, likely, other meme tokens.
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BTC
In the cryptocurrency market, I am currently continuing to build medium-term positions, and I think we will soon see interesting longs again.
In BTC dominance, a planned rebound in wave B is taking place, we are heading to test the broken level, directly into the correction zone of 0.5-0.618 according to Fibonacci. From there, we should get a reversal and a move in wave C to the next support at 50-52% according to all parameters.
From the patterns - an ascending channel, accordingly, we are waiting for a breakout of the lower trendline and the beginning of another growth wave in altcoins.
In the cryptocurrency market, I am currently continuing to build medium-term positions, and I think we will soon see interesting longs again.
In BTC dominance, a planned rebound in wave B is taking place, we are heading to test the broken level, directly into the correction zone of 0.5-0.618 according to Fibonacci. From there, we should get a reversal and a move in wave C to the next support at 50-52% according to all parameters.
From the patterns - an ascending channel, accordingly, we are waiting for a breakout of the lower trendline and the beginning of another growth wave in altcoins.
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SOLUSDT
The asset price shows a downward movement against the background of a medium-term upward trend, which we will work on. The key support is the hourly level of 211.00, from which we will open a long position. Let's repeat the success of the previous transaction. We remove the stop loss behind the support level of 205.50 in case of a false breakout.
The first goal in the transaction is to return the price behind the resistance level of 219.68. With a high probability, this will happen through a local corrective movement, together with consolidation. As soon as the asset successfully consolidates above this level, we should expect an impulse jump to the next resistance at 240.13, where we should place a take profit.
The asset price shows a downward movement against the background of a medium-term upward trend, which we will work on. The key support is the hourly level of 211.00, from which we will open a long position. Let's repeat the success of the previous transaction. We remove the stop loss behind the support level of 205.50 in case of a false breakout.
The first goal in the transaction is to return the price behind the resistance level of 219.68. With a high probability, this will happen through a local corrective movement, together with consolidation. As soon as the asset successfully consolidates above this level, we should expect an impulse jump to the next resistance at 240.13, where we should place a take profit.
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Overview of #ARB on the 4H chart:
The current asset looks bullish, however, there is a disruption in the structure, which makes the scenarios particularly interesting.
Long Position:
Condition: consolidation above the key level of $1.100.
Target: movement into the maximum removal zone at the level of $1.250.
Short Position:
Condition: consolidation below the area of interest at $0.930.
Target: decrease to the minimum area of $0.820$ with the possibility of continued decline.
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BTC
Last week we saw a correction that turned out to be shallow but allowed for good altcoin purchases. At the moment, Bitcoin is updating its price maximum, which is positive and fits into the cyclical model. The nearest extreme is scheduled for December 22-24; let's see what levels we will be given. Don't forget that within the growing phase, Bitcoin can easily correct by 10-15%, and that is normal. Dominance is currently showing a correction from the first strong decline; all attention will be focused solely on Bitcoin for some time.
The nearest levels for positional purchases are $65,800, $61,000, $57,000.
The nearest resistance is $112,000, $122,000, $139,000.
Globally, everything remains unchanged - an upward trend, an impulse growth phase, and all serious declines can be viewed as an opportunity to make purchases.
Last week we saw a correction that turned out to be shallow but allowed for good altcoin purchases. At the moment, Bitcoin is updating its price maximum, which is positive and fits into the cyclical model. The nearest extreme is scheduled for December 22-24; let's see what levels we will be given. Don't forget that within the growing phase, Bitcoin can easily correct by 10-15%, and that is normal. Dominance is currently showing a correction from the first strong decline; all attention will be focused solely on Bitcoin for some time.
The nearest levels for positional purchases are $65,800, $61,000, $57,000.
The nearest resistance is $112,000, $122,000, $139,000.
Globally, everything remains unchanged - an upward trend, an impulse growth phase, and all serious declines can be viewed as an opportunity to make purchases.
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AVAX has shown impressive growth since the beginning of November and approached the highs of March this year, after which we saw a corrective movement. Currently, the asset is moving within a sideways range of 55.860-39.600, where positions can be built in both directions. However, since I operate from long positions in a rising market, I will only build my position from the lower boundaries of the range.
In the zone of the 4-hour block, which is located in the daily bullish order block. This buying zone can be used to enter a trade.
In the zone of the 4-hour block, which is located in the daily bullish order block. This buying zone can be used to enter a trade.
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BTC 1D
I assume that during the second half of December the market will rise.
I expect that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower the interest rate by 0.25% on December 18.
Also on December 18, a press conference with the Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, is expected. Market participants will closely monitor his statements, as they may influence the further dynamics of the market.
With all that said, I believe that prices for cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and altcoins, will rise. Ethereum and second-layer solutions (Layer 2, such as Optimism or Arbitrum) will rise faster than other altcoins.
In my opinion, we may expect another significant dump in the first half of January, and the second half of January may be more volatile, meaning there will be more price fluctuations in the market.
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Current Situation:
BTC is trading at $103,400, confidently moving up along the trend line. However, possible corrective scenarios are highlighted on the chart in the area below the current value.
Important Levels:
Support:
$100,613 â liquidity zone and key correction level that could serve as support.
$98,879 â 50% FVG zone and deep support, important for the continuation of growth.
Resistance:
$104,088 â key resistance zone, where profit-taking may occur.
Strategy:
Two scenarios for BTC movement:
Break above the level of $104,088 with consolidation and subsequent continuation of growth.
Correction retracement in the range of $100,613 â $98,879, where one can look for points for limit buys to continue the growth.
Target for partial position fixation â resistance $104,088.
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Solana SOL is about to exit the correction.
It is dangerous to buy now, because the market as a whole may have another strait in the near future. I think the market has not completed the correction movement. For example, according to total2, a full-fledged ABC correction structure has not formed. There is no correction of at least 38%. Therefore, there is still a chance for all alts to go down one time.
Here, levels 205 and 191 look very appetizing. At the same time, 191 is a mega level. Support for the uptrend. Support for the correction downtrend. Horizontal buyer block.
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BONK is nothing less than the king of the rebound!
Bonk is showing character and confidently pushing off from the support level of $0.00003648. The strength of buyers is clearly growing, as if someone offered free memes for each new bull. A triangle has formed on the chart, which seems to hint: it's time to go Long! And, as optimists say, this is +116% from current levels.
Are you ready for this meme token to laugh at the bears? If the forecasts come true, then Bonk can become a real star of the altseason. As they say, âmay the liquidity be with you!â
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NFPCryptoImpact
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$PEPE "STILL WAITING TO CLIMB"
#Hi guys!!!
Let's monitor $PEPE's price movement for today. After dropping at the beginning of the daily candle formation, the price has slowly started to rise.
On the hourly timeframe, the price is holding around 0.00000700âwill it continue to climb? As always, let's wait and see to $PEPE
show the wayđ„
The nearest resistance is at 0.00000731âif the candle closes above this level, there's a strong potential for further upside. However, be cautious of possible retracements!
The nearest support is at 0.00000648, and if a candle closes below it, the price could continue to drop.
The key support level is 0.00000585, marking the lower boundary of the daily trading range. If this level is breached, the daily timeframe will experience a Change of Character to bearish.
Don't forget today's news is NFP, becarefull there may be very high volatility
That's all for now! I hope this information helps. Make sure to combine this analysis with your own, and always stick to your trading plan and risk management.
Good luck, guys!!!
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