Personal position operation sharing:

1: Cleared eth, ARB, sol, cosmos (tia, DYM, atom), leaving some low-security pledges;

2: Left 30% of the position of U, for financial management or wool.

3: BTC position is 72%

4: The remaining altcoins are BNB, pepe,

Since the second half of last year, I have been preparing for the bear market, selling dozens of airdrop coins, the largest ones are arb, merlin, blast, dogs, zk, so I have some reserves.

The next step is to wait for further confirmation of the bear market, and make a price reminder of 30,000 dollars for Bitcoin.

Continue to observe: pepe, not, dogs, ton ​​, sol, ordi

I saw someone say that it’s okay to hold on for another 16 to 19 months.

From now on, there will be no bull-bear cycle in the cryptocurrency circle,
so how long can be acceptable!

There will only be a series of such large and small market trends in the future.

So it doesn’t matter how long it takes, the market will not fall for 16 consecutive months again.

In 2018, 2019, 2020, 22, 23 years, there will be opportunities every year.

Everyone must remember that in the future, don’t make market decisions based on the thinking of bull and bear markets.

Grow up and survive!

Bitcoin and altcoins are in reverse order, altcoins have hit bottom!

According to the previous relationship between Bitcoin and altcoins, Bitcoin fell slightly, while altcoins collapsed. The non-agricultural data came out last night, but the market went the other way. The market makers released all the positive news. BTC fell after a night of fermentation. In the morning, altcoins not only did not fall, but even rose.

🔻It can be said that the current relationship between altcoins and Bitcoin has reversed, which is a bit like the prelude to the altcoin season. However, there is another reason, that most altcoins have already hit bottom, and they can't fall any further.

🔻According to previous analysis, both BTC and altcoins have performed poorly, and BTC short orders are still opening at an average price of 59,100. Now short orders can consider stopping profits.

Let's talk about the two positives and one negative of $ONDO.
And which coin is more cost-effective in the RWA sector

1: The entry threshold of the US Treasury RWA product OUSG will be lowered next week
It will allow many retail investors to enter the market and buy his US Treasury products

2: As the leader of RWA, it is currently only listed on Binance Contract
It has not yet been listed on Binance spot, and it will definitely be listed in the future
It is very likely to pull up more than 30% at that time

3. Unlock 1.94 billion tokens on January 19 next year, which is equivalent to 135% of the current circulation. If the market value remains unchanged, it is equivalent to the dilution of more than half of the value of your assets

In summary, I personally recommend that friends who hold it should wait for Binance spot to ship it out, and clear the position above 0.8. There is no need to structure this coin

4. Those who are optimistic about the RWA sector can buy fully unlocked $OM and $TRU, and there will be no additional selling pressure

Don’t be too pessimistic, the market is fluctuating widely!

1) BTC is still fluctuating widely up and down in this large-scale downward channel;

2) The US stock market fell below the long-term daily upward trend line. The interest rate cut is the beginning of the US stock market’s volatile decline, which will drag down BTC to some extent;

3) In the subsequent extreme case, BTC may drop to around 480; in general, it will fall to around 525;

4) After two or three interest rate cuts, BTC began to rise. Hold on!

When can I go all-in on altcoins?

The most likely time for the altcoin season to come is when the altcoin index Total2 (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC, $) reaches the oversold area at the weekly level again.

In the past 805 days, Total2 has been oversold four times on a weekly basis, the last time on September 11, 2023, and then the six-month altcoin season began. Therefore, the signal worth paying attention to is that when Total2 hits the oversold again, it may be the key time for the next altcoin season to start.

It is worth noting that Total2 reaching oversold does not necessarily mean that the market needs to fall sharply. It may also be like September 11, 2023, when the price is fluctuating and the indicator reaches oversold. I can't guarantee that this time will completely replicate the past model, but I think the market adjustment brought about by this method is relatively mild, which is a more ideal situation.

After a bull-bear cycle switches, when it falls back to the bottom, I personally only recommend buying BTC first. My personal commonly used methods are as follows:

1. Big cycle bottom-fishing: The reason why I suggested bottom-fishing on the left side below 20,000 in September 22 is very simple, that is, to wait for the BTC price to fall by more than 70%. At this time, you can buy in batches, and it will not fall much further. This stage is suitable for small drops and small purchases, and large drops and large purchases.

2. Big cycle right-side buying: The logic of prompting bottom-fishing on the right side below 26,000 in May last year is not difficult. It is to wait until the market meets the first one mentioned above, and the daily K or weekly K appears golden pit, head and shoulder bottom and other K-line patterns with bottoming significance, and the moving average system also appears bottom adhesion and upward divergence. After that, it is the normal logic of "Lifeline Strategy".

Did you smash it? A whale!

A whale who built a Bitcoin position at an average price of $58,604 in the past few days sold 1,000 Bitcoins to stop loss, losing $2.97 million

On September 6, according to Ember monitoring, a whale/institution that withdrew 2,322 BTC (136 million USD) from Binance at a price of $58,604 in the past few days (August 29 to September 3) transferred 1,000 BTC (55.63 million USD) to Binance 15 minutes ago, realizing a loss of $2.97 million.

I just cleaned up my positions. I am not optimistic about altcoins now. It is really hard to say whether there will be another altcoin season in this round.

The reason is that the altcoins are locked in too much. A lot of patient capital is locked in. There is no patient capital to provide liquidity. Everyone wants to run away as soon as the market goes up.

There are four operations: buy, sell, hold, and short. Short is also an operation.

There are no hot spots in the market now. Observe more, do less, and wait patiently for the market's speculative sentiment to recover!

Whenever this happens, I will only do one thing, buy Bitcoin without thinking, and keep buying...

Everyone has their own basis for judging the bull market. My judgment is that the real bull market for Bitcoin has not yet arrived.

Overview of crypto market dynamics on September 6

1) Market trends:

BTC fell, and altcoins generally fell.

US stocks fluctuated downward, and employment data was lower than expected.

2) Market hot spots:

Small coins BSW and DOGS rose:

BSW is a newly opened contract of BN.

DOGS is a newly opened coin-based contract.

Game BigTime rose:

BigTime was listed on the Korean exchange Upbit.

DePin's Heium rose:
Heium's newly launched distributed solar energy project. Currently, DePin's businesses include Wi-Fi, mobile communications and solar energy, all of which are Ponzi splits, and have strong ground promotion capabilities in the United States. DePin's Grass has an OTC market value of approximately US$300 million.

TON game Catizen starts pre-market trading:
Catizen is a domestic cat-raising game, similar to Lianliankan, with an OTC market value of approximately US$400 million.

Bitcoin is in a downward trend, wait patiently for an opportunity to strike!

1) From the daily line, the 0.382 position may not hold up in the future, and it may fall to the Fibonacci downward channel 0.786 position, which is around 52500;

2) Nasdaq fell to the upward trend line position, and the interest rate cut is imminent. The US stock market may continue to fall in the future, which will drag down BTC;

3) BITFINEX institutions have continued to increase their BTC spot leverage positions against the trend, and have increased their positions for many consecutive days. It is admirable and worth thinking about!

Suddenly I found that irrationality is the password for traffic.
Only mindless black, permanent profit and permanent loss can have traffic.
Human nature is to like to watch the excitement, like to vent emotions based on what you think is the truth.
It's also good, if you don't know, you won't be painful, and it's also good to be a mob.

But I hope I can be rational, just like when I do market analysis, look at each K line rationally, and constantly improve my trading logic.
Look at each event rationally, accept reality, and do things within your ability.

Must-see, must-see, must-see! "Big Events in the Cryptocurrency Circle in September"

U.S. non-farm data released on September 6.

Trump vs. Harris debate on September 10.

European Central Bank interest rate decision on September 12.

CPI price index released on September 11.

Trump hush money incident court ruling on September 18.

Federal Reserve interest rate decision and economic forecast summary on September 19.

Bank of Japan interest rate decision on September 20.

U.S. cryptocurrency full committee hearing on September 23.

CZ released on September 29.

Dogs

Optimistic logic
1 As the only meme that is directly listed on the exchange, it is easier to control the market than those memes that are first on the chain and then on the exchange. Dogs must be highly controlled by concentrated chips.

2 Dogs is said to be created by a group of people behind not and ton. Not has been very aggressive in pulling the market before, and Dogs may be the next not.

3 Binance almost never opens coin-based contracts for small coins, but Dogs has. This shows that the support is very strong.

Target 2 months, 2-3 times increase

I miss the time of Shib Doge!
I also miss upbit being a banker and playing with gas
I miss binance's super and om jasmy trb bond even more

All the successful people have retired one by one,
and only we are left
The leeks who are still working hard are cutting me and I'm cutting you!

Old leeks are getting smarter,
and new leeks are getting rarer.

Cherish every opportunity that happens in the future of the cryptocurrency circle!

Who has bought the inscription on the avax chain?

My real friend chatted with him yesterday and said that he had sold it yesterday. He bought and sold a total of 6000u, and finally sold it for 139 dollars, which dropped dozens of times. It has never been pulled up.

It is said that it is a coin issued by the boss of a certain exchange.

This year may be the last year to commemorate September 4th. I looked around today and found that not many people are commemorating it. They are all old antiques.

The times are changing so fast. You thought it was difficult to get over it, but in a few years, no one will even remember it.

Making money and losing money make you feel uncomfortable at the moment, but if you think about it now, can you remember the asset fluctuations on a certain day many years ago?

It's all a process.

What you can do in the wash-out stage:
Don’t spread negative emotions in every short-term decline,
Don’t be complacent in every short-term rise.
Then you can grasp the next wave of the market.

“You can’t even understand the market for one day?”

“Hahahaha, I’m slapped in the face, it’s fallen!”
...........
The charts I posted on September 2 and yesterday clearly showed that around 54 is a big support. I don’t have the ability to guess the rise and fall in the short term.

It is the hard truth that everyone changes their mentality, and other people’s opinions can only be used as a reference.
The final decision-making power is in your own hands.

Everyone sticks to their own opinions according to their own logic.
If you think others’ opinions are consistent with yours, then stick to them.
If they are inconsistent, just do the opposite.

Time will give the final result.

Regarding the rise and fall in the wash-out stage:
Ask God in the short term, ask the macro and the market in the medium term, and don’t ask in the long term.

Finally, I hope everyone will not miss the last wave of the market.

Make a fortune every day!

🔍 Secrets to Screening 100x Coins

Want to be a winner in the cryptocurrency circle? Come on, come on, collect this guide to screening 100x coins!

Market value should be low 📉
The total market value of the public chain is less than 50 million, and the dapp protocol is less than 5 million, so that there is enough room for growth.
The track should be wide 🌐
The ceiling should be high, at least the valuation of the big bull market is more than 1 billion US dollars, such as star projects like ETH and SOL.
The narrative should be new 💡
Don’t be unpopular, but want new narratives that can solve practical problems, such as AI GPU computing power and metaverse infrastructure.
Treasures that no one cares about 🔍
The 100x dark horse is often hidden in the corner, and it is basically impossible to know it on the whole network.
Poor liquidity is the norm 💧
Early coins have poor liquidity and are difficult to buy, but this is the threshold and a weapon to stop leeks.
The timing of going online should be clever 📅
The best time is at the end of the bull market or the beginning of the bear market, with a wash period of 6-12 months and a circulation rate greater than 50%.
The unit price should be low 💰
There should be more zeros after the decimal point. The unit price of hundreds or thousands of U will directly scare away the leeks.
Public chain is king 👑
Public chain and head protocols are money-making tools with long life cycles and rich ecosystems.
The team background should be strong 💼
The founders, teams, and investment institutions should be reliable, such as the Ethereum core team and big guys like Y God.
Stay away from the minefield of value investment 💣
Those that violate the logic of value investment, such as deflationary tokens, should be avoided as far as possible.
New story of old coins 📖
Old coins can also have a second spring, but they must have a super new narrative, such as RNDR and CFX.
Choose the leader in the track 🐲
The first dragon is the king, and the ecological coin should be incubated by the leader.
🔥 Conclusion

Remember, these iron laws are not omnipotent, but they can definitely help you avoid most pitfalls. Don't always think about copying past successes. Use these 12 rules to screen new opportunities, and you can also find your own "100x myth" in the cryptocurrency circle! 🚀

Now, are you eager to try and make a big splash in the cryptocurrency circle? Don't forget that investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market! 😉