Add the few coins with the largest rebound increase each time to your watchlist, and during the next pullback, your key purchase coins will all be on this list!

At the end of this bull market, you will find a clear differentiation in the market:

The capital market is always profit-driven, and funds will concentrate on those coins that perform strongly, the strong get stronger!

Coins that are doubted by the market will always struggle to gain attention!

A collective surge may not happen again, and the strong coins in a point-to-point manner will become the main theme of this bull market!

#XRP突破新高？ #AIXBT涨势强劲 #DeFAI热点

Yesterday, the net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF was $754.79 million, and the net inflow of Ethereum spot ETF was $59.12 million;

Texas senators proposed a bill to establish the first state-level Bitcoin strategic reserve in the United States;

An address holding more than 50.25 million USDT was frozen;

Telegram group fraud activities have grown by more than 2,000% in the past three months, surpassing traditional phishing;

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) accused Ripple of trying to increase XRP demand and push up prices through public statements for many years;

Coinbase The number of projects listed on the first day of 2024 set a record, an increase of about 65% over 2023;
After an early whale made a profit of 4,500 times on AIXBT, he transferred 3 million AIXBT to Binance 5 hours ago;

A whale with a band winning rate of 83.3% took profit on a small position 10 hours ago and sold 1029.78 ETH at the address;

Aya, a former core researcher of the Ethereum Foundation, has made great contributions to the development of Ethereum and called on everyone not to slander her easily;

On the Deribit platform, in the block option transaction of ETH, a $3,400 put option expiring in February was bought, and a $3,800 call option was sold at the same time.

#BTC重回10万 #XRP突破新高？ #AIXBT涨势强劲

Which altcoins are worth paying attention to?

Strong performance against BTC: Although the performance of ETH/BTC has been unsatisfactory, the following altcoins have shown strong momentum compared to BTC in the early stages of the bull market and are expected to outperform BTC:

XRP, HBAR, DOGE, XLM, ADA, AGLO, AAVE, CRV, SUI.

Bubble squeeze, low-risk investment: The MEME sector's coins have experienced a decline of up to 70% and are starting to show bottom divergence, making them relatively low-risk.

These coins include WIF, POPCATA, BONK, etc., which have limited downside potential.

#XRP突破新高？ #AIXBT涨势强劲 #DeFAI热点

After the release of the CPI data, the cryptocurrency market performed strongly, with the price of Bitcoin rapidly jumping from $97,000 to $100,000, setting a new weekly high.

Since experiencing a sell-off and dropping to a low of $90,000 on Monday, Bitcoin has risen by nearly $10,000.

Analysts point out that the crypto market may be reacting in advance to inflation data, with investors positioning themselves before the announcement, thus driving the rebound.

However, we believe this rise resembles more of a cleanup of short leverage, and future trends still require further observation.

#BTC重回10万 #XRP突破新高？ #核心CPI回落

The performance of ETH has indeed been very strong, and the future remains full of potential. With the rise of ETH, altcoins will also welcome new opportunities.

Currently, the market background is quite favorable, including:

Trump is about to take office, and his attention to cryptocurrency may bring new momentum.

The new SEC chairman taking office may also influence the direction of cryptocurrency policies.

BTC leads the market rise, with ETH closely following, similar to the trend in November-December last year. But the current enthusiasm has not yet been fully released.

In addition, the continuous promotion of ETH's spot ETF is driving the market, especially the hype around staking applications has become a major highlight in the market.

Overall, these factors may bring a wave of upward momentum for ETH, while also activating opportunities in the altcoin market. You all think this situation is unlikely to go wrong, right?

#美国CPI数据即将公布 #币安Alpha上新 #美国PPI温和上涨

CPI data will be announced at 21:30 on Wednesday the 15th.

If the data is below 2.9, it will be positive news and may drive Bitcoin to challenge $100,000.

If the data is above 2.9, it will be negative news, and Bitcoin may fall back to around $92,000.

#美国CPI数据即将公布 #币安Alpha上新 #美国PPI温和上涨

In the crypto world, you must understand:

Anything is possible, and the real script can never be predicted.

All cryptocurrencies can plummet several times in a single day, and Bitcoin (312) is no exception.

Of course, they can also soar several times, even dozens of times, in a single day. Even cryptocurrencies with high market capitalization still have the potential for crazy increases.

You must always remember that in the crypto world, 'limits' are meant to be broken.

Whenever I think I have predicted all possibilities clearly, the crypto world always surprises me, completely breaking my cognitive boundaries.

There was once a girl who sighed after trading cryptocurrencies:

Every time I think about going all out, I always end up being 'thoroughly' taken by the market.

It is always impossible to predict what will happen next.

#美国CPI数据即将公布 #币安Alpha上新 #市场反弹预测

How should we view the market trend next?

In fact, the situation of domestic pigeons can serve as an important reference for observation.

If the downward trend of the past month can be reversed, first of all, ETH needs to break through yesterday's starting point of 3340, and then break through 3684.

Only in this way can we confirm that the downward trend this month has been curbed.

The biggest potential positive factor in the future may come from Trump's inauguration on the 20th.

According to the latest news, Trump may issue an executive order related to cryptocurrency on the day he takes office.

If this news comes as expected, it is likely to stimulate ETH market similar to that in November again.

#美国CPI数据即将公布 #币安Alpha上新 #美国PPI温和上涨

The upward momentum of Bitcoin is very strong, having rebounded from $89,000 back to above $97,000.

From the 4-hour chart, there are signs of a 'U' shaped reversal.

Currently, the middle band of the daily chart has successfully broken through, suggesting a bullish outlook on any pullbacks! If Bitcoin retraces to the range of 96,200-95,600, consider going long, with target prices around 97,400-97,700-98,200.

For Ethereum, if it retraces to the range of 3,190-3,140, it is also worth considering going long, with short-term targets at 3,250-3,280-3,330.

#美国PPI温和上涨 #AIAgent热潮 #AIAgent热潮

The trend of TC gives people the feeling that something has changed, but in fact it doesn't seem to be much different.

In the altcoin space, Ai16z, aixbt, and arc have seen particularly strong rebounds.

XRP once again performed well and took the lead.

However, most other altcoins remained where they were without significant fluctuations.

There was basically no significant movement in the primary market yesterday, so we still need to wait patiently for the market situation.

The Spring Festival is coming soon, and I am looking forward to the market conditions during this period. This time of year often has good performance.

#美国PPI温和上涨 #市场反弹预测 #哪些代币逆势上涨？

About cognitive judgment:

Views recognized by the public + correct facts + what you recognize = no moneyViews recognized by the public + correct facts + what you do not recognize = loss of moneyViews not recognized by the public + wrong facts + what you do not recognize = no moneyViews not recognized by the public + correct facts + what you recognize = make money
About operation execution:

Wrong cognition + impulsive action = lossWrong cognition + patient action = lossCorrect cognition + impulsive action = lossCorrect cognition + patient action = profit
About circle of competence:

When learning, we should constantly break through the existing circle of competence and improve our cognitive level; when making investment decisions, we must stick to our own circle of competence and avoid making decisions beyond our capabilities.

#市场反弹预测 #AIAgent热潮 #微策略持续增持BTC

Slow down a bit when buying, and remain patient when selling, so you can surpass 90% of accounts.
If you can surpass 95% of accounts, you can ensure steady profits and a successful exit.

This is actually about the ability to think independently.

Step one, slow down a bit when buying, and you will beat more than half of the accounts;
Step two, delay a bit when selling, and you will surpass over 90% of accounts.

As for the remaining 5%, it requires higher experience and personal judgment.

However, achieving 90% is enough to ensure you do not incur losses.

#AIAgent热潮 #微策略持续增持BTC #哪些代币逆势上涨？

In the coming period, the cryptocurrency market may welcome two major potential favorable factors:

First, Trump is expected to assume the presidency again, and it is anticipated that he may introduce policies that are beneficial for the development of cryptocurrency.

Second, FTX plans to repay a significant amount of debt within the next 60 days, which will inject ample liquidity into the market.

Meanwhile, the market generally believes that with changes in the economic environment and the support of policies, the cryptocurrency sector is expected to see new development opportunities in the new year. However, investors still need to remain vigilant, closely monitor market trends, and allocate their investment portfolios wisely.

#市场反弹预测 #AIAgent热潮 #微策略持续增持BTC

It felt like the market collapsed in an instant, but looking back, BTC is still stable at 95K, which is really surprising.

I hope that altcoins can bring high returns, but I don’t want to face their violent fluctuations. How can this be perfect?

As long as BTC does not break, it is only a matter of time for altcoins to recover. Just be patient.

At present, BTC’s trend is relatively stable. Although there may not be much increase like last November, those altcoins have generally doubled, and opportunities still exist.

#市场反弹预测 #AIAgent热潮 #微策略持续增持BTC

The challenges facing the cryptocurrency market continue.

Three important economic data points will be released this week, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) on January 14, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on January 15, and initial unemployment claims on January 16.

This data could serve as a catalyst for market volatility, especially during discussions on whether cryptocurrencies can serve as a hedge against inflation. This week will be a critical testing period.

The uncertainty in the market stems from all parties waiting for clearer information before deciding on the next steps. Being anxious is futile; the market's fluctuations might become clearer after some consolidation.

As long as one can endure January, February may likely bring a new round of opportunities. Although the current market cycle is relatively short, the bull market trend in the first half of the year is still worth looking forward to!

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

Everything seems to have returned to the starting point, and the price of the coin has returned to its original position.

The story remains the same, and the patterns are unchanged.

However, some people were scared by a few fluctuations and cleared all their positions;

Others rushed to stop losses due to a 20% drop and couldn't help but sell their assets.

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

BTC Monday Market Observation: Consolidation and Emotional Recovery in Progress

Currently, BTC is still oscillating within the range of 92,000 to 96,000, with overall market sentiment being relatively low, and the U.S. stock market has not yet opened, resulting in weak liquidity.

Altcoins are also weakening alongside BTC, showing overall poor performance.

Attention should be paid to the risk-averse sentiment before the release of CPI data. If selling pressure continues in the coming days, BTC may test the support level between 91,000 and 90,000.

Hopefully, tonight's opening of the U.S. stock market and MicroStrategy's developments can bring some positive sentiment.

If market panic gradually eases, BTC is expected to stabilize and break upward.

At this time, it is important to remain steady and patiently wait for the market to warm up.

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

Bitcoin Chip Distribution (2024)

According to the 2024 data, the Bitcoin chip distribution is as follows:

Large Holders: Hold over 1,000 Bitcoins, accounting for 40% of the circulating supply.

Medium Holders: Hold between 100 and 1,000 Bitcoins, accounting for 20% of the circulating supply.

Small Holders: Hold between 10 and 100 Bitcoins, accounting for 22% of the circulating supply.

Retail Holders: Hold less than 10 Bitcoins, accounting for 18% of the circulating supply.

Specific Address Holdings:

Centralized Exchanges: Approximately 2.7 million Bitcoins. ETF: Approximately 1.08 million Bitcoins.

Global Public Sector: Approximately 517,000 Bitcoins. Mt. Gox Trustee: Approximately 30,000 Bitcoins.

In June 2024, on-chain data analyst Murphy pointed out that chips in the $60,000-$64,000 range were largely transferred to the $66,000-$68,000 range, forming a pile of about 1.55 million Bitcoins.

From July to August 2024, the $64,000 to $69,000 range formed a chip accumulation zone, with a significant accumulation column of 520,000 Bitcoins at $67,000 providing support for that range.

In December 2024, the $92,000 to $100,000 range gradually accumulated chips, forming an accumulation column of approximately 600,000 Bitcoins at $97,000.

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

2025 Forecast

Performance of US Stocks and Cryptocurrency Market

The overall US stock market remains in a bullish trend, but the Nasdaq is expected to experience a correction of about 10%, and Bitcoin may see a correction of over 20% as well.

BTC Price Expectations

Bitcoin's price is expected to fluctuate between $80,000 and $100,000, and then potentially break through and close in the range of $130,000 to $150,000.

Altcoin Performance is Tepid

This cycle may not see a 'Altcoin Season', and tokens outside the TOP 100 are unlikely to experience significant increases (such as 10x growth).

Strategic Asset Status

During this cycle, Bitcoin has not yet met the conditions to become a strategic reserve asset for the United States.

Insufficient Narrative Drive

The popular narratives in the cryptocurrency market (such as the Bitcoin ecosystem, nested points, Depin, RWA, AI Agent, etc.) are considered to lack sufficient real driving force, making it difficult to inject strong vitality into the market.

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

This is how I deal with the problem of losing money.

First, choose the target:
Screen the team/technology/product/narrative/chips, etc.

Secondly, choose the right time:
This requires some understanding of the secondary and chips.

After choosing the target and the timing, I generally do not stop the loss.
Unless the fundamentals have changed, such as the team has proved to have problems, the product is nonsense and has not been made, etc.

If the chain stops the loss according to the loss ratio, it is easy to make mistakes.

#哪些代币逆势上涨？ #美国CPI数据即将公布 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？