Brothers, I see everyone is very impetuous recently. The price of the currency has risen sharply recently, and many people are panicking. Those who have no positions are afraid of missing out, those who have full positions are afraid of being locked in, and those who have half positions are worried about both ends. But I am not afraid. We are doing value investment. We have experienced a lot in the past few years. Now it is almost time to reap the rewards. We must have more confidence and determination.

​There are two ideas that are not acceptable for currency investment: one is to want to make money wherever it rises, and feel that you have to get involved wherever it rises the most; the other is to want to make a fortune all at once and become a fat man in one bite. This is not advisable, remember!
​#特朗普家族加密项目 #币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元

Regarding the long-short ratio of futures, many people's concept has always remained in the last cycle, that is, "when the long-short ratio is high, it is bearish, and when the long-short ratio is low, it is bullish";

But in fact, if you have been paying attention to this data since 23 years in this bull market, you will find that the long-short ratio is no longer an inverse index, and the high or low long-short ratio is not meaningful from the perspective of the number of people.

A big reason is that the market has become more mature;

As shown in the figure, the long-short ratio below is the number of people, and the long-short ratio above is the volume ratio of active transactions;

For example, the long-short ratio that continues to fluctuate around 0.67 means that in the past week, there were many people who actively shorted, but the funds were not much. Why do you say that?

Because if you look at the ratio of active long and short transactions, you will find that it is not that low, but is still increasing;

This shows that small funds have frequently actively shorted in the past week, while large funds are long. Although there are many small funds, the total amount of funds is small. Even if 100 people short, the total amount is less than 10 million US dollars, but a large long order of a large investor can offset these selling orders;

Therefore, paying attention to the ratio of active trading volume of the long-short ratio is far more important than the number of people. Most of the time, retail investors in this futures market always like to touch the top and buy the bottom, rather than chasing the rise and fall, mainly because of the path dependence brought about by the volatile market in the past six months;

What we should pay attention to is the ratio of active trading amount, which represents the changes in the overall supply and demand of the market, and the number of long-short ratio represents the attitude of the market. At present, most people in the market still do not think that the bull market will continue, but even so, there are always a lot of funds actively going long.

In other words, if the long-short ratio above begins to decline significantly, the price may fall. The long-short ratio cannot dominate the price rise and fall, but the long-short ratio of funds actively traded can;

#币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元 #特朗普家族加密项目

Several major trends:

1. Institutions have been buying BTC, and will continue to buy until the market value exceeds that of gold.

2. Meme coins will become the most powerful track after the main uptrend of BTC.
No matter whether the popular memes on the chain are listed on the big exchanges or not, at least 5 memes with only a few hundred million US dollars at present will hit 10 billion US dollars, and even only need to be on the chain.

That is 10-20 times the space - because funds are surging in the bull market.

3. Leaders + heavy positions, the biggest benefits. #美股连涨六周 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #以太坊Layer2总锁仓量上涨

Many people are wondering: Why did BTC suddenly take off, while many altcoins fell instead, and some altcoins did not follow suit. why is that?

In the currency circle, the total amount of liquidity is very limited. Once the price of Bitcoin rises, capital flows will converge in its direction, and altcoins will naturally encounter a situation of "blood-sucking" funds. When Bitcoin enters a sideways trading phase, some altcoins will have the opportunity to start trading.

Currently, market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting on November 7 have reached approximately 93%.
Therefore, in November, the most significant impact on the currency circle will be the US election. If Trump wins the election, it will be good for the entire encryption industry, and currency prices will most likely rise sharply. #美SEC对XRP裁决提出上诉 #特朗普家族加密项目 #DOGE飙升

As time goes by, people's expectations for the bottom-fishing price and the top-escape price change. It is interesting that:

Before the bull market starts, the market generally only gives the public one chance to buy the bottom. The market that has not adjusted for a long time to give retail investors the opportunity to buy the bottom is a bull market. If there are continuous opportunities to buy the bottom, then the situation has often changed;

Before the bear market starts, it will only give one chance to escape the top. If there is no strong rebound opportunity to get off the car for a long time, it is a bear market;

If the market always has seemingly excellent opportunities to escape the top, then the bull market may have begun.

Summary: If you are surrounded by people who are showing off that they have successfully escaped the top at a certain high point, then the bull market may have arrived. On the contrary, if you are surrounded by people who are showing off that they have bought the bottom, then the bear market may be in progress. #特朗普家族加密项目 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ #特斯拉转移比特币

After a night of long-short game, BTC's futures holdings in the entire network have broken a new high again, and now it has reached 39.6 billion US dollars. Compared with 12 hours ago, the total holdings have increased by 500 million US dollars. The current price is still fluctuating around 68,000;

I roughly sorted out the relationship between BTC's total holdings and price trends in recent years, and indeed found some simple rules;

1. The emergence of a bullish trend often sees the price breaking a new high at the same time or before the holdings, which means that the buying that breaks through the key pressure level (range high) comes from the spot, and then the futures positions quickly follow up to take over, resulting in an explosive market, and then began to build a new range of fluctuations;

2. When a short trend starts, the open interest often falls below the support level (lower position) before the price, and a cliff-like shrinkage occurs. Then the spot selling gradually increases, and the price begins to fall slowly. This means that the start of a short trend often originates from a short-term collapse of the long position in the futures market, which then leads to the emergence of spot selling.

In summary, a long trend usually requires a large spot buying volume to start, while a short trend requires a large futures selling volume to start;#BTC能否站稳6W6 #Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #BNB涨至600

#BTC The large-scale C wave has been completed, and the shape is similar to the top of the rebound in August⬇️
Here, after breaking through the yellow trend line, there was a wave of pull-ups leading to a local new high.
The large-scale is the ABC adjustment wave, starting from the wave that fell to 48k.
The C wave is currently likely to be in place, and it is expected to fall to 55k. It is the lower edge of the oscillation range in the past two months. #特斯拉转移比特币 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

The same abnormal data appeared again, this time it was more exaggerated than last time. At present, there is a net sell order of 40 million dollars in the spot market, but there is a buy order of 200 million dollars in the contract market;

So it is still the same wave of main traders, and their operation style is very similar. After this abnormal data appeared last time, the big cake pulled up about 2 points, and after eating up a large number of selling chips in the spot market, it began to fall. Please look forward to how it will perform this time;#灰度考虑新增35种加密资产 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #meme超级周期

At present, the USDT balance of the exchange has increased by 146% to a record high. It is about to usher in strong buying power. The alt season is coming. The spot will be held until December. Hold all the coins for me.

$Btc has a normal callback. You can continue to hold low-multiple long orders. If you don’t have low-multiple long orders, you can configure some below 62,000. Low-level long orders are the main operation ideas for the next step. Adjustments are just brewing a new round of increases. It will soon hit 66,000 or even return to 70,000.

$ETH ETH/BTC daily chart may form a double bottom. ETH ushered in a bullish breakthrough with a target price of $2,800. The giant whale who once made a profit of $18.99 million in ETH bought 5,000 ETH from Binance again after two months. The daily line broke through the oscillation range and stepped back to the neckline to continue upward.

$Sol has poor liquidity on weekends. There is a short-term potential for an explosive rise to the previous high of $161 before and after the election. The 4-hour trend line is likely to break through the 4-hour trend line after a horizontal decline. The consolidation is in place. Today's strategy is as follows:
Btc 62600 62100 long
Stop loss 61900 target 64200

Eth 2455 2435 long
Stop loss 2416 target 2520

SOL 145 143.45 long
Stop loss 142 target 152#美国9月PPI年率高于预期 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Btc rose in small volume, fell in small volume
Continue to be bullish, don't be short
If you have many orders, continue to hold the currency to lead the rise #Uniswap推出Unichain #粉丝代币板块普涨 #9月美国CPI实现6连降

The US whales have finally sold out, and Trump's chances of winning the election have pushed $BTC up

Coinbase premium, US investors return to the buying phase, pushing BTC from 59K to 63K;

If BTC stands firm at 62.9K on MA20, the rise can continue;

This weekend, the altcoin will make up for the rise, remember to stop profit if it rises. #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #粉丝代币板块普涨 #特朗普当选概率上升

Bitcoin has been trending a bit strange recently, not following the US stock market. It started like this the day before yesterday. Yesterday, US stocks rose and Bitcoin fell. Today, US stocks continue to rise, but Bitcoin fell. Generally speaking, the US dollar will fall when the US cuts interest rates, and the dollar will rise when the economy is good, but this is not absolute. Now that US stocks are rising and the US dollar is strong, it feels like the US is still developing quite strongly. We must be alert to the risk of BTC decoupling from US stocks. Maybe US stocks will go bullish later, but Bitcoin will fall sharply. Many coin friends say that the A-share market is sucking blood and funds are running away from the coin circle, but we don't know exactly how much has run away. In fact, Bitcoin has not fallen too much. If the US stock market keeps rising and Bitcoin keeps falling, could it be that the US stock market has sucked away the funds? The US has 50.3 billion BTC ETFs, while Hong Kong only has 200 million US dollars. The difference is too big to be ignored. It feels that the funds entering the US market will not be less than those in China. What will happen if some of them are withdrawn to invest in US stocks? I am not worried about the A-share market, but I am worried about US stocks. Also, the price of USDT is upside down. The RMB exchange rate is 7.1 to 7.06, and the price of USDT on Binance is 6.91 to 6.93. We should be vigilant. It doesn’t feel good in the long run. USDC is still around 7.10. #币安LaunchpoolSCR #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #CPI&PPI来袭，美国通胀升还降？

⚡️Let's be frank. Today, it fell to 60,500, and I bought some more!

October has always been a key month and a key turning point for Bitcoin prices.

Last October, the market began to pick up. October was magical. Market sentiment fluctuated between optimism and pessimism, but most of the time, the market seemed to always find reasons to rise.

At present, market sentiment is obviously beginning to fluctuate between optimism and pessimism.

My choice is to continue buying:

Macroeconomic factors:

The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting and inflation data will have a significant impact on the market. If the inflation data is lower than expected, it may trigger expectations of interest rate cuts, which will benefit risky assets, including Bitcoin.

Dynamics of ETFs and institutional investors:

Although the approval of the Bitcoin ETF has brought a lot of funds, recent data shows that the inflow of funds to ETFs has been intermittent, and there has even been a net outflow. This may reflect the current shift in market sentiment, and investors seem to be waiting for clearer signals or a more favorable entry point.

Market sentiment and technical analysis:

From a technical perspective, after half a year of wide fluctuations, the current price of Bitcoin is at the support level of $60,500, which may become the focus of competition between long and short parties.

Political and social factors:

Although not directly mentioned, Elon Musk's post can be felt to be concerned about the current political environment. This concern may affect investors' risk appetite, thereby indirectly affecting the price of Bitcoin. #非农人数大幅升温 #币安LaunchpoolSCR #你认为PeterTodd是中本聪吗？

$BTC The current market analysis needs to start from the daily rise from 52510 to 66450, and is currently in a correction after the daily rise.
From the perspective of technical analysis, the first wave of correction did not reach the 50%-61.8% range, indicating two signals. The first is that the rhythm trend at the daily level is strong, and the second is that the space for correction here is not enough.
Therefore, from the perspective of time for space, the probability of effectively breaking through 66450 in a short time is low, and the probability is high that it will go to the second 4h interval band.
In summary, in pursuit of a certain mid-term trend, either wait for the cost-effective range of 57835-59480, or wait for the right signal after the second 4h interval band. #HBO纪录片或揭示中本聪身份 #非农人数大幅升温 #币安LaunchpoolSCR

Brothers, I tell you all seriously that the second half of the bull market will start to start crazily. The weekly bulldozer level of the rise is pulling up. How to hold it is the key, how to avoid being washed out during the intraday shock is the key. It is recommended that everyone hold the spot pattern until March next year. It is recommended to do short-term quick entry and exit with contract leverage. If you run away after making a little profit in this wave, you are destined to have no chance of wealth. This wave of wealth belongs to friends with a pattern. The super bull market is about to take place, let us witness the miracle together. We are in a big bull market! Get rid of the bear market thinking as soon as possible. #BTC突破7万大关 #加密市场反弹 #大A香还是大饼香

ETH rose from 200 to 1400, and its market value rose from 20 billion to 140 billion in 2 months.

Then it fell for more than 2 years, and it took 790 days to fall to 8 billion in market value, a drop of 93%.

After that, it rebounded all the way, from 80 to 4300, an increase of dozens of times, in less than a year. #美SEC对Ripple案裁决提出上诉 #Bitwise申请XRPETF

Price prediction for March 2025:

BTC price is expected to climb to a high of $120,000;
ETH may reach the $9,800 mark;
SOL's predicted price is $600;
SUI's value may reach $13;
ENA's estimated price is $7;
TIA's market value may stabilize at around $30;
APT is expected to reach a value of $70;
FET may reach $10;
WIF's value may be around $7;
I hope everything will develop in a positive direction. Do you think it's a dream? #BTC突破7万大关 #灰度拟推出AAVE信托基金 #9月小非农数据高于预期

When will the current Bitcoin bull market start? Regarding the time prediction of the Bitcoin bull market, the following different views can be summarized:

Possible signs of a bull market in the short term: Some users pointed out that if Bitcoin breaks through $68,000 and stabilizes, a new round of market may begin. However, the current market sentiment fluctuates greatly, and it is believed that breaking through $73,000 is the real bull market, and the probability of a bull market is low.

Predictions based on historical cycles: According to the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycle, a recent piece of information pointed out that the violent cycle after halving starts 170 days after halving, and October 6, 2024 is this key node. This suggests that the bull market may have started or is about to start.

Bull market prediction from a long-term perspective: Some comments believe that the period from 2022 to 2024 is not a real bull market, but a transition stage from a bear market to a bull market, and the real bull market will come between 2025 and 2026. This view holds that Bitcoin's brief breakthrough of the 2021 high is mainly due to the application of ETFs, rather than the real bull market momentum of the market.

Analysis of interest rate cuts and capital inflows: Some analysts believe that Bitcoin will not react much after the first interest rate cut, but with multiple interest rate cuts, large funds may start to snap up risky assets. It is predicted that there will be a large inflow of funds in this quarter of the year, driving the bull market. #9月小非农数据高于预期 #灰度拟推出AAVE信托基金 #非农人数大幅升温

ETH is taking the altcoins with it,
and the panic selling is similar to that on August 5th,
Do you think this is the second panic point (Wyckoff terminology, large structural shock)
Or is it the rhythm of going to a new low?
Or comment on whether you have bought it now?
Look at the ratio to know the state of public psychology~#9月小非农数据高于预期 #美SEC对Ripple案裁决提出上诉

This cryptocurrency world seems to have worn away the will of most people. The copycats have no money-making effect from beginning to end, and coupled with the critical hit of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, it seems that the cryptocurrency world can no longer retain Chinese people. #币安上线EIGEN #伊朗导弹袭击以色列 #Bitwise申请XRPETF