BTC breaks 100,000, but ETH's reaction is different:

First time breaking 100,000, ETH 4000
Second time breaking 100,000, ETH 3900
Third time breaking 100,000, ETH 3700
Fourth time breaking 100,000, ETH 3400

Now, what is the problem?

#莱特币ETF通过预期 #BTC重回10万

The US CPI data has been released, and the decline in core CPI is favorable. Coupled with Trump set to take office as president in four days, this data boosts expectations for interest rate cuts. These dual factors have led to a significant rebound in Bitcoin, approaching the 100,000 mark.

Everyone should stay alert and remember to take profits in time; I have reminded you multiple times before. If you lack experience, you can refer to the situation in 2024 when Bitcoin oscillated between 60,000 and 70,000 for half a year. Now, between 90,000 and 100,000, it has only oscillated for one month; you should get used to the strategy of compound returns through swing trading.

#BTC重回10万 #XRP突破新高？

Today, the gameplay of AI-related on-chain assets is significantly different from that of purely meme assets in the past. The development of AI-related assets relies on professional teams for development and product creation; whereas pure meme assets may not require team support behind them.

AI-related assets must possess products that have product-market fit (PMF), and throughout their development cycle, they need to identify their positioning, construct narrative logic, and fully explore and maintain the market; pure meme assets, on the other hand, focus more on whether they align with certain ideas and gain community recognition, as well as their ability to follow trending topics.

In terms of chips, AI-related assets are usually more favorably controlled by teams, as this involves ongoing development, delivery, and ecological collaboration in project advancement; the control situation of pure meme assets is more complex, and during their development, there may be involvement from financiers and market makers, and there might even be changes in market makers.

There is no absolute superiority or inferiority between these two types of assets, but the criteria for judgment are entirely different and require in-depth understanding. On-chain assets are far from being as simple as an icon and a price curve. If one does not study carefully, the traps within are far more numerous than imagined.

#市场反弹预测 #美国PPI温和上涨

In the past week, market sentiment has significantly declined. In particular, last night the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the $90,000 psychological barrier (this price point is also the lowest since October), triggering market panic.

However, after breaking below, Bitcoin quickly gained liquidity support below and rebounded sharply. From the closing situation, this is considered a false breakdown, where the bears successfully induced a short squeeze, triggering the stop-loss of the bulls.

Last night's low is likely to become the bottom of this rebound, and I plan to make up for the previously reduced position in the next couple of days.

Some time ago, I participated in the trading of PINGO and FLOCK. Currently, PINGO is in a profitable state, while FLOCK is in a losing state. I will continue to monitor these two cryptocurrencies, and once they stop falling, I will conduct another replenishment operation.

#市场反弹预测 #微策略持续增持BTC
5 years of experience in the crypto market, feel free to consult me on any questions. For friends who want to improve together, check out my introduction.

Bitcoin's recent trend is closely related to the U.S. stock market, and it is in a state of shock most of the time. However, from the daily line, the overall trend is shocking and stepping back. Moreover, the 10-day exponential moving average (EMA10) is still below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA20), which shows that the short-selling force is slightly stronger.

As long as the daily closing price of Bitcoin fails to stand firm at the two pressure levels of $95,000 and $98,000, the short-selling trend will continue. Once the support level of $91,000 is effectively broken, investors should pay attention to the two support levels of $87,000 and $80,000.

#市场反弹预测 #微策略持续增持BTC

Good morning everyone. In terms of the current situation, Bitcoin is still in the mid-stage of a bull market. However, the recent candlestick patterns have shown a "shrinking dark cloud cover" formation, which is usually a bearish signal. Fortunately, the support below is quite strong, so the focus going forward should be on whether there will be a volume expansion stop-loss signal to confirm whether the trend can stabilize.

Recently, expectations for interest rate cuts have weakened, and U.S. stocks have seen a downward trend, with overall market liquidity being tight. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin continues to maintain a sideways oscillation trend.

#还有山寨季？ #比特币价格走势分析

Spot Password: SUI

Tonight there are non-farm payroll data releases, and Bitcoin has returned to its previous starting point. It is currently at strong support, showing a trend of rebound.

Take the opportunity for a rebound, lightly position some spot trades to capture the bounce.

SUI's performance is also very strong; while other altcoins have dropped significantly, it has not fallen much.

Enter around the current price of SUI at 4.89, add to positions if it retraces to around 4.3, aiming for a target of over 30%

#加密市场回调 #美国非农数据即将公布

Points to Note for Beginners:

1. Don't invest in small cryptocurrencies
2. Don't have overly high expectations
3. Don't engage in very short-term trading
4. Avoid risky investments
5. Set stop-loss and take-profit orders
6. Don't bring all your funds into the market
7. Continuously learn about the market
8. Find an experienced and reliable mentor; there are many pitfalls in the cryptocurrency space, with over 99% of people losing money. Finding a trustworthy and knowledgeable mentor can help you avoid many traps and prevent scams, even if you don't make money immediately.

#比特币价格走势分析 #加密市场回调

Ethereum has been listed at the 3200 price level for a week, and last night there was a spike in the market, allowing many waiting to buy in to take the opportunity to enter the market.

Meanwhile, negative news has started to emerge, whether from data or other adverse factors, and there have been people waiting for these news to materialize.

Currently, most of those entering the market are experienced players, while newcomers or those already trapped are panicking and cutting losses, even considering exiting the market, and they simply dare not buy in at this moment. The investment strategy should be to buy when no one is paying attention and sell when the market is booming.

If one understands this principle, they can enter the market in batches, buying around 100 units each time when the price of Ethereum is in the range of 3300 - 3200 - 3000, with a significant probability of rising to 5000 by February of the new year.

#比特币价格走势分析 #加密市场回调

ETH (1/9 Psychological Comfort) Since January 7th, Ethereum has entered a 'downhill' phase, with a sudden drop of 15%, falling from around 3750 to about 3200, plummeting by 530 points. Other altcoins are even more 'tragic,' with declines of at least 25%.

Today, news broke that the 'disruptor' in the US sold 6.5 billion USD worth of BTC from Silk Road, approximately 65,000 coins. This inevitably brings to mind that Mentougou holds 140,000 BTC, and during the bull market, rumors of selling today and tomorrow were always circulating, becoming a major 'gimmick' for capital to manipulate the market.

In fact, the panic brought by the unknown is often more terrifying than the event itself. So, after the news spread, there is really no need to be overly anxious. If you didn't manage to reduce your holdings earlier, it is not advisable to do so now. Although the current account balance looks 'bleak,' in a week or two, it is expected to regain vitality.

#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调

Hey everyone, how is everyone doing?

Last night's market was truly unexpected. Who would have thought that a 4-hour pullback would come so swiftly? Even I miscalculated; I had reminded everyone to buy on the pullback earlier. So, we need to adjust our strategy a little bit.

First, let's look at Image 1. This is the revised version of the pullback buy strategy I previously mentioned. Considering the rapid pullback over these 4 hours, let's respond like this for now: focus on observing whether a new structure has formed in the lower-level trends within this 4-hour pullback range. If not, then we should hold our positions.

Now, let's look at Image 2. This shows another possible trend, which is the final pullback at the 12-hour level, to complete the overall structure. To be honest, I’m quite hopeful for this trend line, because if it happens, most altcoins will be able to complete their structural adjustments accordingly, and the altcoin season we've been eagerly anticipating will truly arrive. Just thinking about that scene is exciting.

Take the situation in Image 1 for example; as long as the structures for BTC and LINK are completed, I’ve already seen my previous profits pull back by 40% (but I’ve already taken profits). If such an ideal situation occurs, it will be time to go all out, especially when many quality altcoins have solid structures and strong upward momentum. We'll just be waiting to count our money.

#本轮牛市周期预期 #加密市场回调

Analyzing the daily trend of Bitcoin reveals that, as of this moment, there are no signs of a shift in the bullish control. Key support levels are like a solid fortress, firmly rooted around 100,000, providing a floor for the price.

At the same time, the moving average system resembles neatly arranged soldiers, showing a bullish alignment, continuously injecting confidence into the market for long positions. Overall, considering various factors, it is highly likely that Bitcoin's future trend will proceed along a path of oscillating upward movement.

#BTC重返10万 #本轮牛市周期预期

A shocking occurrence in the crypto world! How many of those unforgettable black swan moments have you experienced?

1. In 2014, Bitcoin's "darkest hour" — the tragedy of Mt. Gox. At that time, the world's largest Bitcoin exchange MTGOX was severely hacked, nearly 850,000 Bitcoins evaporated in an instant, resulting in a massive loss that accounted for 7% of the total Bitcoin supply, like a boulder hitting the water, Bitcoin's price plummeted by 80%, leaving the crypto market in despair, and the foundation of trust was shaken.

2. In 2017, the "9.4 shock" hit! The crypto market experienced a sudden change, and within just a few days, the market value collapsed by 80%, investors saw their wealth significantly shrink and lamented their losses, realizing how unpredictable and unfathomable this market is.

3. In 2020, the "3.12 Ethereum shock" unfolded! The price of Ethereum plummeted, falling below $80 in a straight line, a scene that left people gaping. Even with such unpredictable market changes, investors' enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies remained unwavering, their faith as solid as a rock.

4. In 2021, the "5.19 contract nightmare"! In one night, 600,000 contract players lost everything, the horrific scene was unbearable to watch, undoubtedly ringing a heavy alarm bell, warning everyone of the undercurrents and overflowing risks in the crypto market.

5. In 2022, the "Luna shock" impacted decentralized finance! The Luna incident was like a heavy bomb, stirring up huge waves in the decentralized finance sector, turning the market upside down, marking a crucial turning point in the history of crypto development, with aftershocks still not settled.

6. Also in 2022, FTX suddenly "exploded", adding further injury to the market! The collapse of FTX plunged the crypto market into a quagmire of distrust, leaving it bleak and making people sigh about the ruthlessness and cruelty of the market.

#币安MegadropSOLV #币安MegadropSOLV

From a historical perspective, $BTC will gradually replace gold, and the value of its "anonymity" feature far exceeds that of "decentralization". Ordinary families must quickly hoard some big cakes as asset reserves.

Most of our generation lives in a period of rapid development in the world. The United States has driven global economic prosperity for 50 years, and the younger generation of Chinese has completed 30 years of reform and opening up. Everyone has spent their lives in rapid growth. This can easily lead to misunderstandings, thinking that the world is like this, and your house, gold, and bank deposits are all yours.

In fact, we have not experienced the dark stage, and these so-called "mine" are easily plundered. Just because we have not experienced it does not mean that the next generation and the next generation will not experience it. Today, Laoyu compares and analyzes gold and $BTC from the perspective of family asset reserves. Ordinary people who have not been exposed to Bitcoin like to buy gold and hoard bank gold beans, thinking that they can take them out to escape in troubled times. Laoyu advises everyone to give up this idea and remember:

Throughout human history, whether in the East or the West, the gold of ordinary people has been forcibly requisitioned many times.

After the collapse of the US gold standard in 1933, President Roosevelt forced ordinary people to hand in gold in exchange for US dollars; in the Soviet Union Stalin era, people's gold was violently requisitioned; German police forcibly requisitioned Jewish gold and other precious metals; China's Qing Dynasty forcibly requisitioned gold to repay debts. I won't say much about modern times, everyone understands.

As long as the assets are physical, they cannot be hidden. The best way is to quietly buy $BTC and store it in your wallet without anyone knowing. This is the safest way for ordinary families to reserve assets.

#币安Alpha公布第10批项目 #BIO将上线币安

In a month, I took some money to the chain and realized a 10-fold return. At the same time, there are many cases of halving of the Yinei altcoin.

My funds on the chain have exceeded the Yinei altcoin holdings. The chain activities are in full swing, and both the project parties and investors are enthusiastic about the narrative and track of new listings.

On the other hand, although the altcoins in the exchange are not dead, they are also a bit listless. CEX should pay enough attention to the two trends of AI+cryptocurrency and on-chain assets.

#币安全球用户突破2.5亿 #BIO将上线币安

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Can the Bulls Break the $100,000 Mark? Brothers, the recent price movement of Bitcoin has been incredibly dramatic! On December 31, the bulls attempted to push the price back above the moving average, but the long upper shadow of the candle indicates that each time the price bounces back, it is fiercely knocked down by the bears, resulting in significant selling pressure. As a result, Bitcoin returned to a critical support area, providing new entry opportunities for waiting buyers.

The key moment for the bull counterattack appeared on January 3, when the bulls successfully broke through the 20-day moving average. This signal is extremely crucial as it means the bears are gradually losing control, and the bulls are starting to gain the upper hand. The next target is $100,000! Once the bulls stabilize their position and pull the price firmly above $100,000, we can expect some exciting developments! $100,000 is a psychological barrier and the focal point of market attention; once broken, market sentiment will soar significantly.

$108,353 is a potential next stop after the breakout, and the bulls may attempt to retest this high point.

To summarize, where are the opportunities? Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. The next thing to watch is whether the support structure is stable; if the pullback does not break the support, we continue to look bullish; confirmation of a breakout, once $100,000 is breached, may herald a great opportunity. In a word, the bulls are making a comeback, brothers, stay alert!

Neiro's current price is around 0.0010, and this price has really dropped significantly, adding an extra zero. I previously bought some spot near 0.0026, and now I'm stuck with it.

Fortunately, it has dropped to a key support level, almost completely giving back the previous gains. After returning to this strong support area, it has also oscillated for quite a while, forming a triangular pattern.

Don't underestimate this triangle; the possibility of a breakout to the upside is very high. Even if it retraces, the probability of breaking below the first low is extremely low. Because of this, there are quite a few people entering to buy the dip and accumulate spot around the current price of 0.0010!

#AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察

1.2 Thursday Intraday Trading Ideas

Currently, the market shows that Bitcoin's overall structure has not experienced significant changes and remains in a wide-ranging fluctuation pattern. The price fluctuates between the upper range of 95,500 and the lower range of 92,000. Although there was a rebound last night, it failed to achieve a strong breakout and eventually fell back to around 95,000 for consolidation.

From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the current price is sliding from the upper Bollinger Band towards the lower band, already below the upper band. The MACD indicator's double lines are approaching the peak and show a corner after rising, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually diminishing. The KDJ indicator's three lines crossed and are diverging downwards, with the gap continuing to widen. Overall, the current Bitcoin market is showing a corrective trend, and in terms of operational strategy, it is advisable to select suitable high positions to short.

The intraday trading suggestion is to short around the range of 96,000 - 96,500, with target price levels focusing on the range of 94,500 - 93,000.

In this vast world, our encounter is all fate! There are many fine horses, but it is difficult to find a discerning talent. Just as the fine horse achieves the reputation of the discerning talent, the discerning talent also provides the opportunity for the fine horse to gallop. Therefore, choice is crucial.
#比特币走势观察 #AIAgent热潮

Every bull market is a hope for the bear market to come for a good bottom

Every bear market is a hope for the bull market to come for a good top

Then

Before the bull market comes, you cut your losses

Before the bear market comes, you chased the high 1240

#2025有哪些关键叙事？ #比特币战略储备