[68 Trading Plan] - (April 10 - April 16, 2023) - Wait for the candle to decide the trend
Bitcoin (BTC) analysis and commentary next week
1W chart of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance Futures, screenshot of TradingView on the evening of April 9, 2023
Thus, for 3 consecutive weeks we have seen the W candlestick in the form of an indecision Doji. Price still closed above the EMA, just below the strong supply of 30,000-32,000. It is really difficult to know the next direction of BTC. However, I personally do not choose to buy at this time for 2 main reasons:
With the story of Ethereum's Shanghai hard fork in April, it is likely that LDO will benefit. I expect the price to respect support at 2.3 USD to buy. A good buying zone could be when the price breaks out to the upper barrier (2.48 USD) if you don't like sw.
If the price respects the lower support line and rises, I will be long on the final retest of the price. If the price breaks out, this plan will no longer be valid, then we will only consider shorting.
APT has broken the 4H frame resistance and is currently tending to accumulate again. You can observe, if the price respects the support at 11.8 (in the 1H frame), we can continue to move up.
1W chart of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance Futures, screenshot of TradingView on the evening of April 2, 2023
Continuing is a sideway weekly candle in doji form. Buyers tried to push the price up to test the supply zone of 30,000 - 32,000 USD but continued to fail. The sellers pushed the price down to retest the EMA 89 and the price also bounced up quickly, so it can be seen that BTC is going sideways.
[Trading 101] - 68 Trading: Price Action Trading (Part 5) – Support and resistance in trading (Part 2)
1. Ways to use support and resistance
Price zones at support/resistance can be used by you to:
Search for entry points
Look for take profit points
Set stop loss
2. Specific usage
To use support/resistance effectively, first, you need to identify the trend and follow the trend. You can take the time to review the article about identifying trends in trading here.
SSV looks quite bullish with the breaking of the downtrend line and yesterday's D candlestick closing at full force. You can allocate capital to buy spot (stoploss 13%, tp 30%) with SSV around the price range of 38 - 38.4
Normally, my experience is that I will not go long here right after the green candle closes, but will wait for the sideway price to add 1-2 more 1H. If it is still just sw and does not fall more than 1/3 of the green candle, then I can go long. (accumulation before breakout). I will rarely shorten this song
Support: is the price area where the market expects the price to increase when it touches it. At support, buying force tends to be greater than selling force.
LQTY showed weakness when it broke out of the sideway zone and closed the candle below support at 2.56 USD. Next week, to short, I will choose LQTY and the best target could be the 2u zone (closest support below).
March has the ZK trend, so I expect that with the correction of BTC, MINA can retest the support zone at 0.68 USD. If the price respects this area, I will move up.
[68 Trading] Plan (19/03 – 26/03/2023) – Bull Trap hay Uptrend?
Review last week's trading plan
Last week, when the weekly candle had less than a few hours left to close, it jumped more than 3,000 USD in price and withdrew, making all the predictions in my plan no longer accurate. BTC has increased very strongly this week, but there has been no major correction yet and therefore, I do not have a plan for you to follow.
Bitcoin (BTC) analysis and commentary next week
1W chart of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance Futures, screenshot of TradingView on the evening of March 19, 2023
[Trading 101] - 68 Trading: Price Action Trading (Part 3) – Trends, how to identify and use.
Why are trends important?
“Trend is your friend” is a famous saying among traders for a long time, expressing the importance of correctly identifying the trend for a successful trade.
Essentially, when you put money into a trade order, you are betting on the victory of the buyer (Long) and the seller (Short). If the general trend is an uptrend (like the recent Crypto Bull run), you may not need to analyze and buy any altcoin to win, which shows the strength of the trend.
[Trading 101] - 68 Trading: Price Action Trading (Part 2) – Understanding Candles and How to Read Candles
Basic structure of a candle
A candlestick chart is a chart made up of many candles, in which each candle represents a period (time cycle). For example: If you open a 4-hour candlestick chart, each candle has a duration of 4 hours, on a 1D chart, each candle is 1 day...
Note: My chart is set to white candlesticks, black candlesticks, and black candle wicks. You can customize the colors, so this is not important. According to common convention, bullish candles will be green, and bearish candles will be red.