The relative influence of ETFs on the Ethereum market is equivalent to ±1% of spot volume, while the Bitcoin ETF is ±8%. This shows that despite the normalization of the Bitcoin ETF, people's interest in Bitcoin ETFs is still an order of magnitude greater than that of Ethereum ETFs.
Ethereum ETFs have seen relatively low demand recently, with net negative outflows. This was primarily due to redemptions from Grayscale's ETHE product, which was not offset by inflows from other instruments. Overall, Ethereum ETFs saw total outflows of $13.1 million. This highlights the difference in demand size between BTC and ETH, at least under current market conditions.
Starting with Bitcoin ETFs, we can see that net capital flows from the U.S. dollar have weakened since August 2024, with weekly outflows currently at $107 million.
Spot volume momentum continues to weaken, similar to previous observations. This further supports the view that trading activity has clearly declined over the last quarter.
Miners tend to be pro-cyclical, being sellers during dips and holders during rallies. Rising hash rate and difficulty mean that BTC is becoming increasingly expensive to produce, which could adversely affect miner profitability in the near future.
As the hash rate increases, the target difficulty for successfully mining a valid block also increases. The Bitcoin protocol automatically adjusts the difficulty to accommodate increases and decreases in the hash rate on the network. Currently, the average hash rate required to mine a block is 338k exahash. This is the second-highest difficulty in Bitcoin's history, highlighting the increasingly fierce competition in the mining industry.
Despite volatile and uncertain market conditions, Bitcoin miners continue to install new ASIC hardware, pushing up the overall hash rate (14D-MA) to 666.4EH/s, just 1% below the ATH.
$RSR $DOGE $ETHFI Shanzhai batch structure This wave of rebound fell below the trend line Follow-up attention 1. If the pullback can break through the previous high, continue to rush 2. If the pullback cannot go up, the short structure will continue to go down
$ICP [Potential high short position] It has been very aggressive recently But the region has achieved suppression If it does not break the previous high, it is still bearish
$SUI [boundary] If you want to go long, you can wait for a breakout or go after it directly If you want to go short, you can wait for the top signal of the pressure level
$ETH Auntie, same rhythm But still a lot of weak chickens Actually, you don’t have to blame Vitalik The rise and fall is driven by the supply and demand at home It has nothing to do with dating people Gossip and gossip every day, this market is really sluggish
$BTC [Trend Line] Last night, the trend line was accurately stepped back with large volume Many times, trend line is so effective In short, if it is not broken, continue to look for a rebound (expected target is around 6W But pay attention to the accumulated risk of longs
Old saying: Opportunities come from falling, risks come from rising
Whether it is a grass-roots team or an elite group, it is the people behind everything. It is just a display of thinking and consciousness. —— good night