It’s time to leave the market. The time period here has been too long and the support of the double bottom has weakened.
游之
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Bullish
$ORDI W bottom increases and the pressure level triangle converges to gain momentum, which is bullish.
I have changed my mind) After breaking through the downward trend line, the previous bearish technical logic will no longer hold. Let’s see where this wave goes.
Recently, I feel deeply that my trading skills are single, and I decided to expand my arsenal. Influenced by @yekoikoi, I became interested in Wyckoff, and began to try to draw pictures using the logic of accumulation and distribution.
It just so happened that $TIA had gone through a standard distribution pattern in the past few days, and I made a short position. At the same time, I drew it and put it on Twitter for review. The review record is the best way to learn.
The follow-up is that after falling below the ice line, you should not engage in long-term behavior in the short term and learn to combine knowledge with action.
In fact, many currencies in the same cycle have already shown the characteristics of distribution cycles, so small-level currencies also need to avoid these obvious currencies.
There will be opportunities to draw and attract money later.
$ORDI W bottom increases and the pressure level triangle converges to gain momentum, which is bullish.
I have changed my mind) After breaking through the downward trend line, the previous bearish technical logic will no longer hold. Let’s see where this wave goes.
I was bored, so I happened to use this afternoon’s $BTC trend at home to do a five-minute trend identification method.
Although the example chart is for five minutes, because this trend is very classic, it is also applicable to large levels.
The first step is to find an interval. In Figure 1, we regard the decline of BTC in the morning as a range.
The second step is to find the rebound high point and observe whether there will be a higher point.
The third step is to observe the position of the small-level rebound high point. When the second rebound high point is lower than the first high point, we confirm that this is a downward trend, which can lead to a short entry near the second high point. . The magnitude of the rebound in the next three periods has continued to increase, which means that the trend has continued to strengthen.
The fourth step is to reach the interval boundary and the trend ends. In the face of a trend that is not more powerful, the range boundary usually means that a shock consolidation is needed to make a breakthrough. At this time, the winning rate of the order will be reduced, and the trend order should choose to take profit and leave the market.
😂What’s interesting is that because the K-line level I chose is too small, I drew the K-line while walking, and it really came out at the bottom)))
If the subsequent breakthrough of the range boundary means the beginning of a new trend, I will not go into details here.
happy New Year to all! All goes well in the Year of the Dragon. I wish you all to make profits and get rich every month! Regardless of whether 2024 is a bear or an ox, it will be a prosperous year for everyone!
$ORDI The daily level here is suppressed by the downward trend line from the high point, and the 4-hour level is suppressed by the pressure level near 59.
Seeing that ORDI is a large-level head and shoulders top, this is a short position with a good profit-loss ratio.
$ORDI The daily level here is suppressed by the downward trend line from the high point, and the 4-hour level is suppressed by the pressure level near 59.
Seeing that ORDI is a large-level head and shoulders top, this is a short position with a good profit-loss ratio.
Let’s talk about the fundamental background first, and then review the technical form.
Today is the original pool withdrawal time scheduled by the founder, that is, the official withdrawal of the liquidity pool and the end of the seven-day genesis pool. Some people interpret this as a good thing, which means that the project team will no longer use the liquidity pool to sell coins.
My interpretation is that the withdrawal of the pool itself is neutral news, but if the project party chooses to participate in the market, then choosing to pull the market today is the most cost-effective solution. The team will be able to sell as much as they pull today, and the more they sell, the more they get.
The news is as simple as this, and the following is a technical review.
Let’s first look at the first-level pattern in the picture. It is a standard falling wedge breakout. It currently rebounds to the Fibonacci midpoint of 0.5978 and then is blocked.
Looking at the small-level forms in Figure 2, the resistance and support levels of JUP are very obvious in the entire falling wedge. I have marked these small-level forms one by one in the picture. I wrote them very carefully. I hope you don’t find it verbose. .
From a purely technical perspective, JUP's volume increase this time is extremely strong. The pressure level near 0.59 may break through after gaining momentum, and it is still bullish in the medium term.
$BTC has entered a stage of obvious daily volume and price divergence, and you need to be wary of any high-leverage behavior at this time. BTC is very likely to go up and then turn down.
Why does judgment have pins. It has been suppressed by 43500 for nearly ten days, and a large number of short positions have accumulated here. Judging from the position data, the positions in these ten days are constantly accumulating, and have now reached the high of 1.13 etf market.
Therefore, when the market needs to choose a direction, this wave of contract positions needs to be regarded as a source of liquidity, and pins are undoubtedly the best choice.
Why the judgment direction is downward is because the divergence between volume and price means that the bulls here have no desire to work hard. When there is no sustained volume increase here, the main bulls will not re-participate in this market, so the direction is judged to be downward.
Back to the trading level, because the position of the contract increases, the possibility of placing a pin becomes higher. Therefore, any high-leverage short order is an irrational behavior, because the length of the pin is extremely difficult to judge. It is possible that your stop loss is liquidity. origin of.
Write down my response plan.
And because the judgment is downward, there are no long plans at the moment. At this moment, there are still many copycats that are oscillating at high levels. I will give priority to the layout of short orders for copycats. For them, the space for upward injection is limited, and when the trend is weak, they may not necessarily follow the market action, and BTC, $ETH and other positions Then you will consider trying to place a pending order at 45000. If you don't receive it, you will have to wait until the needle closes upwards, or if it falls below 41500, before you consider entering a short position.
by the way, do planned transactions, not impromptu transactions.
A simple observation is that since the whale market made OTC prices open and transparent, airdroppers have also begun to practice the logic of "buying in anticipation and selling in fact".
OTC is transforming from a small-scale primary valuation game to a secondary trading game.