There will be at least one rate cut this year, and four next year. Although the situation next year is just a pie in the sky, at least there will be no rate hike.

I personally expect the first rate cut to be in September or November, with a higher probability in September, mainly to cooperate with the election.

In July, Bitcoin will break the previous high and then adjust. In August, the expectation of rate cuts began to be speculated. The price of Bitcoin came to around 80,000 at the end of August. At this time, it is more in line with the subsequent market trend to smash the market to more than 70,000.

In mid-to-late September, Bitcoin will officially start a big bull market. In November 24, the Shanzhai will enter a bull market and end in November next year. The first peak of Bitcoin will be around 150,000 in May next year. The second peak in July will be 180,000-190,000, and it will reach 250,000 by the end of 25 years. This is my humble opinion.