Some classmates talked to me about technical analysis. To be honest, I don't understand it very well. Let me briefly share my experience:
The three major parts of technical analysis: K-line, indicators, and patterns, which are the so-called golden cross, dead cross, Yang enveloping Yin, Yin enveloping Yang, head and shoulders bottom, arc top and other things.
Used alone, it is actually useless. Most of the time, the golden cross will fall, and the dead cross will rise.
Therefore, everyone has proposed resonance, the so-called multi-indicator resonance and multi-time level resonance. For example, macd, kdj, and rsi are golden crosses together, and 15, 30, and 60 minutes are golden crosses together.
However, when you wait for these resonances, it has risen a lot again, and you will basically be trapped again if you chase. I believe that the above content belongs to the state of hitting your head countless times that we have experienced together.
After such a long time of beating, I found that the above analysis method is almost useless. It may work 2 times out of 10, and the remaining 8 times are beaten every time.
So, when I put the two frameworks of wave theory and level in, I felt much better, which is why my accuracy rate seems to be very good recently.
First of all, the wave theory is very simple, that is, 12345abc waves, each wave has its own basic rules. The details are that 1.3.5.b, these rising waves will have a small level of complete 5 waves nested in them. So I said that sol is now the end of the first stage of the 2-day line 3 waves, which means that the whole is in the 2-day line 3 wave rising wave. This rising wave includes two complete waves. Now it is the end of the a wave of the first complete wave and the starting point of the b wave. This is why I said yesterday that 188 bought slowly, because this is the end of the 5 waves of the first stage will turn into a wave, so yesterday closed with a negative line.
Secondly, we must first determine the level, and then count the waves, otherwise there will be a situation of thousands of people and thousands of waves. Why I locked it to the 2-day line 3 waves now, this makes sense. And the first stage of the complete wave level is 6 hours. So the day before yesterday when 174, many people saw the 2-hour triple top divergence and felt that it was going to fall, I was bullish, because that position was the end of the 6-hour 4 wave, lacking a 5-wave upward rush.
If you can distinguish the waves, you can predict the current position. If you can distinguish the levels, you can count the waves correctly. Then use the correct time level to look at the golden cross and dead cross of the indicator, and the K-line pattern, which will be relatively better.
Therefore, it is not that the indicator itself has a problem, but that we do not correctly see the position of the currency price and use the appropriate time level to observe.
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