5.09   FTX auctions SOL to repay debts, bets on continued interest rate suspension in June, inflation target has not been achieved, pay attention to derivative trading risks in the monkey market

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 91.2%    The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 91.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.8%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by August is 69.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 28.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 2.1%.

      At the key position of the day, long and short positions are stupid, but Bitcoin long positions are seriously accumulated, and the intraday rebound is mainly high. The overall market is in the monkey market. Pay attention to the risks of derivative trading. Avoid opening orders if you can, and wait for the trend to come out clearly.

      FTX estate will sell the third batch of locked SOL this week. The auction is scheduled for May 9. The auction amount is not yet clear. FTX estate is selling about 41 million locked SOL.

Compared with Ethereum chips, the inflow of Bitcoin chips is more, and the exchange rate is temporarily stronger than Bitcoin. At the same time, please note that Grayscale has withdrawn the ETF application for Ethereum futures rather than the Ethereum spot ETF application.

Daily level market

- ​​Daily level upward trend, pressure near the middle track is 63,000, the nearest pressure above is around 62,000, and the nearest support is around 60,600 and 59,500.

4-hour level market

-4-hour level large-scale slow rise and shock trend, temporarily weakening, upper pressure is around 62,200, bottom support is around 60,000, and prevent the pin explosion position from being around 57,500.

Intraday level analysis

----Intraday derivatives trading is mainly short orders, and the chips have not yet completed the decline sentiment. The upper pressure is around 61,800 and around 62,600. Both pressures can choose to enter the short order during the day, mainly high and short, and the target can be set around 60,500 or 59,600. The overall liquidity is poor and pay attention to the short after the rebound.

The market has changed very quickly recently. If you want to adjust your position or don't understand the trend, you are welcome to communicate and learn. If you want to follow, please leave a message in the comment area. #BTC走势分析 #BTC