Will there be another sharp drop after the production cut? Many people will miss the last bull market.

In 2022, when it plummeted to 15,000, many people were waiting for 8,000 and 10,000.

In the middle of 2023, when it plummeted to 25,000, many people were waiting for 15,000 and 20,000.

At the end of 2023, when it plummeted to 38,600, many people were waiting for 35,000 and 30,000.

When it fell to 59,000 this time, some people might still wait for 55,000 and 40,000.

The bull market is over halfway, and the market really doesn’t have many opportunities for everyone.

Before this production cut, even if I expected the market to fall, I made some risk hedging and controlled positions. But the reappearance of 312, after a month of continuous decline, it fell like this again, which was indeed beyond expectations. After all, it is a bull market now.

But if you encounter opportunities like 413 and 414, you should still grab them. For people who have good position control, it is rare for a bull market to have such opportunities.

I have already said this in my previous article: Shanzhai reappeared on March 12, the currency circle was bloodbathed again, and the market was about to change.

But I feel that this opportunity is basically the same as the previous two times. There are still many people who will reverse the operation and make mistakes to cut losses.

I dare to say that 90% of retail investors who enter this circle are impatient and are not prepared.

I told many people before that they should control their positions, always have a clear cup mentality, have a Shanzhai profit-taking strategy, and dare to sell without fear of selling out. But in fact, from their attitude when chatting with me, I know that they will still fill their positions during the rise and are reluctant to sell at all, and then start panic cutting after the plunge, instead of buying at the bottom.

Opportunities, I rarely talk about them, this time is probably the third time in this round.

Still emphasize position management. Many people asked me when the previous surge, why did I not fill my positions even though I knew it was a bull market?

Now I know that every time there is a plunge, I wake up from a dream.

The first lesson that the uncle taught Abao was called "losing money": he bought electric vacuum stocks for 6,000 yuan and lost half of it in a week, and told him "the principle of the Empire State Building".

Only when you climb high will you have the risk of diving.

On the first and second floors, there is no need to consider such risks at all, so when the 413 and 414 crashes occurred, entering the market at this time would not kill you.

Today, the production cuts have ended, and it will be another 4 years before the next production cut. Before that, there will be at least 2 years of bear market.

Time is really running out. There may not be another correction, but the opportunities will only get fewer and fewer.

In the plunge a few days ago, some people thought that the bull market had ended and regarded 73,000 as the peak of this round of bull market. Is this reasonable?

I think it's nonsense.

First of all, after the production cut, data from all parties show that the mining cost of Bitcoin is between 40,000 and 50,000. This shutdown price determines that only when Bitcoin is maintained at 55,000 or even above 60,000 can miners have considerable profits.

Secondly, is it reasonable to hype the slowdown of interest rate cuts and interest rate hikes? Is it possible? I think everything is possible, but one fact that cannot be changed is that the interest rate hike is nearing its end and the interest rate cut cycle is about to come. As long as the cycle is right, all kinds of delays, harsh words, and hawkishness, I think they are all strategies of some people, so the cycle is far from over.

Furthermore, two things worth noting this week: the US stock market fell, but the market did not follow; the Bitcoin amplitude decreased, and the cottage began to suck blood (it can also be seen as a bottoming rebound) and rise.

Jiaoliuqun+V: 2758624303 I think both of these points are favorable.

From the perspective of the big cake, it is never too late to buy. From the perspective of the cottage, it is best for the big cake to go sideways, and the cottage will make up for the rise. On the 20th, this was the view.

So, will there be a sharp drop after the production cut?

On the surface, both the 312 and this sharp drop have external causes, but in fact, they are more planned and premeditated by the dog dealers, the wash before the bull market, and the leverage removal action.

Two months after BlackRock and other capitals entered the market, the bull market is over?

No matter how sufficient the reason is, I will not believe it.

I also remind everyone that before coming to the currency circle, you should be prepared to arm yourself and strengthen yourself. When it rises, don't forget the risks, and when it falls, don't be afraid that it may be an opportunity. #比特币减半 #大盘走势