Since last weekend, we have been observing a drawdown in the BTC. Many were sure that these were consequences of the Iran-Israel conflict. I didn’t believe in this version for a long time, but then, under pressure from various sources, I also accepted this point of view: sell on threats and buy on invasions. But I was wrong and I misled you too. New introductory information has arrived and everything is becoming more or less clear. Let's start with the fact that I am firmly convinced that military-technical cooperation at a distance is an excellent means of saving money, especially at this moment in time, and parting with it because of a conflict is simply stupid. Switching to the dollar when oil prices rise and inflation accelerates is not the best idea. But the reality is a little different. On April 15, Pindos had a tax deadline and many big players withdrew funds for these procedures. The fact that on April 15th all assets feel bad is a statistically proven thing. And immediately a spoiler: the whales spent money on taxes, what will they do? Of course they need to recoup these costs. The Iran-Israel conflict is just a sign that a big player used to cut long-term investors and collect liquidity. Tonight we also observed a long squeeze that coincided with Israel’s attack on Iran. But I am sure that there is no geopolitics here either. Yesterday was a reversal day and a lot of risky heads flew into positions with shoulders under 100X. We saw a classic pattern of these hotheads taking out. They were taken out and the VTS quickly returned. Another factor in this theory is that the expiration date for options had approached and no one on the exchanges wanted to give up their liquidity. Now, if you take the place of a big player, then it is logical to go up to the 68-70 zone where there is a very large number of short positions and update the high on their stops. To fully collect liquidity, this must be done quickly but competently, with kickbacks. If you delay, many may jump out of this submarine. Moreover, Tether printed another billion, and two days ago a billion. Now they can easily bring us down to 80, marinate for a week to attract new players with information noise that we are going to a new high and lower us to 60