The Fed's rate cut expectations resonate with tensions in the Middle East. Can the cryptocurrency circle still play? ? ? ?
1. Fed's Williams: I don't think the recent inflation data is a turning point. I personally think that rate cuts may start this year.
2. Iran-Israel conflict-Israel is weighing the next response action within the "important 24 hours"; Sources: Israel is considering options that can send a signal to respond to Iran's attack, but will not cause casualties; Israeli Chief of Staff: Iran's attack on Israel will be responded to; Israeli media: The Israeli Air Force has completed preparations for an attack on Iran.
3. According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 95.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.6%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 7.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 21.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9%. (The old American's math seems to be problematic)
4. According to Channel 13, the Israeli Air Force has completed preparations for an attack on Iran.
5. Israeli military chief of staff: will respond to Iran launching so many missiles and drones into Israeli territory.
With everyone's concerns about Israel's strikes on Iran and the plunge in US stocks, the market has fallen again. In the next two days, everyone should still pay attention to unexpected plunges. Overall, there have been large fluctuations recently, and both long and short positions have opportunities. The biggest problem in operation is not the direction, but the fluctuation. That is to say, we have to set a stop loss for small capital operations, and the current fluctuations make it easy to stop loss even if you are in the right direction. Only by reducing the position and expanding the stop loss and take profit range can we achieve the key to recent operations.
