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温格区块链
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I haven't posted on the square for a long time. I found many new faces #ordi#btc
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06/25【市场的几个积极信号】 - 大饼 日线超卖,上一次还是去年8月份29000的时候(如图一); - 山寨市值占比others.d 再次触底趋势线附近,暂时有效支撑;(如图二); - 大饼 下跌,但大部分山寨未跟,且山寨市值总体回升。 虽然我们不能说当下市场就不会再跌,但是至少说明性价比是不错的; 在控制苍位的基础上,分批打入(大饼和山寨)是没有问题的; 买的好不如卖的好,卖的好不如苍位管理的好。#btc #eth
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接下来无论换仓还是开始击球,我问自己的四个问题 - 哪些标的从赛道叙事上更加有确定性? - 哪些标的从筹码结构(空间)上到了底部区间? - 哪些标的从时间上到了即将可布局的区间? - 如果只选3个标的会选哪3个标的? 第一个问题,更多是一种概率,考验的是我们每个人对市场的感知力; 第二个问题,从空间上看哪些标的的盈亏比更高; 第三个问题,从时间上看哪些标的已洗盘足够久,但是基本面依然还是OK的; 第四个问题,让自己剔除鸡肋标的,从优中选优,先从15个中选10个,再从10个中选5个,选3个。这里并不是说最后只持有3个标的,而是用这种思维进行优先级排序,最后依然还是要用投资组合打败小概率。 以上最难的其实是第一个问题; 欢迎点赞点再看,评论区一起讨论。#btc
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