Why do coins with heavy positions always not rise, while coins with light positions or short positions keep rising? In fact, I also like to study early currencies, but I have also encountered this situation recently. I feel that I have taken some detours and made some reflections and summaries. The reasons are as follows:

1: Investment is anti-human: Human beings are naturally risk-averse and dare not invest heavily in currencies they do not understand.

2: The heavily invested coins have not risen: Because these coins were once the leaders or had explosive growth, everyone is optimistic about them, and you are also optimistic about them, and you think they are very safe. However, these coins may have reached a high valuation or normal valuation, and there are many locked-in shares in the short term. They must undergo adjustments before they have a chance to rise, so the trend will be slow.

3: The coins that are lightly held are rising every day: because they are new concepts and new narratives that everyone does not understand, has no experience, does not know what the future will be like, and lacks a sense of security and dare not take heavy positions. Therefore, everyone is watching the show, and the manipulator pulls the market to make them rise to convince you.

4: Crack method: In fact, it is ultimately a matter of cognition. Only those with top knowledge can catch early dark horses. Black horse coins are usually places that no one cares about. They need to dare to take heavy positions and must go through days or even weeks of in-depth research and precipitation. If you see a certain currency being discussed hotly on Twitter and its price is skyrocketing, it is too late for you to do research. By the time you do your research, it may have increased 10 times, so be cautious when participating.

5: Independent thinking: Whether you are engaged in music, movies or investment, you must learn to think independently.

6: Thinking before investing: Calm down and think about the project you want to invest in.
Head. Understand what the circulating market value and FDV are respectively, whether it has skyrocketed in the short term, what the narrative is, how much money and time the project has invested in this, whether there is a risk of short-term runaway, what is the goal of the project, and what is the currency circle There are no similar projects to refer to for valuation


7: Remind yourself: Always remind yourself to train your anti-human nature. Be sure to do thorough research before investing. Don’t chase after the rise when it rises, and don’t panic and cut the meat if it falls.


8: Select projects: Find the last one among many projects, and then participate heavily in it. You can often quickly obtain dozens of times or even hundreds of times of gains. For example, many people recently participated in the early KAS and made tens of millions or even hundreds of millions. I also realized that there is a big gap between my knowledge and theirs. The difference between one's own ten times and someone else's one hundred times is still very big.


9: Top-level knowledge: The most scarce thing in the currency circle is not principal, but top-level knowledge. What is top-level knowledge? When no one can make money, they can still analyze high-potential projects through their own knowledge.


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