投机实验室

Spending long hours in front of the computer trading and watching the charts really takes a toll.
Just found out today that sitting for several hours and then hitting the gym doesn't completely offset the damage from prolonged sitting.

The best approach is to sit for 20 minutes, stand for 8 minutes, take a stroll, stretch for 2 minutes, and then repeat.

Also, shaking your legs may not look classy, but it helps reduce the negative effects of sitting too long.

From everyday goods to AI, Japanese companies have managed to bridge seemingly unrelated sectors for two main reasons.

Firstly, Japan was historically a semiconductor powerhouse. The local industry once developed a complete supply chain for materials, equipment, and components. Although many Japanese chip companies have scaled back, a lot of that supply chain capability remains in niche areas.

Secondly, Japanese firms are adept at accumulating technologies that may not show immediate demand. Ajinomoto researched ABF years ago, initially aiming to leverage the chemical capabilities behind MSG in other fields. Eventually, chip manufacturers adopted it, and when the demand for AI chips surged, this material suddenly became a key scarce resource.

However, the almost Zen-like patience of Japanese companies has its downsides. When demand spikes suddenly, Japanese suppliers often have a slower response in ramping up production. While Ajinomoto, Nitto, and TOTO are expanding their related capacities, the pace still lags behind the rapid advancement of the AI industry.

Old-school companies in Japan are really raking it in quietly.

Ajinomoto, the company known for MSG, now surprisingly holds over 95% of the global market share for key materials in AI chip packaging.
TOTO, the toilet maker, finds that more than half of its operating profit is now coming from components related to AI chips.

In this wave of AI hype, some traditional Japanese companies have stealthily become big winners.

Always thinking about saving the things you really love for later is as silly as saving your sex life for when you're old.

That old Buffett is full of wisdom, huh?

He once met a Harvard Business School student who said that if he could get into a big management consulting firm after graduation, his resume would be perfect.

Buffett asked him, is that what you really want to do? He replied, no, but it would make for a killer resume.

Buffett then asked, so when are you planning to start doing what you love? He said, I'll do it later.

Then Buffett said, your plan sounds a lot like saving your sex life for old age—there's just no logic in that.

Recently, a blogger tagged a genuine Monet as an AI artwork, prompting netizens to describe in detail what was wrong with the image.

The result? The painting got roasted hard by the community.
Even some users flat-out called it SHIT, with all sorts of folks tearing it apart, critiquing the AI creation from every possible angle, declaring it utterly subpar.

When the blogger revealed the truth—that it was actually a Monet—many silently deleted their comments.

Now, as soon as an image gets slapped with the AI label, a lot of folks jump to conclusions before even taking a good look.

According to Reuters, SpaceX has secured a $2.29 billion contract with the U.S. Space Force.

This isn't just your average military comms order; it's tied to the Iron Dome initiative pushed by Trump.

The contract stipulates that SpaceX must deliver a functional space data network for the military by the end of 2027, enabling satellites to detect targets and transmit data more quickly to command systems and weapon platforms.

The Iron Dome aims to create the U.S. version of the next-gen missile defense shield, where the first step isn't launching interceptors but rather detecting and tracking targets in space before rapidly relaying data to weapon systems.

What SpaceX has landed is essentially the backbone contract for this space data network.

In the future, discussions about SpaceX may go beyond launches and communications; it's getting closer to the critical information transmission component of the U.S. missile defense system.

ChatGPT's flattery can really drive a normal person to madness.

MIT recently discovered that even a completely rational person, if they engage long-term with an AI that only praises them, can be gradually pushed towards an extreme belief in false notions, falling into a delusional spiral.

A real case happened last year.

A 47-year-old Canadian, Alan Brooks, asked ChatGPT for help with a math problem his son couldn't solve. He ended up chatting with ChatGPT for 300 hours over 21 days, racking up over a million words.

With ChatGPT's constant agreement and praise, he became convinced he had invented a new mathematical formula that could break global internet encryption, even capable of creating force field vests and hovering light beams.

Encouraged by GPT, he contacted all his colleagues and even wrote to the NSA to share his astonishing discovery. During this time, he had doubts; he asked ChatGPT over 50 times if he seemed crazy, and each time, ChatGPT firmly told him, "You’re not crazy; you’re a genius."

The illusion was finally shattered when he switched to a different AI; after sending the same content to Gemini, he realized he had been living in a delusion.

Always maintain a critical mindset when talking to AI; cross-validation is the best way to use it.

A lot of the time, we focus too much on buy signals and chart patterns, but we overlook what really determines long-term results: selling.
When to cut losses, when to exit, how long to hold profitable positions—these are the factors that ultimately make the difference.
Linda Raschke, a renowned trader featured in 'Market Wizards,' is also known as the Wall Street Witch. With over 40 years of trading experience, she has outlined a few practical selling rules.

First, enter and exit in one go.
Linda doesn't like to scale into positions or scale out. Once she decides to enter, she goes all in according to her planned position size; once she decides to exit, she clears out completely. She compares this to playing cards: once that hand is done, you cleanly and swiftly move on to the next round.

Second, cut losing positions quickly.
If a position isn't developing as expected or is clearly deteriorating, she will immediately close it out, letting it vanish from her account. She typically keeps any single loss within 2% of her total capital. A common issue for many traders is being reluctant to deal with losing positions while prematurely selling truly profitable ones.

Third, exit based on market structure.
Linda doesn't like to mechanically set fixed take profits; instead, she looks at previous highs, previous lows, swing structures, and the previous day's high and low points—these basic market structures. Some trades will end near the previous day's highs on a bounce, while others will exit after breaking through key swing highs.

Fourth, use ATR trailing stops to follow trends.
Most trades usually just result in small wins and small losses, or even end the day flat. However, a few market movements can develop into real trends. The purpose of ATR trailing stops is to keep your position in the trend while controlling risk, avoiding premature exits.

Fifth, respect the market's rhythm.
For short-term positions, if the market isn't showing significant expansion, she often exits at the day's close or sells during the morning bounce of the next day. She also observes rhythm changes across different time frames. If a particular asset has been consistently rising during the Asian, European, and U.S. morning sessions, the probability of continuing a major rally usually decreases, and that's when you should start considering an exit.

These leeches have been auto-deducting over 1000 every month since 2024, and I never checked the statements because it was all on autopilot repayment.

This is an auto-deduction scam; some even set up "temporarily cancel subscription" and "cancel subscription" options where the fine print is tiny, and after two or three months, it auto-renews again!!

I just unsubscribed from around twenty to thirty services like iQIYI, Tencent Video, Keep, Weibo, Instagram, Apple Music, Paramount, cloud storage, Medium, Netflix, ElevenLabs, TweetDelete, Cream, Tradezella, Scribd, Uber, and family plans, etc.

Everyone should check themselves too; the money these leeches deduct monthly could buy you a month of premium pork trotter rice! 😮‍💨

What does it take for someone to go from zero to the pinnacle of power?

The answer lies in "The 48 Laws of Power." This book is still banned in many American prisons for being dangerous and highly manipulative.

It distills the true strategies of history's most outstanding kings, politicians, and business leaders into 48 survival laws. It can help us decode human nature in the workplace, grasp people's motivations, and face challenges with confidence.

The Samsung strike situation has seen a critical shift.

The South Korean court has backed some of Samsung's requests,
requiring the union to maintain key safety on the semiconductor production line even during strikes, ensuring that equipment protection roles continue to operate.

If the court's decision is violated, the relevant union could face fines of around 450,000 RMB daily, while the union leader could be fined about 45,000 RMB per day.

After the ruling was announced, Samsung's stock spiked about 6.7%, reducing the risk of a forced shutdown of core production lines.

Why is SpaceX doing a stock split before the IPO?

This time it's a 1-for-5 split. Originally, 1 share was worth $526.59, and after the split, it becomes 5 shares, each priced around $105.32.

After the split, the stock price is lower, making it more palatable for the market. Institutions, employees, early shareholders, and future secondary market investors find it easier to get in, and trading liquidity might improve as well.

For existing shareholders, their share count increases fivefold, but their ownership percentage remains unchanged, and the overall paper value stays roughly the same. For instance, if you originally held 0.001% of the company, after the split, you still hold 0.001%.