According to Cointelegraph, Solana (SOL) enthusiasts often tout the blockchain as an Ethereum killer, leading to inevitable comparisons, especially after Ether (ETH) hit a three-and-a-half-year low against Bitcoin (BTC). The pressing question is whether Solana will maintain its position against Bitcoin or face a decline similar to Ether.
Analysts are split on Solanaâs future trajectory. Some predict a price drop, while others foresee a potential breakout. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggested in a Sept. 20 X post that if Solana holds the $120 support, it could be poised for a significant advance. VanEck also expressed optimism in a Sept. 25 report, projecting Solana to reach $330, equating to 50% of Etherâs current market capitalization. However, the report noted that institutional investors have been slow to recognize Solanaâs benefits, possibly due to a reluctance to move away from established coins like Ether.
Solana faces emerging competition that could challenge its status as the leading alternative layer-1 network to Ethereum. K33 Research analysts pointed out that Sui Network might become a formidable rival to Solana.
Analyzing the SOL/BTC weekly price charts, the pair has formed a symmetrical triangle, typically a continuation pattern. Given the price was rising before the triangle's formation, a breakout is possible. However, the flat 20-week exponential moving average (0.0023 BTC) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint do not clearly favor either bulls or bears. If bulls keep the price above the 20-week EMA, the SOL/BTC pair might break above the resistance line, potentially moving to 0.0031 BTC and then to the pattern target of 0.0039 BTC. Conversely, a break below the triangle could drop the pair to 0.0018 BTC and later to 0.0013 BTC.
On the daily price charts, the pair generally oscillates between support and resistance lines within the triangle. After bouncing off the support line on Sept. 18, the price rose above the moving averages on Sept. 26. Buyers will aim to push the price to the resistance line, where sellers are expected to intervene. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA (0.0023 BTC) after turning down from the resistance line, the likelihood of a breakout increases. However, a break below the moving averages would suggest an extended stay inside the triangle, favoring bears if the price drops below the support line.
Predicting the breakout direction with certainty is challenging, so it is advisable to wait for the breakout before making significant investments. This article does not offer investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research before making decisions.
