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$XAU ⏰ NEXT FEW HOURS — What Happens? Gold recorded fluctuated positive intraday trading, attempting to recover part of previous losses. The metal is seeking to regain positive momentum after a period of heavy selling. SHORT-TERM BIAS: RANGE-BOUND with bearish lean 🔶 3 scenarios for next few hours: 🔺 Scenario A — Bounce attempt (50% probability) Gold tries to push toward $4,317–$4,350 resistance. Geopolitical news (Iran-US warship incident) gives small safe-haven support. But sellers waiting at resistance zone. 🔺 Scenario B — More downside (35% probability) If $4,268 support breaks → fast move to $4,250 → $4,202. Triggered by any hawkish Fed speaker or risk-on market mood. 🔺 Scenario C — Flat chop (15% probability) Market waits quietly before Wednesday's CPI. No clear direction. Tight range of $4,270–$4,320. 🎯 KEY INSIGHT A large Descending Triangle is forming on the weekly chart. MACD is moving sideways in negative territory. RSI at 48, declining. The VWAP and SMA20 are both above market price — bears in control. Bottom line bhai: Aaj ka din CPI ke pehle waiting game hai. Gold $4,270–$4,350 range me phansa rahega. Wednesday CPI print = gold ka next big move decide karega. Abhi koi bada trade mat lo — event ke baad direction pakdo. 🎯 #GoldFallsBelow200DayAverage #IsraelStrikesIranMilitaryTargets #XAUUSD