Wow, two roller coasters in one night!
Isn’t the recent trend of Bitcoin a bit confusing? Let me clarify for everyone. It's like playing a 'statue game', the price is swaying within the range I mentioned yesterday. Although there has been some decline, if we want BTC to continue soaring, we need more money to enter the market and continuous good news. We also need to keep an eye on the U.S. stock market; if it can't hold up, Bitcoin might take a fall as well.
If you have some spare cash, consider adding to your position if BTC drops below 92,000, but remember, if it drops to 80,000, you need to be ready to average down. The current decline does not mean it won't rebound; the timing just isn't right yet, and funds and good news are on the way. So don’t be afraid of a drop and go cash; that might cause you to miss out on the opportunities for an increase.
Let’s talk about BNB, which is currently fluctuating between 670 and 720. The 63rd airdrop is about to end, and many people may sell their BNB, which is quite normal. If you are a long-term holder, selling some while the price is high these days and buying back after the airdrop ends could be a profitable move.
Lastly, let’s talk about ETH; it has been slowly climbing between 3200 and 3600, performing slightly stronger than BTC. Although it's also consolidating, in the short term, it is performing a bit better than BTC.
Now let’s discuss today's BTC technical analysis: From the candlestick chart, the 1-hour level is a bit chaotic, fluctuating up and down then falling; the 4-hour level is down, the 12-hour level is also down, and the daily level isn't looking good either. Today's resistance level is at 95,000, and the support level is about 90,000 dollars.
The AI Agents sector is rising against the trend, strengthening for two consecutive days!
The AI Agents track is currently extremely hot, completely not following the overall market trends!
How to achieve better returns? Do you have any concept coins in the AI agents track?
According to SoSoValue data, the overall cryptocurrency market is in a correction, but the AI Agents sector has risen against the trend, with an increase of up to 7.46% in the past 24 hours. Many coins in this sector have performed exceptionally well, some even rising by more than 30%. Specifically:
Eliza (ELIZA) rose by 68.93%
ai16zeliza (ELIZA) rose by 50.34%
Degen Spartan AI (DEGENAI) rose by 46.18%
ai16z (AI16Z) rose by 38.89%
Zerebro (ZEREBRO) rose by 36.07%
From August to September, everyone was trading inscriptions, and as a result, most who chased high prices for ORDI and SATS got stuck at the peak.
From October to November is the stage for trading meme coins, like ACT, PNUT, and BAN, where those chasing high prices continue to get stuck.
From December to January, everyone started trading in the AI direction, such as AGENT, with those chasing high prices getting stuck again.
From January to March 2025, aixbt predicts that there will be speculation on the Bitcoin ecosystem.
In fact, very few people have positioned themselves in advance; most are entering at high prices.
The best strategy is to diversify the layout, staking ETH, L2, AI direction, and some layout in the Bitcoin ecosystem. After all, a bull market cannot just focus on one track.
Recently, the cryptocurrencies launched by BITGET have been quite good, which may also represent the direction of capital allocation. It’s worth paying more attention.
If you already have positions or need to adjust your positions, you can refer to the following strategies:
Assuming you have a principal of 1 million, how would you allocate it?
Of the 500,000, allocate 250,000 to Ethereum and Solana spot trading, and the other 250,000 to lay out 2x coin-based contracts; another 500,000 to lay out leading altcoins, 250,000 for spot trading, and another 250,000 for 2x USDT long-term positions, not in coin-based as the risk is high.
Prioritize selecting altcoins for allocation:
uni, ena, gala, pepe, aave, Bonk, link, Avax, render, crv, cow, usual, puffer
Among them, Cow, usual, and puffer are new coins, doing spot trading, not contracts; the others can open 2x. Anyway, half of the spot is used for defense against black swan events!
At what node and time to enter the market?
First, allocate 50% of all funds, and the other 50%: buy small on small dips, buy big on big dips, and don’t buy if it doesn't dip. For mainstream coins, increase positions every 3 points; for altcoins, increase every 5 points. In the worst-case scenario, fully load your bullets by New Year's Eve!
BGB has completed the destruction of 800 million coins; should you get on board?
BGB has destroyed 800 million coins, worth about 5.2 billion dollars, accounting for about 40% of the total supply (of which 19% are unlocked tokens held by the core team and 21% are circulating core team tokens). Currently, the total supply and circulating supply of BGB is 1.2 billion coins; should you consider getting on board?
The altcoin season is here, and for most retail investors holding altcoins, this is a good time for a comeback. Retail investors generally do not hold Bitcoin positions, so the market heat of altcoins has become their main opportunity to accumulate wealth. If this bull market lacks the impetus of an altcoin season, many retail investors might face difficulties and even have to seek other paths.
Which cryptocurrencies does Grayscale favor for 2025?
Yesterday, Grayscale released its list of favored cryptocurrencies for the first quarter of 2025, adding tokens for 6 new projects: HYPE, ENA, VIRTUAL, JUP, JTO, and GRASS. The report provides detailed introductions to these 6 projects, clearly showing that Grayscale is quite optimistic about their performance over the next 3 months.
A few key points in the report:
• In addition to traditional Layer 1 projects, Grayscale is optimistic about AI, depin (decentralized physical infrastructure networks), and the DeFi track.
• The three major directions that Grayscale is particularly focused on are:
1. The U.S. election and its potential impact on industry regulation, especially in areas such as DeFi and staking.
2. The continuous breakthroughs in decentralized AI technology and the application of AI agents in blockchain.
3. The growth of the Solana ecosystem.
In the report, I listed detailed data on these 20 tokens and compared their previous prices, calculating how much these tokens would need to rise from their peak prices to break even.
If you are interested in Grayscale's previous coin selection performance, you can refer to this chart released by PANewsCN, which shows Grayscale's historical coin selection win rate.
Finally, here are a few recent key messages:
1. According to Bloomberg, though BlackRock’s iShares division offers over 1,400 ETFs, none can match the performance of their Bitcoin ETF.
2. According to MicroStrategy's recent 8-K filing, the company purchased approximately 2,138 bitcoins for about $209 million between December 23 and December 29, 2024, at an average price of about $97,837 each.
3. According to (The Business Times), with the end of 2024 approaching, the U.S. presidential election results showing Trump winning have led to a temporary halt in Bitcoin's upward momentum.
4. According to CME's 'FedWatch', the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates in January next year is as high as 89.3%.