Long-term Bull and Bear Analysis: BTC

Some friends have expressed a greater concern for long-term trends, so today let's discuss the long-term outlook for BTC. From a weekly perspective, after experiencing consolidation and a decline in the middle of the year, it has completed the monthly adjustment and formed a weekly level central structure with the last major bullish wave. Tonight, if the current weekly rise can be seen as the starting point for the quarterly trend, then a pullback may occur next, followed by a new high, ultimately completing the left-side movement of the monthly chart.

1-Day Analysis: The current rising segment is a daily buy signal at the weekly level central structure, showing strong momentum. Excluding short-term adjustments, this wave of increase needs to form a central structure at an appropriate position and continue to rise. The specific position where the central structure forms or when a divergence occurs needs to be observed through smaller time frame charts. The illustrated position is merely indicative and does not necessarily represent that a central structure will definitely be built at 100,000.

Trading Suggestions: From a larger trend perspective, the market remains strong. According to standard trend projections, 100,000 is not a peak, but this does not mean one can blindly chase long positions. Smaller time frames obey larger time frames, but smaller time frames can also impact larger time frame trends. After all, no one can predict when a bull market will end; there has never been a daily limit down in the crypto market, and price fluctuations can reflect several months of declines within a single day. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a positive mindset, primarily using bullish strategies and spot investments, while also paying attention to the interactions between large, medium, and small levels, and trying to avoid being misled by pullbacks during the bull market. No one can predict which pullback will truly end the bull market.

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