In fact,

I am optimistic about $BNB and pessimistic about $BTC .

BNB has Binance's continuous operation, continuous destruction, launchpool, launchpad, HODL, and benefits from Binance's profit sharing.

BTC, on the other hand, is facing soaring mining difficulty, miners unable to recover costs for electricity and network fees, and also needing to compete to buy ASIC mining machines.

A BTC crash is certain, just not right now.

The general process:

A certain black swan event occurs, a large amount of BTC is sold off, crashing the price, and the mining difficulty causes returns to be unable to cover electricity costs -> BTC holders sell off to avoid losses in transactions -> it can be subjected to a 51% attack -> trust collapses.

This could possibly be something like WW3.

Additionally,

BTC must remain large and cannot fail, even if it is currently losing. It is the face of the current cryptocurrency market.

Before it happens, I speculate that its top position will be weakened. If it loses its dominant position, then the end of BTC will begin.

However, I am optimistic about $BNB , betting that the cryptocurrency market will not have a single dominant player, but rather a hundred flowers blooming, with CZ as the ironclad and BTC as the flowing asset.