It’s an intriguing indicator.

While there are many economic indicators, tracking the flow of money often provides a more accurate sense of the market's direction.

This data compares the movements of the S&P 500 and gold prices, serving to distinguish between periods of economic recession and expansion. When this ratio exceeds 1, it signifies that gold’s growth rate has outpaced that of the S&P 500. Historically, whenever this phenomenon occurred, the asset market has invariably experienced a downturn.

Currently, this ratio is once again rising above 1, which suggests that caution is warranted regarding potential market shifts.

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