Since running for the presidency of the United States, Trump has held the title of "peace broker," repeatedly using the mediation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the end of the Russia-Ukraine war as a gimmick to gain votes. On the eve of the 2024 election, Trump has put forward what seems to be a perfect "peace plan." In his words, once he wins, he will end the Russia-Ukraine conflict with "astonishing speed." Recently, Trump's team disclosed the core content of this plan for the first time. From its detailed terms, it is a carefully designed political script. Its purpose is: to make Europe pay, give Putin a way out, win votes for himself, while Ukraine ends up "empty-handed" in both people and resources.
Specifically, Trump's "mediation script" has two points: first, Ukraine promises not to join NATO; second, autonomous demilitarized zones will be established on both sides of the Russia-Ukraine border, supervised by European forces (not NATO or UN peacekeeping forces). It is clear that this is entirely Trump's wishful thinking and is far from the "victory plan" previously announced by Ukrainian President Zelensky. On one hand, Ukraine has fully tilted towards the United States and willingly become a proxy in the war in the hope of joining NATO and gaining Western military protection. On the other hand, Zelensky was elected as the President of Ukraine because he won the support of the Ukrainian people with the slogan of reclaiming lost territories during the campaign. Previously, when discussing the conditions for Russia-Ukraine negotiations, Zelensky was also very demanding, claiming to reclaim the four eastern provinces occupied by Russian troops and even Crimea. With these demands unmet, Ukraine will obviously not easily agree to talks. However, in Zelensky's "victory plan", the invitation to NATO is a key part. Now, not only do Germany, Hungary, and other NATO member countries oppose this plan, but Trump, who is expected to become the President of the United States again, has also closed the door to joining, which has almost extinguished Zelensky's hopes.
It must be said that Trump's "mediation script" completely treats Ukraine as a sacrificial victim and sees the European countries as easy targets. According to his plan, an autonomous demilitarized zone will be established on the Russia-Ukraine border, with European troops supervising the implementation of the ceasefire. This essentially pushes Europe to the forefront, making Europe bear the responsibility for resolving the conflict. It is important to know that peacekeeping missions are thankless tasks; the United Nations peacekeeping force in Lebanon is the best example. In addition to incurring significant military expenditures, peacekeeping soldiers also face constant risks. Trump's calculations are very clever: by assigning peacekeeping tasks to European forces, the United States can stand back, save a large amount of military spending, and avoid casualties. If disputes arise in the demilitarized zone, European peacekeeping forces will bear the brunt, potentially triggering military confrontation between Russia and the entire European camp.
What he cares about more is tangible interests rather than so-called shared values or commitments. It can be anticipated that once Trump returns to the White House, the United States will pull back, and Europe will have to shoulder the burden of supporting Ukraine alone, which is a huge dilemma for Europe. However, for China, Trump's policies may bring new development opportunities. In the economic and trade field, although Trump is the initiator of the trade war, he does not reject dialogue and cooperation between China and the United States; the China-EU investment agreement was smoothly advanced during Trump's term until the negotiations stalled after Biden took office. The current United States is facing a severe inflation crisis, coupled with serious issues regarding U.S. debt. The U.S. urgently needs to revitalize its economy through dialogue and cooperation with China. If Trump returns to office, the agreement may return to the fast lane, which is undoubtedly good news for China.
Additionally, in the military field, based on the similar principles of the Russia-Ukraine battlefield, in Trump's strategic positioning, the South China Sea interests are also not considered core interests of the United States. In the future, if the U.S. no longer intervenes in South China Sea issues, cooperation between China and ASEAN countries may become even closer, which would be a significant boost for China's "Belt and Road" initiative. In short, if Trump takes office again, it could bring new changes to several international hotspot issues, and in this complex international situation, China may once again welcome a wave of developmental opportunities.#BabyMarvinf9c7值得拥🈶 
