The last time the Crypto Fear and Greed Index recorded a score of 80 was on April 9, shortly before Bitcoin suffered an 18% correction over the following three weeks.
Cryptocurrency markets may be overheating during the current parabolic rally, with some industry leaders warning of a possible deleveraging ahead of the next leg of the rally.
Crypto investor sentiment hit 80, or “extreme greed,” on Nov. 12, a day after Bitcoin price BTC
R$516,953 surpassed an all-time high of $85,000 on Nov. 11, according to data from alternative.me’s Crypto Fear and Greed Index.
The last time the index recorded a score of 80 was on April 9, shortly before Bitcoin suffered an 18% correction over the following three weeks, falling from over $69,135 to a low near $56,500 on May 1, data from Bitstamp shows.
Despite the possible sign of a correction, most analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's price trajectory heading into 2025.
Bitcoin hit a high of nearly $90,000 on Nov. 12 after recording its best week since the US banking crisis in 2023. In the past seven days, the cryptocurrency has added more than $413 billion to its market cap.
Bitcoin Needs Deleveraging Before Reaching $100,000
Current leverage ratios — or the amount of borrowed funds used for trading positions — are reaching unsustainable levels, warned Kris Marszalek, co-founder and CEO of Crypto.com.
Marszalek wrote in an X post on November 12:
"Leverage needs to be reduced before the $100k attack. Please manage your risks carefully."
Bitcoin’s estimated leverage ratio across all cryptocurrency exchanges was 0.217, a high not seen since October 2023, data from CryptoQuant shows.
Investors should prepare for volatility ahead of further Bitcoin appreciation
While investors should proceed with caution, Donald Trump’s presidential victory will likely contribute to Bitcoin’s continued appreciation, according to Shunyet Jan, head of derivatives at Bybit, who told Cointelegraph:
“Elevated funding rates and the bullish skew in options suggest that both retail and institutional investors are eagerly positioning themselves to capture further gains, with many leveraging their positions. High funding rates in particular highlight the level of leveraged bets, reflecting strong demand for long exposure as confidence continues to grow.”
Some analysts expect Bitcoin to surpass the $100,000 mark before the end of the year, driven by expected improvements in macroeconomic conditions due to Trump's presidential victory.