#美国大选后涨或跌？

Actually, who the president is doesn't matter. As mentioned in a previous tweet: half-price bull markets are all a given.

2017 was driven by the Federal Reserve's low interest rates + CBOE/CEM launching Bitcoin futures trading;

2020-2021 was driven by the Federal Reserve's 0% interest rates + unlimited QE.

This bull market is driven by Bitcoin spot ETFs + the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle; the ETF is the fuse, and the rate cuts are the powder keg.

When Trump took office, there might be a short-term initial rise followed by a fall, a pin bar pattern, then a consolidation to find direction before rising again;

When Harris takes office, there might be a short-term initial fall followed by a rise, still a pin bar pattern followed by consolidation, but the consolidation period will be a bit longer, though it won't affect the subsequent rise and the unfolding bull market;

Today's election situation mainly affects contract traders, with little impact on spot trading; now when opening contracts, it's essential to set strict take-profit and stop-loss levels, take-profit should be quick, and stop-loss should be decisive. Holding onto positions is like seeking death.