68800 breaks during the weekend when market trading is light, who is in a hurry? What are they in a hurry about? If it's a rise, Friday could have fully utilized the favorable non-farm data to pull it directly to 61800-62000 under pressure, enticing short positions in, and then accelerating upward to break through, initiating a bull market.

The only reasonable explanation is that the subsequent market trend is downward; only in this way can the logic of this weekend's decline make sense. Breaking below 68800 can initiate a right shoulder box fluctuation of a head and shoulders pattern, allowing for a fluctuation range of 3000 points to facilitate the main control of the market. At the same time, the fundamental reason for the market's bullishness is betting on Trump coming to power, with the election results announced on November 5th. Even if Trump comes to power, the rise can still be controlled within this range; if Harris comes to power, there will be a direct waterfall decline, or a slow drop, both of which can technically rationalize this market trend.

Over the weekend evening, everyone does not need to pay attention to the pressure situation at 68800; whether it breaks or not is not important. If it declines, even if it spikes up, it won't matter much, at most it will just force a technical short stop-loss. If the subsequent judgment of the hunters is wrong, and the market is not declining but rising, then a unilateral upward move will not give back a pullback.

Therefore, the position that everyone can currently choose is to short near 68800, with a stop-loss if it breaks 69300. If the subsequent market trend is a unilateral rise, then the hunter's judgment is wrong. However, if the spike triggers the stop-loss and the market falls back within the 68800-69200 range, continuing to short again indicates that the market is a false break spike, and the subsequent trend is still a unilateral decline, which will drop to the 66000-65000 range before the election announcement. This position can choose to reduce holdings to buffer against the election's volatility.