You expressed a concern about the Bitcoin market, believing that after a brief breakout above $70,000, the price of Bitcoin may quickly fall to $30,000 before a new round of bull market begins. This concern may stem from the fact that Bitcoin has been oscillating around $60,000 for a long time, and despite many positive factors, market confidence seems to be insufficient.

The positive factors you mentioned include the improvement of the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, the positive attitude of presidential candidates towards cryptocurrencies, the progress of Bitcoin ETFs, the Bitcoin halving event, the US dollar interest rate cut, and the popularity of the concept of cryptocurrency. These factors are generally considered to have a positive impact on Bitcoin prices. However, the market's cold response to these positive factors and its high sensitivity to risk factors may indicate that market sentiment is cautious and investors may be waiting for clearer market signals or trend establishment.

Your feeling is that the market seems to be waiting for a trigger event, perhaps a negative news, to cause panic selling in the market, thus ending the current uncertainty. This sentiment is not uncommon in the market, especially after a long period of volatility, when market participants may become more anxious and uneasy.

However, it is worth noting that the cryptocurrency market is known for its high volatility and unpredictability. Despite many positive fundamentals, market dynamics may still be affected by a variety of factors, including macroeconomic conditions, market sentiment, technological development, policy environment, etc. Therefore, investors should consider various market information comprehensively and pay attention to risk management when making investment decisions.

Regarding the long-term price forecast of Bitcoin, some analysts predict that the price of Bitcoin may reach $83,000 by the end of 2025, and may even exceed $150,000 by the end of 2030. These forecasts take into account the long-term trend and historical performance of Bitcoin, but there is also a lot of uncertainty. Investors should remain cautious and pay close attention to market dynamics.