Recently, Powell said that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, and the market fell rapidly. If you took it seriously, then you are confused. The Fed will never cut interest rates once and be done with it.
He said this simply because he didn't want many countries to have very accurate predictions about the Fed's measures so that they could take the opportunity to cut interest rates desperately without causing foreign exchange depreciation or some institutions and investors taking the opportunity to make money.
He said this to tell you that the economy is still good at the moment, but at the same time he doesn't want you to know the result for sure, so that you think it will drop quickly, by 50, by 25. It would be best if you don't guess correctly, then the US dollar exchange rate will not depreciate quickly, and you can buy more assets with US dollars.
Otherwise, think about why the Hong Kong stock market has risen so much. It is obviously due to foreign investment. If there is no interest rate cut, why is it still rising so much? Isn’t it good to get the interest steadily? The facts of the market show that the interest rate cut is certain. The current transaction pricing is to confirm that the market can cut interest rates, but it makes you feel uncertain.
It is speculated that the market will definitely fall by 50% in the future. The assets that fell before will rebound quickly, while the assets that skyrocketed before may maintain a slow and steady rise.
Because this is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, lowering interest rates can reduce your interest expenses, and your mispricing and cognitive gap will give them a better chance to buy assets at a lower price.
There is no reason not to cut interest rates. But it is not okay to let you guess, so the only thing the Fed can do now is to make you guess impossible.
Therefore, the measures he will take must be something you cannot guess, and the unpredictable method is a rapid interest rate cut.
BTC has been sideways for 8 months. It has never been seen in a bull market that it has been sideways for 8 months. ETFs were quickly approved and have risen so much since they were approved. The trading volume dropped sharply on Saturdays and Sundays. Think about why. Who is buying?
For example, the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates to make you guess wrong. I don’t think it will do something that will obviously put it at a disadvantage.
The logic is very simple. If the price doesn't drop in November, it will drop in December. If it doesn't drop in December, it will drop in January. I just have to wait a little longer. It doesn't matter if I buy and get stuck, because if you start to drop, you will definitely drop later. Does he want you to buy low-priced assets and make you all successful bottom-fishing? What he means is to let him buy first. If you don't see it clearly now, you won't make a move. If you see it clearly, it will have risen a lot.
It will drop rapidly and then maintain, and will increase or decrease depending on the subsequent situation.
Because those people will not give you the opportunity to buy low-priced assets for free.
The current price of BTC is only 62K. It once reached 73K when the interest rate was high.
Why is this happening?
Hold on to BTC. If it doesn’t go up this month or next month, it will go up one of these months.
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