When will the current Bitcoin bull market start? Regarding the time prediction of the Bitcoin bull market, according to the discussions you found on X, different views can be summarized as follows:

Possible signs of a bull market in the short term: Some users pointed out that if Bitcoin breaks through $68,000 and stabilizes, a new round of market may begin. However, the current market sentiment fluctuates greatly, and it is believed that breaking through $73,000 is the real bull market, and the probability of a bull market is low.

Predictions based on historical cycles: According to the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycle, a recent message pointed out that the violent cycle after halving starts 170 days after halving, and October 6, 2024 is this key node. This suggests that the bull market may have started or is about to start.

Bull market prediction from a long-term perspective: Some comments believe that the period from 2022 to 2024 is not a real bull market, but a transition stage from a bear market to a bull market, and the real bull market will come between 2025 and 2026. This view holds that Bitcoin's brief breakthrough of the 2021 high is mainly due to the application of ETFs, rather than the real bull market momentum of the market.

Analysis on interest rate cuts and capital inflows: Some analysts believe that Bitcoin will not react much after the first interest rate cut, but with multiple interest rate cuts, big funds may start to snap up risky assets. It is predicted that there will be a large inflow of funds in this quarter, driving the bull market.