On September 16, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, which indicates that the overall market environment has shifted from tightening to easing, but! At present, the interest rate has only been cut once, and it has not yet reached the time node for flooding the market in terms of both strength and time.

In the first half, we traded "expectations of interest rate cuts". Now, "recession expectations" and "inflation rebound" have been added to our trading logic.

In the first half, the data we focused on was mainly inflation data. Now we need to look at inflation and the economy at the same time.

To sum it up in one sentence, Mr. Bao needs to grasp both inflation and economy, and both hands must be strong.

So, this is related to the key emotional turning point brought by macro data.

For example: when BTC rises to the 70,000 pressure level and goes sideways, and a divergence occurs at a small level (there are two ways to digest the divergence, callback or burst pull).

A key piece of macro data plays a decisive role, because the price and sentiment at that time will reach a critical point.