Daily Analysis (09.19)

Summary:

1. A 50bp rate cut is a positive in the short term, but it also implies that the US economy is deteriorating faster. After the triggering of the Sam rule and the positive US bond yields, the Federal Reserve also foresaw the occurrence of a financial crisis.

2. The peak will accelerate in October and November this year, but I tend to focus on adjustments and washouts in September. There are three opportunities for mid-term short selling here.

3. Follow the example of the market after the rate cut on July 31, 2019.

4. This morning's pull-up is basically in line with the "situation one" I mentioned yesterday. This pull-up looks strong, but I don't think it is very healthy.

Operation:

1.$BTC is above 62555 and below 63000, and aggressive short orders are carried out. $ETH $SOL is synchronized, and the specific points have been given in the previous post. Don't defend too much. Take Bitcoin as an example. 63100 is enough. If it is swept away, it is swept away.

2. If it is swept away, observe the closing of Bitcoin's daily line at 8 o'clock tomorrow morning. Whether it closes with a cross star or a positive, you can directly short at the current price. The defense is a little thicker.

3. This 4h level rise that started on September 6th, the extreme position is a false breakthrough of 65000 to recover. We will make a final short attempt near Bitcoin 65000, Ethereum 2515, SOL 144.4. This time the position can be larger.

The final target point must be at least Bitcoin 56000, Ethereum 2250, SOL133

4. In the short term, if Bitcoin falls below 61000 and Ethereum falls to 2340, you can do a 15f level short long, looking at today's daytime high.