Ethereum (ETHUSD) may have completed three straight red months (1M candles) but despite the recent correction, managed to close August above the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), in spite of touching it earlier within the month.
This is a key Support level as it also held during the August - October 2023 bottom formation, initiating the multi-month rally up until March 2024. This makes it a long-term Support and as long as it is holding, it is keeping ETH within bullish territory.
At the same time, the price also held the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the Cycle bottom. The last time that happened was during the previous Cycle in September - October 2020. After it held, this kick-started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally to just above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level.
As a result, as long as the 1M MA50 is holding, we can expect the next High to be as high as 11500, even though 8k would seem more reasonable in terms of market cap and thus feasible as a long-term Target.
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