If there is no black swan, for example, this round of interest rate hikes will continue more than twice next year; the U.S. stock market crashes, etc...

Even if the Bitcoin ETF continues to be postponed or even rejected.

Even if the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates for the last time this November, as long as it does not increase more than twice, I think November will be the last time it raises interest rates.

If these two more disadvantageous situations are superimposed.

I also believe that the weekly level of Bitcoin’s bear market will not fall below 18,000 US dollars (not excluding the rapid violent washout pins similar to 312), the probability is more than 80% (actually I want to say 90%), and the other probability is left to Give it a black swan event.

Therefore, now is still a good time for long-term batch buying and long-term fixed investment!

In the market outlook, if you encounter a cheat copy of $25,000, a large copy of $21,800, and a full position copy of $18,000! In stock only!

The above is a simple long-term analysis, detailed analysis logic depends on mood and time sharing.

You can also just use it as a negative indicator, but good luck to you.