News:

1. The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision (upper limit) will be announced at 2 a.m. tonight until September 18;

2. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 37.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 63.0%.

3. TON Foundation and Curve Finance cooperate to launch a new stablecoin swap project based on TON;

Technical:

BTC: The much-anticipated Fed rate cut will end at 2 a.m. tonight. Before that, the market performance fluctuated greatly, and the overall trend was upward, which was in line with market expectations. Yesterday, it fell back to around 57,500 for 6 hours without breaking, and then began to rise slowly. In the evening, it rose rapidly. The overall increase in this wave was nearly 4,000 points, and it stopped at around 61,350. From the daily line, yesterday's real big positive line was closed, and there was a correction in the early morning. The possibility of continuing to rise after falling back to the 7-day moving average during the day. In terms of operation, focus on the rebound after falling back to the 59,550 position, and focus on the pressure of the 61,450 position above.

ETH: The interest rate cut market is mainly BTC, and Ethereum is still relatively weak. Yesterday, it rose and fell back to close below the moving average. The morning opening was suppressed by the moving average and adjusted back. From the weekly perspective, it is generally in a state of shrinking adjustment, and the short-term pressure at the weekly level is around 2460. At the 4-hour line level, it has fallen back to the space of yesterday's sharp rise. In the day's operation, the focus is on the rebound of 2280-2310 positions, and the focus is on the pressure of 2380-2410 positions.

Shanzhai: Shanzhai showed weakness. In recent days, it has been in a downward state. The overall trend follows Ethereum, and it has not gone out of the rebound of Bitcoin. Only the big cake is playing a solo. The current upward space of the big cake is relatively limited. The Shanzhai market has not started. When the rebound of the big cake is over, the risks faced by the Shanzhai will be greater. The operation is mainly to control the risk, and do not hold a heavy position!

The currency market fluctuates greatly, so be cautious when entering the market. This is my personal opinion, no suggestions, just for sharing.

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