Gaussian process regression analysis method click the link below to view #新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #FTX赎回Solana #美国8月核心CPI超预期 $BTC

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2024.9.13:

On Thursday, the US dollar index began to fall in the European session and accelerated its decline during the US session, but it still stood above the 101 mark and finally closed down 0.49% at 101.24. US Treasury yields rebounded slightly, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 3.678%; the two-year US Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, finally closed at 3.650%.
Although the latest PPI data was mixed, the initial jobless claims data showed that the job market had cooled down. Spot gold rose sharply before the US session, rising nearly $50 during the day and once rushed to $2,560, setting a new record high again, and finally closed up 1.88% at $2,558.55/ounce. Spot silver closed up 4.17% at $29.85/ounce.
Due to the hurricane disrupting US oil production, international oil prices continued to rebound. WTI crude oil continued to rise during the day, and once rose to an intraday high of $69.02, and finally closed up 2.48% at $68.42 per barrel; Brent crude oil stood firmly above the $70 mark, and finally closed up 1.93% at $71.81 per barrel.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.58%, the S&P 500 rose 0.75%, and the Nasdaq rose 1%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose nearly 2%, Micron Technology (MU.O) fell nearly 4%, and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) fell 4%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.8%, Alibaba (BABA.N) rose 0.8%, Douyu (DOYU.O) fell 13%, and Xiaopeng Motors (XPEV.N) and Weilai Automobile (NIO.N) fell more than 5%.

Account situation: total capital of 410,000, including dividends of 130,000. The rate of return is 280%, and the position situation is shown in the figure. You can search for my real account on Coin, and Binance also has single accounts.

Risk warning: Leverage is not a devil, it is just a tool to improve the utilization rate of funds. Leverage itself has no risk, the real risk comes from human nature.

$btc $eth $bnb #新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

At present, the callback is preferred to look at the range of 57324 to 56996. This range is a normal callback. If it falls below 56644, the trend may reverse and look for the next support. #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #美国8月核心CPI超预期
$BTC

#灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 hi like

BTC is fluctuating in a narrow range of 58500-57800. It has been said before that it may enter a volatile market. There is no need to eat the narrow range. According to the trend, there should be a small rise in the evening. It is still necessary to observe the reversal in the previous support range. #新币挖矿HMSTR #美降息25个基点预期升温 #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #FTX赎回Solana #美国8月核心CPI超预期 $BTC

Bitcoin hits 60,000? ! ! Is it a bullish rebound or a continued decline? ! 📍📍📍
The market has started to rise. If it breaks through 58,500 and falls back, you can add positions. If it fails to break through, it will still fluctuate at the support level of 57,600-56,600. #新币挖矿CATI #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 $BTC

2024.9.15:

After the U.S. CPI report was released earlier this week, the market almost believed that the Federal Reserve would slightly cut interest rates by 25 basis points this month, but the situation reversed sharply from Thursday. At that time, former New York Fed President Dudley said that the Fed had reason to cut interest rates by 50 basis points next week. A reporter from the Wall Street Journal known as the "Fed News Agency" and the Financial Times also reported that the Fed was faced with whether to cut interest rates by 50 basis points or 25 basis points. After making a difficult decision, the market's bets on the Federal Reserve's sharp interest rate cut next week significantly increased to "50-50".
The bull market in U.S. Treasuries intensified, with the 10-year Treasury yield hitting a 15-month low as traders increased bets on a 50 basis point rate cut at next week's Federal Reserve meeting. The U.S. dollar was nearly flat this week, falling below 101 on Friday, setting a new weekly low. Gold continues to surge to record highs, rising more than 3.2% this week, its largest weekly gain in five months. The three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded strongly to nearly two-week highs, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rising for five consecutive days, both achieving their best weekly performances of the year. Crude oil lost momentum to continue its rebound after Hurricane Francine, but still ended the week higher, ending a four-week losing streak.
There will be many key risk events next week, the first of which will be the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and updated summary of economic forecasts. The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also hold policy meetings. In terms of data, retail sales in the United States and the United Kingdom, and inflation reports from Canada, the United Kingdom, the Eurozone, and Japan are all worthy of attention.

Account situation: Total capital is 410,000, including dividends of 130,000. The rate of return is 280%, and the position situation is as shown in the figure. You can search for your real offer on Coin, and Binance also has an account with orders.

#新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ $BTC $ETH $SOL

According to the latest data from the federal funds rate futures chart, market expectations for future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have changed significantly. The current probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut is 45%, and the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is 55%.

Expectations for a significant rate cut have risen sharply compared with a day ago, jumping from 14% to 45%. The change reflects likely heightened concerns about the economic outlook. However, looking at data from a month ago, market expectations for a rate cut have actually declined. A month ago, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut was as high as 53%, but now it has dropped to 45%.

Such fluctuations indicate that market sentiment remains unstable and there are divergent judgments on the direction of the economy and policy. Investors need to pay close attention to future economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials to better grasp the trend of interest rates. Markets currently appear to be swinging between mild and more aggressive rate cuts, reflecting varying expectations of a soft landing and a possible recession.

For the $eth ecosystem, especially DeFi projects, changes in the interest rate environment may affect its lending rates and overall attractiveness, which in turn affects the demand for $btc, $eth, and $defiusdt.

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As @首席操盘手日记 said, the initial gains in the bull market will not be particularly large. This round of bull market is basically confirmed to be accompanied by the Fed's interest rate cut. After this surge, there is a probability that it will fall back to the 58124-57612 range, which is a good opportunity to increase positions! ! 💥

Of course, if the decline is more severe, look at the 57043-56541 range! 🚨🚨🕹

The bull market is slow to heat up, and the surge does not rule out the possibility that the market will enter a large negative line to digest the bet on the rate cut. Do a good job of risk prevention and control and fund management. After the Fed's interest rate cut, it will go sideways for a period of time and then rise in volume around October.

After the last article was published, BTC also rose sharply by 2,000-3,000 points. Everyone, please make a profit💰💰💶💵🤑🤑

#新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #FTX赎回Solana #美国8月核心CPI超预期 $BTC