On September 11, 2024, the debate between US presidential candidate Harris and Trump just ended. This debate made the election more confusing, because both candidates of the two parties showed a radical trend, which made the middle voters feel ignored. Polls show that Harris and Trump's support rates are almost the same, both nationally and in swing states, which makes the impact of this debate on the election results particularly important. Voters do not have a deep understanding of Harris's policy proposals, which means that the outcome of the debate may have a decisive impact on her chances of winning.
Performance in debates and election analysis
The core of this presidential debate is not about specific policies, but about the performance of the candidates and their influence on swing voters. Harris clearly had the upper hand in the debate. Trump was successfully angered by Harris during the debate, lost his composure, interrupted his speech many times, argued with the host, and insisted on spreading false information. According to a CNN/SSRS poll after the debate, 63% of the audience thought Harris performed better. At the same time, singer Taylor Swift publicly supported Harris for the first time, which further enhanced her public image.
The confusing election situation: the impact of the radicalization of the two parties
Harris's election situation is complicated mainly due to the radicalization of both parties. Trump chose the radical vice presidential candidate Vance, which led to the division within the Republican Party and the loss of voters in swing states. Although the market had expected Trump to have a low chance of winning, Harris's choice of vice presidential candidate Waltz also aroused voters' concerns. Waltz's radical left-wing stance, especially his attitude on illegal immigration and public security issues, made Harris' election situation even more confusing.
Harris's economic policy proposals have also sparked controversy. Her proposed price control measures, especially the federal ban on food price gouging, have been criticized as violating economic principles and could have a negative impact on the food and retail industries in key states. These policies make Harris more vulnerable to being labeled "radical left" by Trump, thus facing greater political pressure.
Harris' policy direction: Obama-style radicalism or Biden-style moderateness?
If Harris is elected, she is expected to be more inclined to promote the radical policies of the Obama era rather than Biden's moderate line. First, among Harris's sources of power and support groups, progressive forces have a greater influence on her. This is different from the policies of the Biden era. In addition, during Harris's selection of vice presidential candidates, Waltz, who was recommended by Obama and Pelosi, shows that she is more inclined to promote progressive policies.
Harris' policy team is also different from Biden's, as she relies more on a personal network of advisers rather than a team of experts. This approach may lead to policy decisions that are more inclined to personal intuition and political ideas rather than empirical analysis.
The specific impact of Harris' policies
Economic Policy
Harris' economic policies focus on supporting the middle class, intending to achieve fairer economic outcomes through government intervention. Her policies include lowering taxes, raising the minimum wage, and expanding health insurance coverage. She also plans to address the housing shortage through tax breaks and cracking down on large owners, and promises to build 3 million new homes and provide down payment support.
Social Policy
Harris' social policy will focus on the economic security and social security of the middle class. Her policy goals include improving the living conditions of the middle class through tax and subsidy measures, and trying to solve social problems in areas such as education and medical care.
Foreign Policy
In terms of foreign policy, Harris is likely to take a more radical stance, especially in the areas of climate change and international cooperation, which could complicate relations with other countries and have a profound impact on the global economy and geopolitics.
in conclusion
Harris's election will bring about a series of policy changes, especially if she implements the radical line of the Obama era. This will have a significant impact on the US economy, society and international relations. However, due to the complexity of the election and the radicalization of the two parties, the future election results are still full of uncertainty and need to be continuously watched.
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