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Today's Picks

Trump attacked again! The suspect has been arrested

The monthly rate of the U.S. import price index in August was the largest drop since December 2023

U.S. Gulf of Mexico begins to gradually resume oil production

Ukraine denies proposal to Russia for ceasefire in some frontline areas

Venezuela says US intelligence agencies involved in arms trafficking, assassination attempt on Venezuelan leaders

Typhoon "Bebejia" is approaching, Shanghai has relocated more than 414,000 people, and many Shanghai Metro lines have been suspended today

my country will launch delayed retirement reform

National Bureau of Statistics: The national economy maintained overall stability and steady progress in August

Central Bank: my country's M2 balance at the end of August was 305.05 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%

The United States has decided to impose additional tariffs on Chinese products, with tariffs on electric vehicles increasing by 100%

In the past four months, Cai Chongxin has increased his holdings of Alibaba shares by about 1.45 million shares

Market Review

Last Friday, an article from the "Federal Reserve Megaphone" fueled speculation that the Fed might cut interest rates by 50 basis points at this week's policy meeting. The US dollar index continued to fall and once lost the 101 mark, but recovered some of its losses during the US trading session and finally closed down 0.13% at 101.10. US Treasury yields fell slightly, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 3.657%; the two-year US Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, finally closed at 3.595%.

As the market's optimism about the Fed's rate cut continues to heat up, spot gold continues to set new historical highs, rising by more than $20 during the day and once reaching the 2,580 mark, and finally closed up 0.77% at $2,578.33 per ounce. Spot silver stood above the $30 mark and finally closed up 2.82% at $30.70 per ounce. In addition, gold futures stood above the $2,600 mark and silver futures stood above $31.

International oil prices fell as crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico resumed after Hurricane Francine and data showed an increase in the number of drilling platforms in the United States. WTI crude oil began to fall during the U.S. trading session, giving up all the gains of the day and falling to an intraday low of $67.65. It finally closed down 0.07% at $68.37 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 0.1% at $71.73 per barrel.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.72%, the S&P 500 closed up 0.54%, and the Nasdaq closed up 0.65%. NIO (NIO.N) closed up 4.83%, Li Auto (LI.O) closed up 1.27%, Micron Technology (MU.O) closed up 4.6%, and Trump Media closed up 7.62%.

Major European stock indices closed higher across the board, with Germany's DAX30 index closing up 0.98%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing up 0.39%; and Europe's STOXX 50 index closing up 0.62%.

The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks surged more than 1.7% in the morning and then continued to fluctuate downward. The Hang Seng Technology Index almost recovered all the gains of the day. As of the close, the Hang Seng market turnover reached HK$88.88 billion. The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index closed up 0.75%, down 0.43% last week, and the Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 0.13%, down 0.23% last week. In terms of sector stocks, the gold and precious metals and biopharmaceutical sectors were strong throughout the day. China Silver Group (00815.HK) closed up 7.55%, Shandong Gold (01787.HK) rose 5.7%; Coherus Pharmaceuticals (02171.HK) and Immune Onco (01541.HK) both closed up more than 20%.

The three major A-share indexes fluctuated downward. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.88%, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.07%. On the market, the gold concept was active, and Pengxin Resources rose by the daily limit; the real estate sector strengthened, and many stocks such as Electronic City and China Communications Construction Real Estate rose by the daily limit; the elderly care concept rose in the late trading, and Yuexin Health rose by the daily limit; in addition, the insurance, oil, electricity and other sectors had the largest gains; the lithium mining concept, brewing, daily chemical and other sectors had the largest declines.

International News

1. Trump was playing golf at the weekend when a shooting occurred near him. Trump was safely transferred. The authorities said it was a suspected assassination attempt on Trump. The suspect was arrested when he escaped and left an AK-47 rifle at the scene. At that time, he was less than 500 meters away from Trump.

2. The U.S. import price index fell by -0.3% month-on-month in August, the largest drop since December 2023.

3. The Yemeni Houthi armed forces claimed that they used a new type of hypersonic missile to attack Israel's hinterland, but the latter denied that the missile was a hypersonic missile.

4. The Israeli army said that more than 100 Palestinian militants were killed in Rafah in southern Gaza.

5. Chile joined South Africa in the "genocide" case against Israel.

6. Oil production in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico has begun to gradually resume, with only 20% of crude oil and 28% of natural gas currently shut down.

7. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russia and Ukraine exchanged prisoners of war again, totaling 206 people.

8. The Ukrainian president intends to propose a ceasefire to Russia in some frontline areas? The Ukrainian side denies it.

9. Bank of England survey: In August, the British public's expectations for inflation in the next year fell to 2.7%, the lowest since August 2021.

10. A federal judge temporarily blocked the Biden administration's regulations restricting the flaring of natural gas in oil wells.

11. Venezuela claims that US intelligence agencies are involved in arms trafficking and attempt to assassinate Venezuelan leaders.

12. A Pennsylvania court in the United States ruled against allowing mail-in voting with incorrect dates.

13. The price of rice in the Japanese domestic market in August rose by 23% compared with the same period last year.

14. Iran successfully launched the Chamran-1 satellite.

15. About 33,000 workers at Boeing's US factories decided to strike, the first time in the company's 16 years; Boeing and the union will hold talks with federal mediators next week.

16. Trump previously announced that he would not sell his shares in Trump Media Group.

17. Typhoon Makar has caused 262 deaths in Vietnam.

18. The foreign giant launched the M&G China Fund, saying that stock valuations have reached historical lows.

19. SpaceX: The first commercial spacewalk mission is completed.

20. Well-known Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo: It is estimated that the iPhone 16 series will sell 37 million units in the first weekend, a year-on-year decrease of 12.7%.

Domestic News

1. Qiushi magazine published an important article by General Secretary Xi Jinping, "Speech at the Second Plenary Session of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee."

2. As Typhoon "Bebejia" approaches, Shanghai has relocated more than 414,000 people and many Shanghai Metro lines have been suspended today.

3. China and the United States held the 18th working meeting of the Ministry of National Defense, and the two sides had an in-depth exchange of views on the military relations between China and the United States, the exchanges between the two militaries in the next stage, and issues of common concern.

4. my country will launch a delayed retirement reform. From January 1, 2025, my country will gradually delay the statutory retirement age of male employees from 60 to 63 over 15 years, and the statutory retirement age of female employees from 50 and 55 to 55 and 58 respectively. In addition, starting from 2030, the minimum payment period for employees to receive basic pensions on a monthly basis will be gradually increased from 15 years to 20 years, with an increase of six months each year.

5. National Bureau of Statistics: In August, the national economy maintained a generally stable and steady development trend. The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 2.1% year-on-year. The added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.5% year-on-year. Among the 70 large and medium-sized cities, the sales prices of commercial housing in various cities decreased month-on-month, and the year-on-year decline generally increased slightly.

6. Ministry of Finance: Focusing on the direction of upgrading residents' consumption, implement and improve fiscal and taxation policies to boost consumption. Establish a full-caliber local debt monitoring mechanism to resolutely curb false debt reduction and new hidden debts.

7. The Ministry of Finance plans to issue 60 billion yuan of 30-year special government bonds.

8. To regulate the use of state-owned assets by central administrative and public institutions, the Ministry of Finance issued the “Administrative Measures for the Use of State-owned Assets by Central Administrative and Public Institutions”.

9. Central Bank: We will start to introduce some incremental policy measures to further reduce corporate financing and household credit costs.

10. Central Bank: The cumulative increase in social financing scale in the first eight months was 21.9 trillion yuan, 3.32 trillion yuan less than the same period last year; the new RMB loans in the first eight months were 14.43 trillion yuan, and the previous value was 13.52 trillion yuan; at the end of August, the balance of broad money (M2) was 305.05 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%.

11. The State Administration of Financial Supervision and Administration issued the "Notice on Promoting Non-Bank Financial Institutions to Support Large-Scale Equipment Renewals and Consumer Goods Trade-in Actions."

12. Economic Observer: After the “finance restriction order”, regulators will successively introduce new policies related to the capital market and listed companies.

13. The United States has decided to impose additional tariffs on Chinese products, with tariffs on electric vehicles increasing by 100%. The Ministry of Commerce issued a statement on the final measures of the United States to increase some 301 tariffs on China: it will take necessary measures to resolutely defend the interests of Chinese companies.

14. The European Commission intends to reject China’s proposals for solutions related to electric vehicles. The Ministry of Commerce said it is deeply disappointed.

15. Ministry of Commerce: Initiated an anti-dumping investigation on imports of halogenated butyl rubber originating from Canada, Japan and India.

16. Ministry of Commerce: From January to August, 36,968 new foreign-invested enterprises were established nationwide, an increase of 11.5% year-on-year.

17. Ministry of Education: 535 new undergraduate majors are planned to be added in 2024, including football.

18. "Measures for Identifying Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence (Draft for Comments)": Malicious deletion, tampering, forgery, or concealment of identification is prohibited.

19. The PLA organized naval and air forces to monitor and guard the entire process! The spokesperson of the Eastern Theater Command made a statement on the German warship's passage through the Taiwan Strait.

20. The Philippine ship No. 9701, which illegally stayed at China's Xianbin Reef, withdrew. China Coast Guard: We will continue to carry out rights protection and law enforcement activities in China's jurisdictional waters in accordance with the law.

21. Chinese Embassy in Thailand: China has not released floodwaters to the lower reaches of the Mekong River recently.

22. With the opening of the Longlong High-speed Railway from Meizhou West to Longchuan West, China's railway operating mileage has exceeded 160,000 kilometers.

23. The number of applications for national automobile scrapping and renewal subsidies has exceeded one million.

24. In the past four months, Joseph Tsai has increased his holdings of Alibaba shares by approximately 1.45 million shares.

25. An employee of Everbright Securities Investment Bank was involved in insider trading: he suffered a loss of 5.32 million yuan and was fined 4.6 million yuan.

26. PricewaterhouseCoopers was fined the maximum amount: business suspended for 6 months and fined 441 million yuan. According to statistics, at least 60 companies have ended their cooperation with PricewaterhouseCoopers since March 18.

Risk Warning

☆At 17:00, the Eurozone will release its seasonally adjusted trade account for July;

☆At 20:30, the United States will release the New York Fed Manufacturing Index for September;

☆Market closure reminder: Today, the Tokyo Stock Exchange, Seoul Stock Exchange, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Stock Exchanges, and domestic futures exchanges are closed; the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is open as usual, and southbound and northbound transactions are closed.

The article is forwarded from: Jinshi Data