Good morning, everyone. I am Jifu. I wish everyone a happy Mid-Autumn Festival. Because of the holiday, I may only post one analysis in the next few days. Here I will answer a few questions that everyone is concerned about in the morning.

1. Will it not fall back and go straight up?

Answer: No. Many people know that there is a CME gap at 53500-54000 for $BTC . The probability of the CME gap being filled within 21 days is 70%. That is to say, before September 30, there is a 70% probability that the market will return to below 53500 to fill the gap.

2. Is $ETH finished and going to zero?

After Ethereum broke through the 4h level downward trend line, I thought it would usher in a good wave of pull-ups, but it didn't. So now, all possibilities are actually ruled out, leaving only one possibility.

You can take a look at the daily level K-line chart of Ethereum. In the next two weeks, Ethereum is likely to build a triple bottom structure, referring to April 12 to May 14 this year, and August 17 to October 12, 2023. Including some price trends before, I will not go into details here.

According to past experience, if Ethereum builds a triple bottom structure at the bottom within 2 months, then it will start to rise wildly, and the probability here is 100%. When the big cake goes below 53,500, Ethereum can also complete the triple bottom at the same time. I emphasize again that according to past data, the probability of crazy rise after the triple bottom is 100%.

3. How will the market go next, and how to operate in the next 3 days?

First, the remaining half-position mid-line long orders can choose to exit above 61,000. You can also choose to exit on September 18,

Secondly, there are two operation opportunities for short orders in the next 3 days at the 1h level.

3.1 Place short orders at 61333 for Bitcoin, 2500 for Ethereum, $SOL 141, and close half of them at 59333, 2400, and 136 to protect the principal. The remaining positions are at 58000, 2333, and 131.5

3.2 After the above short orders are closed for profit, find a position to go long (the specific position will be determined later), and then exit the market at a profit on September 18.

4. At 1 a.m. on September 19, make sure you have no positions.