Abnormal, brothers, something is wrong! This morning, the price of Bitcoin soared to 6, gold also broke through the historical high, the three major US stock indexes opened high and went high, and the currency circle was boiling. All of this seems too unusual.

The reason behind it points to an even more abnormal phenomenon: overnight, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut soared from 25 basis points to 50 basis points, while last night, the probability was less than 20%. What happened to make the Fed's attitude change so much?

The source of all this can be traced back to several blog posts by Nick, a reporter from the Wall Street Journal, who is the "mouthpiece" of the Fed. Nick mentioned that the Fed is facing an embarrassing dilemma: should it cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points?

His initial article believed that the Fed was more suitable for a 25 basis point cut, which was consistent with market forecasts. But then he published a completely different article, citing the advice of a well-known market figure and a famous adviser to Powell. The consultant suggested that since the market predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates by 100 basis points this year, why not start with 50 basis points? This may help the US economy to improve faster.

The market was worried that a 50 basis point rate cut would make people mistakenly believe that the US economy was in recession. But Powell only needs to come forward and use words to dispel the market's doubts. Later, Dudley, the former third-ranking figure of the Federal Reserve and chairman of the New York Federal Reserve, also publicly expressed his support for a 50 basis point rate cut.

All this seems to be carefully planned. I guess Powell may have instructed this, and he wants to use this to test the market's acceptance of a 50 basis point rate cut.

Judging from the market's reaction tonight, the market is quite welcoming of a 50 basis point rate cut. But whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points next Wednesday, we still need to observe further. #新币挖矿CATI #新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温 #FTX赎回Solana $BTC $ETH