Hello everyone, I am your cat brother. There should be nothing to do in the next two days. I am a little tired these days. A friend came to learn trading with me, and I have to go to the hospital. The dog also died. I feel a little overwhelmed. Mid-Autumn Festival is coming soon, I wish you all a happy Mid-Autumn Festival in advance.

Well, written before the analysis, this is written for some friends who have been acting weird recently.

I don't take orders, and I don't support intraday trading. I post these things all day long just to remind newbies where the correct entry position is and where to enter with relatively less risk.

As for whether it is useful or not? If you say it is useful, then it is useful. If you say it is useless, then it is useless. It all depends on how you think. Let’s not talk about the distant past. According to Mr. Guangchang’s algorithm, if the big market is right once, you can be enshrined as a god. How many times do I have to be enshrined as a god? Let’s not talk about the big things. Let’s take the small market in the past two days. It fell below the 4-hour middle line for 2 consecutive times. It is suggested not to go long. You can go short close to the middle line. Is there anything wrong with this? Combined with the time inference, the rebound has not ended. After the decline is over, you can go long on the spot. Is there anything wrong? You thought it was a repetitive talk, useless, or the so-called long can’t be more, short can’t be short, when did I stop you from making orders? Not long after, did the needle hurt your face? The needle went down, and the support level on the grid below was clearly there. You have more. You keep saying that you have no chance, but the position has been marked long ago. You are too lazy to watch the market or even "copy homework". Even if you don't understand the logic behind these lines, can't you draw them by comparison? I am afraid that you will draw them wrong, so I even mark the points to tell you. What? Do I have to be around you 24 hours a day, send you a market alert every minute, and make sure you can see it and keep up? Then when you can't keep up, do I have to place an order for you?

A few days ago, if 57200 can't go up, it will come down and fall before the 7th or the 8th at the latest. Do you accept it? From the end of the month to the 7th, there is not a day that I don't say it. This is also what you say, a useless technique. It's useless to you, little brother. Go and check, is there anyone else in the square who said to beware of the 7th? And when the 6th can't go up, how many people told you that you can not open a short, but don't go long?

It doesn’t matter if you still don’t accept it. Look, the day before yesterday, I said that Bitcoin was going to go up. Ideally, it would find a new support at 572~573. If you really read the article, instead of just reading the sarcastic comments below when you open it every day, you can see at what price Bitcoin is supported. It’s a five-digit price, with a double-digit gap. What are you still arguing about?

You are long in a falling market and short in an rising market. You insist on going against the general trend. You open orders against the general trend and play with the pattern. You don't even understand the principle of running after taking a bite. You blame yourself for being hit and losing after playing with the pattern? The left side is inherently risky. The size of the stop loss never depends on your position price, but only on how far you deviate from the correct position. You make your position price 1% lower and enter the market halfway up the mountain. If you don't lose, who will? Huh? Who taught you to trade like this? Was it me? When did I teach you to place the stop loss like this? If you honestly enter the market at the support and resistance levels, and the stop loss is 1% above and below the corresponding positions, how many times have you been swept and lost? How many times have you been hit? Are you sure you entered the market at the position I told you?

You are so rebellious, what else can you do except watching your account shrink? I teach you, but you don't learn. I tell you, but you don't listen. I listen, but you don't do it. I do it, but I don't do it well. In the end, all these things are useless.

Well, tell me what is useful? When the teachers call for a new high at 70,000, is it useful for you to chase in at 70,000? When the teachers call for 30,000 at 50,000, is it useful for you to make a short order at 50,000? Or are those 100x contract orders with a stop loss of 3~4% and a take profit of less than 1% useful?

I am not a teacher, I am a leek, and I have never called myself a teacher, because I don’t think I have the qualifications. I just want to guide novices on the way and method to the correct transaction. No matter whether it is the left or right side, no matter whether it is a wave, a tangle or a Japanese candlestick, no matter what you choose to learn, you should learn it! Jumping the shaman is useful, the macro aspect is useful, as for those high-leverage solitaire orders you opened, you can’t wait for the new high, and you don’t know how many times your position has been blown up. Tomorrow is beautiful, but the premise is that you can survive tonight!!!

Why don’t you talk about some more extreme operation methods? Why do you talk about risk avoidance methods all day long? Why? Because you are both naive and greedy! Why else? Those who always go all-in with 20x or more of small coins and 30x of big coins, do they really think they are high-level investors? ? ?

I can't teach gamblers and extreme speculators. I can't turn your 100u account into 10,000u in a month. I think, instead of believing that someone has the ability to change your destiny, it is more practical to buy a good pillow, because everything can be found in dreams.

We are here to trade, not to play some bullshit "fan circle culture". I opened a rebate, but I am too lazy to promote it. Why do you have to be sarcastic all day long? If you have the time to open a bunch of small accounts to make fun of others, you might as well do your own trading well! If you don't have the talent to eat this bowl of rice well, you can go to the water pipe to create a channel to share the market every day, and learn how Taiwanese people do rebates. You are making fun of me, is it me who can give you money, or someone else paid you to make fun of me? What's the point? I am a voting event, and I don't even buy a ticket. Do you think I can give you money for making fun of me?

You trade all day long, but you don’t even understand the impossible triangle in trading. What are you still foolishly fantasizing about?

Win rate, profit-loss ratio, frequency. You can combine them at will, but no matter how you combine them, you can't combine them into a "hexagonal warrior". The combination of high win rate + high profit-loss ratio + high frequency that you imagine does not exist at all, so what are you fantasizing about?

I am on the left side, pure left side trading. There are many methods on the right side, whether it is slope, position break, pattern, or wave, there are methods, and there is no shortage of teachers. The right side is not all intraday trading, there are also many traders on the right trend. If you can't find it on Binance Square, are you too lazy to search Baidu? If you are so lazy, how can you do a good job in trading? Is it because of your good luck? Or because you are handsome? Do you really think you are the son of the plane, the chosen one? ? ?

The diligence and hard work in trading are reflected in a large number of reviews. After major market nodes, you should review the market many times to find the "anomalies" before the changes occur and remember them. It is reflected in repeated reviews at different time levels, and finding the reasons and summarizing the wrong orders. You are polishing your own trading system, not making dozens of transactions a day, and still feel that you are working hard to trade. Sooner or later, this effort will "move heaven". Wake up, you can't move anyone, you can only "move the exchange", because your handling fees are higher than your profits, and the exchange really loves you.

Everyone envies the demigods, but how many people can recite 2 years of market trends from daily to 4 hours to 1 hour to 15 minutes like the demigods, and can tell you the approximate time of a screenshot of a market chart? Everyone just wants to learn the trading logic or strategy of the demigods, but you can't do as much review as the demigods, nor do you have his market sense. In fact, MACD is something that the late demigods can watch or not. Are you really stupid enough to think that the demigods made it by relying on MACD? No way, no way, no one is really so naive, right?

Even a demigod misread the trend in the last part of 2021 and was trapped at a high position. Gods can also make mistakes, so how can you imagine making money forever? Who has not made mistakes, BitFat, BitEmperor, BanMuXia, Fuyun? Who has not suffered a large loss? They are not always right, so if you see someone who is right a few times and think that he is a god who can always be right, this idea itself is wrong.

No one can save anyone else. Your only God is yourself. No one can control your fate except yourself. If you still want to continue gambling in this market and make stable money, then put down your phone, stop checking the bullshit gossip, give up those boring fantasies, and focus your time and energy on the transaction itself.

As a person who has studied nearly 150 indicator combinations, I can tell you that there is no indicator that can achieve stable profits only through the indicator itself. As long as the test time is extended and the trading frequency is increased, the final result is infinitely close to 50:50. Some right-side indicators even have a winning rate lower than 50%. Our indicator winning rate is 50%, so we ourselves are the additional variable. How much you can increase your winning rate, superimposed on the indicator, will increase your winning rate. When your winning rate is greater than 51%, and you can do a good job of position management and stop-profit and stop-loss discipline, you will be reborn.

The market is constantly moving, even at the 4-hour level, it will continue to move. I really can't post it every 4 hours.

Finally, one day, when the square is no longer filled with people making money with their families and joining the team xxxx, but with experienced people sharing their experiences, I will no longer post these things.

So, let’s take a look at tonight’s nightline…

Let's start with $BTC

At the 4-hour level, we can see that after falling below 579, it is suppressed by 579, but it is not a big problem. It is mainly to test the pressure of 576. As long as 576 is OK, it will continue to rise. The upper resistance level, posting every day, if you really want to play well, then you can just memorize it during this period. 585-589-595-599-605-610-612-615-618-620

There are three locations that require special attention:

1. 576 is the first defense level for bulls. In a normal bull trend, this level should not be broken. If it is broken, you need to pay more attention to the market situation. Before this level is broken, there is no need to worry about gains and losses for long orders.

2. 573 is a position that has been stress-tested. If it falls below this level, be careful of an early reversal of the market. Here we need to consider the 4-hour rebound situation. Once it falls below this level and the price does not close above 573 in 4 hours, a reversal with a high probability will start here.

3. 570 is the current 4-hour middle track price, and it is also the last line of defense for bulls. If the 4-hour bull trend is to be maintained, it must not fall below this level. Neither a pin break nor a scratch break will work. As long as it breaks here, it will definitely move downward for a while. Just look at the previous pin and you will know what I am talking about.

Next watch $ETH

Ethereum finally shows signs of recovery. Standing above 2340 is a very good start. Please forgive me for using this word to describe Ethereum, because its recent performance is like taking a laxative. Now there is a bottom rise, which is a good start anyway. If the top cannot go up, the bottom can be slowly raised, which is also a bullish pattern.

In fact, the current situation of Ethereum is the result of multiple factors, not just Grayscale's fault. The weak buying confidence of retail investors, the frequent selling of large investors, the shipment of Ethereum Foundation, the negativity of Vitalik Buterin himself, and the conversion of POW to POS all combined to lead to this result. But what I think is that the pain will pass sooner or later, and Ethereum will one day regain its glory. (I do have a special feeling for Ethereum, but I am not saying this to encourage you to hoard Ethereum)

Then look at $SOL

Sol's situation today is a bit special, mainly because of FTT, who has coins to unpack and may unpack a part of the coins every month, resulting in short-term sentiment and negative impact. But if you calculate the amount, it is only about 20 million, and the part to be unpacked every month in the future will only be about 20 million. For the size of Sol, this selling pressure is actually nothing, and there is no news that he will sell at a concentrated market price after unpacking. If this amount is scattered and shipped again, it will have almost no impact on the market. After the news came out, it fell immediately. In fact, it was more of a short-term negative impact caused by panic, just like everyone panicked about Mentougou before. After 10 years of panic, this major negative impact on the entire industry ended in the most gentle way that did not hurt the market at all. Mentougou knows that it needs to protect the industry, doesn't FTT know? I don't believe it. Every blockchain practitioner knows to protect the market. Only institutions outside the industry do not consider these issues, such as the German government's big pie shipments before. Here we should pay attention to the fact that Sol needs to close above 133.5. If it fails to close, the probability of testing 131 is very high. There is no support from below 131 to 128. Then, we can actually see some signs of a decline through technical patterns. For example, after Sol falls below 135.7, you should pay attention to the subsequent trend. When it falls below 134.9, it has already begun to show signs of deterioration. After falling below 134.4, it is suppressed by 134.4, which means that it is almost certain that it will move downward. It is just a matter of how far it will fall. These news will not tell you, but the 4-hour K-line will tell you, and it will be ahead of the news. Are these things difficult? Not at all. You just need to pay attention and you will see it. If it is a 1-hour Kent, you will see it running in the channel earlier.

Finally, let’s take a look at BNB

BNB is the one with the best performance among the four giants except Bitcoin. Because it reached the top in 4 hours, we only look at the daily line for the time being. On the 4-hour line, we can see that there was a weak resistance at 555 before. There was a short consolidation at 561 during the decline. However, if we only look at the K pattern, the pressure at 561 is estimated to be weaker than that at 555. On the daily line, as long as the retracement does not break 536.5, the bullish trend at the daily line remains unchanged.

The only one among the Big Four that has long positions at the 4-hour level and the daily level. BNB is really worth considering as an asset allocation. It is resistant to declines, rebounds quickly, and there will not be sudden large-scale selling pressure. It is a high-quality asset. You can wait patiently until the end of September or the beginning of October to hold it. I really think this is very good. We don’t need to consider how much Binance Coin will eventually rise, we just need to see if its amplitude is sufficient.

How high do we want to go? First we will look at 572, and the limit is 592.

Written at the end

1. If what I wrote at the beginning makes you feel uncomfortable, then I apologize here. I shouldn't have written it so sharply. When I wrote it, I only cared about my own pleasure and didn't consider the feelings of my readers. However, good medicine tastes bitter but is good for the disease. Only by getting out of the comfort zone can we truly grow up.

2. I never thought that I was right, or always right. It’s just that the probability of being right is higher with these methods. This is relatively high. I am a leek. My trading skills are not very good. I can’t compare with many real traders and teachers. But if a novice can reach this level, it’s basically enough. If there is any way to directly pour everything I know into other people’s brains, I really want to pour everything I know into them.

3. Many friends have come to talk to me offline. Those who have met me already know what kind of person I am, and they should also know that I don’t have so many twists and turns. Shandong people are simple and honest. When doing many things, they don’t think about the future, nor do they expect any rewards. Please don’t impose those imaginary vicious harvesting methods on me. Shandong people can’t do the kind of things you think, and you may be disappointed.

4. Tomorrow is Saturday again, friends. We will continue the live chat in the evening. It will still be me and Teacher @Crypto-爱币斯坦 . Teacher Ai will talk to you about the fundamentals and macroeconomics, and I will look at the price. Teacher Ai will live broadcast at 8 pm every Tuesday. When he broadcasts, I will be his guest, and when I broadcast, he will be his guest. Everyone is welcome to chat.