Good afternoon, everyone. I am Jifu.
I thought that no one would interact with me on weekends, but I didn’t expect that many people would leave me comments. I will still publish an analysis today and tomorrow. Actually, one article is enough on weekends.
Let me first share my operation ideas this morning.
Actually, I stopped out of the Bitcoin and Ethereum at 53888 and 2250 last night, but I woke up at 6 o’clock in the morning and saw the loss order. At the same time, the 1h level Yang wrapped Yin, so I immediately entered the market again.
My position this time is 1.5 times the position last night, and the current floating profit has covered yesterday’s loss. In fact, I was profitable yesterday because I was short first and then long, but the long position was damaged, which caused me to give back part of the profit.
I will hold the long orders on my current hand until September 18th. I will not set stop losses for these orders. At the same time, I placed orders to cover my position at $BTC 50001, $ETH 2001, and $SOL 111.1.
Then let me briefly talk about my current judgment and ideas.
1. First of all, we must not panic at present. The greed index is 22, and it is very close to many key supports. Even if this place is not the bottom, it is infinitely close to the bottom. At this time, going long must be far better than going short.
2. The U.S. Treasury yield has turned positive. Although the plunge on Friday may cause the U.S. stock market to fall inertia on Monday, the U.S. stock market will inevitably rebound next week and start to rush to the top.
3. The lazy schedule is still valid. There must be some discrepancies in time, but it is not much different. I am not a god.
4. There are indeed certain risks in the left-side bottoming. Here is a little trick for everyone: when you do the left-side bottoming for the first time, your position must be light. After the pin is inserted or broken, observe the stop loss position. You can choose to go long at the stop loss position after the pin is inserted, or go long after the 1h level Yang Bao Yin is pulled up, and the stop loss is placed at the previous low, but the position should be heavier at this time.
5. In the case that the second buy has not come out, the current long order is actually still a long order on the left. And because the current long stop loss is too far away, I personally recommend that those who have not done a long order wait for a retracement before doing it.
6. The rise of ETH is a matter of time, not a matter of probability.