As soon as the data came out on September 5, recession has arrived, and the currency circle is destined to plummet tonight!

On the eve of the release of the key U.S. employment report, small non-agricultural sales hit the lowest level since January 2021

①The U.S. ADP employment report in August added 99,000 jobs, the lowest value since January 2021;

② Initial applications data continued to remain stable, and the non-seasonally adjusted data fell to the lowest level in nearly 10 months.

"Small non-agricultural sectors" fell to a three-and-a-half-year low

Looking at the data first, the U.S. ADP employment report in August showed 99,000 new jobs. In addition to being lower than the 145,000 expected by the market, it was also the lowest value since January 2021. US President Biden, who had just taken office at that time, is now waiting for retirement.

Unemployment data highly stable

As usual, high-frequency initial jobless claims data will be released on Thursday. Among them, the initial unemployment benefit data was 227,000, which was basically consistent with the expected 230,000. The number of initial claims without seasonally adjustment even dropped to 189,000, reaching the lowest point in the past 10 months. Renewed applications data also fell to a nearly three-month low.

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