Bitcoin valuation from multiple perspectives: Four methods to see future potential

Bitcoin has fluctuated recently, but its long-term prospects are still of concern. VanEck predicts that BTC may reach $2.9 million in 2050, sparking heated discussions in the market. Biteye analyzes four valuation methods to help you understand the value of BTC in depth. Spot contract Junyang 👉@点这里 加密乘风

Production cost model: Based on mining costs, it reflects basic value. The current average mining cost is about $74,000, which is lower than the market price, indicating that prices may rise or miners may decrease.

Stock-to-flow model (S2F): Measuring scarcity, Bitcoin's S2F ratio is about 120, much higher than gold (about 59.7). Based on this calculation, BTC's market value may be twice that of gold, or about $33.6 trillion, and a single coin is worth about $1.708 million. However, it should be noted that there is controversy over the quantification of scarcity.

Metcalfe's Law: Emphasizes the exponential impact of user growth on value. The number of Bitcoin addresses doubles. According to this law, the market value should increase to 4.3 times that of 5 years ago, that is, about $41,000 per coin.

AHR999 Hoarding Index: Assisting fixed investment decisions. The current index shows that the price is moderate, the fixed investment cost is controllable, and BTC is optimistic in the long term. The current index growth valuation is about $86,000, showing the price potential of BTC.

Summary: The four methods have their own focus and jointly outline the value of Bitcoin. However, the crypto market is volatile and investment needs to be cautious. This article is for information reference only, not investment advice.

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