Thursday, September 19th is a critical time node

[If the interest rate is cut on September 19th]

If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting at 2 a.m. on that day decides to cut interest rates. Then the market will gradually start to rise from now on. On the contrary, once the interest rate cut is announced, the market will have a short-term flash crash due to the good news, and then it will take about half a month to make up for the shock upward and then move up again! 📈

[If there is no interest rate cut on September 19th]

If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting at 2 a.m. on that day still decides not to cut interest rates! Then the market will still bottom out around September 19th due to a small flash crash due to bad news, and then it will also take about half a month to make up for the shock upward, and rise in small steps all the way to welcome the good news of a high probability of interest rate cuts in the fourth quarter. Whether it is October, November, or December when the first interest rate cut begins (I think if there is no interest rate cut in September, it is likely to be in November), the market will definitely rise before the official interest rate cut, because insiders will definitely buy in advance to eat up any big wave of good market gains.

There is a high probability that the positive impact of the interest rate cut will be put into effect, and some paper hands will be allowed to get off the bus after a short period of adjustment. It has officially entered a market with a large volume and a surge in volume!

You can see the figure below👇👇👇

[Cooperating with the phase of negative news accumulation]

BTC hit the bottom after the FTX explosion in November 2022

All the subsequent news was negative

1️⃣The explosion of Silicon Valley Bank was magnified, and retail investors sold collectively. In fact, it was nothing, and the government took over

2️⃣The Federal Reserve continued to be hawkish🦅 and continued to raise interest rates

3️⃣Binance was sued and CZ was imprisoned

4️⃣The Mentougou incident was delayed from October last year to October this year

And other epic negative news

But when we look back, it was accompanied by retail investors fleeing, and the dealers and institutions continued to buy and accumulate funds, and the bottom continued to rise!

[Good news expectations pull up the market]

Three months before ETF approval on January 11

After absorbing almost all the funds, we started to use ETF approval as a good news expectation to pull up the market

[Good news implementation]

One month after ETF approval on January 11

Good news implementation, short-term market crash adjustment, plug-in and leverage removal

[Expand demand with good news]

After ETF approval, adjustment is completed and continued surge for 1 to 2 months