Is the ton incident an opportunity or a black swan?
Which sector can bring out the violent bull market!
Last night, the founder of TG was arrested in France, causing the TON public chain to plummet because of its close relationship with TG.
This year, the TON public chain performed well, using the advantages of TG to import users, but over-reliance has become a disadvantage, similar to CZ being accused of causing BNB to decline. This type of risk is a black swan event.
When investing, you should pay attention to the fact that it is not a good choice to buy TON and its ecological tokens at the bottom at present. The risk of rebounding is high, and it is advisable to wait until the event is clear before making a decision.
Many people want to buy TON at the bottom. It is recommended to buy at the bottom but not hold it for a long time: TON's expectation of listing on Binance has been fulfilled; the founder was arrested, and it is difficult for ecological projects to be listed on Binance; several important projects have been listed on Binance, and users have almost made a profit;
Referring to previous similar situations, it is not the real bottom now. The violent bull market requires most retail investors to make money. At present, many altcoins are trapped, the SOL chain has not attracted new funds, and retail investors have suffered losses, which has not brought about a wealth-creating effect.
Recently, capital has shifted from the SOL chain to the TON chain to see if it can attract outsiders to enter the market. In the second half of the bull market, don't go all-in on altcoins. Use funds that can withstand the risk of zeroing out. Opportunities may be in BTC and TON networks.
Is there a chance that Bitcoin will fall below 50,000? If the interest rate is cut when the US stock market is strong, the market will perform well in the future. The probability of a 25bq interest rate cut in September is more than 60%, and the probability of a 50bq interest rate cut is more than 30%. A 50bq cut is a positive beyond expectations and accelerates takeoff; a 25bq cut means the bull market continues but slowly; no cut is a black swan, or it may fall below 50,000 again. I am optimistic about a 25bq cut, and we will see as we go.
