Yesterday a friend asked this question, but obviously, no one predicts the short-term

But if there is still a chance to be within 50,000, what may be the reason?

​​​If the interest rate cut occurs when the US stock market is strong, then there will often be good performance in the next few months

The result of the current capital vote is that the probability of a 25bq interest rate cut in September is 60%+, and the probability of 50bq is more than 30%.

If it is finally reduced by 50bq, then don't think about it if you want to be within 50,000 in the short term. The unexpected good news will accelerate the takeoff quickly.

If it happens to be reduced by 25bq, then it's okay, the bull market will continue, but it will be slower, go slowly, and go longer.

If it is not reduced, and it continues to remain unchanged, it will be a "black swan", and this situation may give another chance to be within 50,000.

So, whether it can be within 50,000 again depends on which script will be followed.

I personally prefer a reduction, but it will be 25bq, not a lot.

We’ll see how to get there as we go.